GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.75; (P) 134.32; (R1) 134.92; More…

With 132.40 minor support intact, rebound from 123.94 could extend higher. But upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92. On the downside, break of 132.40 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 123.94 low. However, sustained break of 136.92 will raise the chance of trend reversal and turn focus to 144.95 resistance.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 182.45; (P) 182.73; (R1) 183.09; More…

GBP/JPY’s rally is trying to resume and intraday bias is back on the upside. Decisive break of 183.99 will confirm larger up trend resumption. Next target is 61.8% projection of 158.24 to 183.99 from 176.29 at 192.20. For now, near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 180.41 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is expected to continue through 183.99 at a later stage, towards 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 172.11 will argue that larger correction is already underway.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.67; (P) 137.21; (R1) 137.97; More…

GBP/JPY’s decline from 147.95 accelerates to as low as 132.92 so far. 61.8% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 from 134.71 is already met and there is no sign of bottoming yet. Intraday bias remains on the downside and sustained trading below 134.71 will pave the way back to 126.54 low. On the upside, break of 138.68 resistance is needed to signal short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 148.87 resistance argues that rise from 126.54 is probably just third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Medium term outlook is turned neutral first. Break of 126.54 support would resume larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) through 122.75 low.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.59; (P) 156.95; (R1) 157.56; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 157.74 is in progress. Further rally is expected with 154.86 support intact. On the upside, decisive break of 158.19 high will resume larger up trend to 167.93 long term fibonacci level. On the downside, below 154.86 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, strong rebound from 148.93 key structural support retains medium term bullishness. Firm break of 158.19 high will resume whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low), to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.75 at 167.93. Nevertheless, firm break of 148.93 will bring deeper correction to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10, and possibly further lower, as a correction to up trend from 123.94 at least.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.95; (P) 158.61; (R1) 159.77; More…

GBP/JPY’s price actions from 168.40 are seen as a corrective move. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 162.16 minor resistance holds, as correction from 168.40 could extend. On the downside, below 155.57 will target 150.95 key structural support next. Nevertheless, firm break of 162.16 will indicate that the correction has completed, and bring retest of 168.40 high next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 150.95 support holds, even in case of deep pull back. However, firm break of 150.95 will indicate rejection by 167.93, and bearish trend reversal.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 186.40; (P) 187.27; (R1) 188.65; More

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for retesting 188.63 high. Firm break there will confirm larger up trend resumption. On the downside, below 186.33 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first. But further rally is expected as long as 184.15 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 188.63 medium term top are seen as a correction to the up trend from 148.93 (2022 low) only. As long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in favor to resume through 188.63 at a later stage. Next target will be 195.86 long term resistance.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.58; (P) 142.02; (R1) 142.76; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 142.23 suggests rise resumption. Focus is now on 142.71 key resistance. Decisive break there will resume whole rise from 123.94 for 147.95 key resistance next. On the downside, though, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 141.26 will confirm short term topping at 142.34, and rejection by 142.71. Intraday will will be turned back to the downside for 139.96 support next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.39; (P) 133.25; (R1) 133.93; More…

Outlook in GBP/JPY is unchanged. Corrective rebound form 123.94 might extend higher. But upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92 to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 129.85 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 123.94 low. However, sustained break of 136.92 will raise the chance of trend reversal and turn focus to 144.95 resistance.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.62; (P) 150.63; (R1) 151.51; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral with current recovery. On the downside, break of 149.70 will resume the fall from 158.19 to 100% projection of 158.19 to 152.35 from 154.70 at 148.86 next, which is close to 148.93 key structural support. Decisive break there will carry larger bearish implication and target 161.8% projection at 145.25 next.

In the bigger picture, the break of medium term channel support, and bearish divergence condition in week MACD are raising the chance of medium term topping at 158.19. Firm break of 148.93 support will argue that GBP/JPY is at least correcting the whole rise from 123.94 (2020 low). In this case, deeper fall would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10. Nevertheless, strong rebound from 148.93 will retain medium term bullishness for another rise through 158.19 at a later stage.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.95; (P) 149.78; (R1) 150.59; More…

Decline from 156.59 extends today and intraday bias remains on the downside for 146.96 support. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 146.96 will be another sign of medium term trend reversal. On the upside, break of 154.03 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the fall. Otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 146.96 key support holds, medium term outlook remains bullish. Rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78. However, break of 146.96 support will indicate trend reversal after rejection by 55 month EMA. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 and then 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY edged higher to 188.90 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Further rally is expected as long as 186.14 support holds. Break of 188.90, and sustained trading above 188.63, will confirm up trend resumption. Next target is 38.2% projection of 155.33 to 188.63 from 178.32 at 191.04. However, break of 186.14 will turn bias to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) in in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.32 support holds. Next target is 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high).

