Fri, Sep 20, 2019 @ 22:32 GMT
Dollar weakness was the main theme over the whole week. It started with worries over Trump's tariff threats to Mexico. Then Fed officials came out acknowledging the risks from Trump's tariff policies and signaled their openness to rate cuts...
Fed's dovish turn occupied a lot of head lines last week. Stocks were lifted while Dollar was pressured. However, the moves were not as drastic as they could seem to be. There was no upside acceleration in stocks. Treasury...
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended August 14, gold and silver futures surprisingly recorded NET SHORTS, as traders expected prices to weaken further. NET SHORT for for the former was 3 688 contracts,...
It was another typical week with market moving headlines flying around. Being two highly anticipated non-events, BoE and ECB didn't disappoint investors by giving nothing new. On the other hand, there was a deep sense of nervousness ahead of...
Italy political turmoil and trade tensions are weighing on market sentiments on two fronts. Italy will now likely go into a snap election soon. And the eurosceptic parties will frame that as referendum on Euro membership. US President Donald...
After yesterday's strong rally, Dollar retreats mildly today as markets await FOMC decision. For the week, the greenback remains the strongest one. Canadian Dollar follows as the second strongest, riding on better than expected GDP data. Sterling, on the...
There are several issues we are expecting from the FOMC meeting later this week. While it is widely anticipated that the Fed would leave its policy rate unchanged at 2.25-2.5%, the potential changes in the accompanying statement and the...
Dollar retreats mildly in Asian session today but remains the strongest one for the week. US 10 year yield finally took out 3% level overnight with some conviction. TNX hit as high as 3.035 before closing at 3.024, up...
Euro rises broadly today as lifted by hawkish comments from an ECB official. Sterling closely follow as the second strongest one. On the other hand, New Zealand dollar continues to suffer broad based selling pressure today, in particular against...
Sterling was the weakest one last week as it suffered persistent selloff ahead of UK Prime Minister Theresa May's announcement on resignation. The Pound has indeed stabilized since then after the speculation was realized. Without May, the Brexit path...
Euro recovers broadly today as markets digest the over-stretched decline. Negative sentiments over Italian political turmoil recedes mildly as there is revived hope of a non-anti-euro government. Italy 10 year yield pull back below 3% handle while German bund...
Sterling drops broadly today as the new government is starting step up their hard line rhetorics on Brexit. Australian and New Zealand Dollar are also weak as markets await US-China trade negotiations that start tomorrow. Expectations for the talks...
Sterling opens the week sharply and broadly lower as it's getting less and less likely to complete a Brexit deal within November. Yen is the second weakest as Asian stocks recover mildly after last week's selloff. Meanwhile, Euro is...
Brexit and US-China trade negotiation were the two major themes last week. After a week of drama, it's still unclear exactly what kind of Brexit deal would get through the Parliament. There's some anticipation for UK Prime Minister Theresa...
Risk aversion is back as the main theme in the global financial markets. The crash in the US overnight has spreaded to Asia. At the time of writing, Japanese Nikkei is down -756 pts or -3.42%, being the worst...
Risk sentiments continued to recover last week as Fed officials indicated they would be patient before making the next rate move. Positive developments of US-China trade talks also helped. One notable development was the rebound in US treasury yields...
Major global central bankers sang a chorus of dovishness last week. Most importantly, both ECB and Fed signaled the possibility of rate cuts ahead. Comparatively, RBA's indication of more rate cut was not much a surprise. In the background,...
The financial markets show that investors are well prepared for the steel and aluminum tariff by the US. Dow closed down just -0.33% overnight, at 24801.36. 10 year yield gained 0.006 to 2.883, staying in near term sideway consolidation....
Since our last discussion in May, the financial situation in Argentina has not improved. Rather, it has deteriorated rapidly over the past few months. Last week, President Mauricio Macri announced that he had asked the IMF to accelerate disbursement...
There were some interesting turns in the financial markets last week. Global equities initially cheered after Democrats sealed a tremendous win in the US mid-term election by regaining majority in the House. But the lift quickly faded as stocks...
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