In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) in still in progress despite loss of upside momentum as seen in W MACD. Further rise will remain in favor, as long as 172.11 support holds, to retest 195.86 (2015 high).

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.83; (P) 148.24; (R1) 148.77; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 149.70 is extending. With 145.67 support intact, outlook stays bullish and further rally is expected. On the upside, above 149.70 will target 153.84/156.69 resistance zone next. However, break of 145.67 will suggest that the rebound from 139.88 has completed and turn near term outlook bearish again.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY has successfully defended 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). And, the rally from 122.36 (2016 low) is still intact. Such medium to long term rise would extend through 156.96 high. This will now be the preferred case as long as 145.67 near term support holds. However, break of 145.67 will turn focus back to 139.29/47 key support zone.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.48; (P) 153.85; (R1) 154.41; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. With 154.70 resistance intact, further decline remains mildly in favor. On the downside, break of 152.35 will resume the decline from 158.19 to 148.93 key support next. On the upside, however, break of 154.70 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 158.19 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Further rally is still expected as long as 148.93 support holds. However, firm break of 148.93 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and bring deeper fall back to 142.71 resistance turned support first.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.37; (P) 139.83; (R1) 140.14; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. On the upside, firm break of 140.31 will resume whole rebound from 133.03 and target a test on 142.71 high. On the downside, however, break of 138.23 will argue that the pattern from 142.71 is starting another falling leg. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 134.40 support and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.77; (P) 143.16; (R1) 143.61; More…

GBP/JPY’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside. Current rise from 131.51 would now target trendline resistance at around 147.56. We’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside at first attempt. On the downside, below 142.71 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further rise will remain in favor as long as 139.43 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, corrective medium term rise from 122.36 (2016 low) has completed at 156.69 (2018 high) already. That came after failing to break through 55 month EMA. No change in this view. Strong rebound from 131.51 argues that fall from 156.59 is just the second leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36. Break of 149.38 resistance will confirm the third leg has started to 159.69, and possibly above. Nevertheless, break of 131.51 will pave the way to retest 122.26 low.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.74; (P) 143.01; (R1) 143.50; More…

GBP/JPY’s rebound from 139.88 is still in progress for 55 day EMA (now at 144.68) even though upside momentum is diminishing. On the downside, however, below 141.92 minor support will indicate completion of the rebound. And larger down trend will likely resume for 139.29/47 key support zone instead.

In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. But the downside acceleration makes this view shaky. Focus will be on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY rose further to 164.61 last week but retreated notably since then Initial bias remains neutral this week some consolidations. But outlook stays bullish with 158.04 resistance turned support intact, and further rally is expected. On the upside, break of 164.61 will resume larger up trend to long term fibonacci level at 167.93. However, firm break of 158.19 will turn bias to the downside and bring deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress, and notable support from 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93. Sustained break there will be a long term bullish signal. This will now remain the favored case as long as 150.95 support holds.

In the longer term picture, as long as 55 month EMA (now at 147.73) holds, we’d still favor more rally to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.75 at 167.93. Sustained break there will pave the way to 195.86 (2015 high).

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.81; (P) 157.00; (R1) 157.26; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 157.74 continues. Further rise is expected as long as 154.86 support holds. Decisive break of 158.19 high will resume larger up trend to 167.93 long term fibonacci level. On the downside, below 154.86 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, strong rebound from 148.93 key structural support retains medium term bullishness. Firm break of 158.19 high will resume whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low), to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.75 at 167.93. Nevertheless, firm break of 148.93 will bring deeper correction to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10, and possibly further lower, as a correction to up trend from 123.94 at least.

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.44; (P) 148.27; (R1) 148.86; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 147.63 minor support suggests short term topping at 149.30, after failing to break 149.99 resistance. The development also argues that price action from 143.18 is a consolidation pattern that’s completed. Intraday bias is turned to he downside for retesting 143.18.76 support zone first. On the upside, above 149.30 will bring turn bias to the upside for 149.99 resistance.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that decline from 156.59 is a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.76; (P) 143.49; (R1) 143.95; More

GBP/JPY’s decline extends to as low as 142.22 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside for further decline. As noted before, whole rebound from 131.51 has completed at 148.87, ahead of 149.98 key resistance. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 131.51 to 148.87 at 142.23 will target 61.8% retracement at 138.14. On the upside, above 143.76 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY was rejected by 149.98 key resistance. And medium term fall from 156.59 is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). On the other hand, decisive break of 149.98 should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Further rally would be seen back to 156.59 resistance and above.