Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2395; (P) 1.2442; (R1) 1.2467; More…

USD/CAD is staying in consolidation from 1.2354 and intraday bias remains neutral. With 1.2623 support turned resistance intact, near term outlook remains mildly bearish. On the downside, break of 1.2354 will extend the decline from 1.2919 to retest 1.2061 low. Nonetheless, on the upside, sustained break of 1.2623 will argue that the fall has completed and turn bias back to the upside for 1.2919 resistance.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.2061 is likely completed completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA (now at 1.2850) and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3403; (P) 1.3453; (R1) 1.3478; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral at this point, and some more consolidations could be seen below 1.3540. But further rally is expected as long as 1.3342 minor support holds. Fall from 1.3897 should have completed at 1.3716. Break of 1.3540w ill target 1.3617 cluster resistance (61.8% retracement of 1.3897 to 1.3176 at 1.3622). Decisive break there will pave the way to 1.3897/3976 key resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Overall, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2711; (P) 1.2738; (R1) 1.2759; More….

USD/CAD is staying in range of 1.2623/2834 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Near term outlook stays bearish as long as 1.2834 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.2623 will resume the down trend from 1.4667 to 61.8% projection of 1.4667 to 1.2994 from 1.3389 at 1.2355. On the upside, however, break of 1.2834 should indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 1.2957 resistance.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Further decline should be seen back to 1.2061 (2017 low). In any case, break of 1.3389 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CAD gyrated in range below 1.3467 last week as consolidations extends. Initial bias remains neutral this week first for some more sideway trading. Current development suggests that rise from 1.3068 is not finished, and further rise is in favor as long as 1.3250 support holds. On the upside, firm break of 1.3467 will confirm this case and target 1.3664 resistance next. However, decisive break of 1.3250 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.3068/3112 support zone instead.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD is staying well inside medium term rising channel (support at 1.3212). Thus, even though upside momentum and structure are unconvincing, further rise is still in favor. Decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 and 1.3793 will pave the way to retest 1.4689 (2015 high). However, firm break of the channel support should indicate bearish reversal, after rejection by 1.3793, and bring deeper fall to 1.3068 support for confirmation.

In the longer term picture, corrective fall from 1.4689 (2015 high) should have completed with three waves down to 1.2061, just ahead of 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2015 high) at 1.2048. The development keeps long term up trend from 0.9406 and that from 0.9056 (2007 low) intact. For now, there is still prospect of extending the long term up trend through 1.4689.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2431; (P) 1.2481; (R1) 1.2509; More….

USD/CAD’s break of 1.2448 minor support suggest that a short term top is formed at 1.2598, after failing to sustain above 55 day EMA. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.2598 at 1.2393, or even further to 61.8% retracement at 1.2266. But we’ll look for bottoming sign below 1.2266. On the upside, break of 1.2598 will resume the rise from 1.2061 for 1.2777 resistance.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And in that case, USD/CAD should target 1.3793 resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3245; (P) 1.3313; (R1) 1.3358; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on downside at this point. Choppy decline from 1.3704 would target 1.3224 keys support level. Strong support is still expected there to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.3470 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside for 1.3519 resistance. However, decisive break of 1.3224 would carry larger bearish implication.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3222 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3223) holds, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 high at a later stage. However, firm break of 1.3222/3 will indicate that the trend might have reversed. Deeper fall would be seen to next cluster support at 1.2726 (61.8% retracement at 1.2758).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2834; (P) 1.2860; (R1) 1.2899; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.2896 temporary top. Deeper retreat could be seen but downside should be contained by 1.2748 minor support to bring another rise. Above 1.2896 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3124 resistance next. However, firm break of 1.2748 will turn focus back to 1.2526 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rebound from 1.2061 has not completed yet. Focus is back on 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. Sustained trading above there will confirm medium term bullish reversal. That is, down trend from 1.4689 has completed at 1.2061 already. In that case, next target will be 61.8% retracement at 1.3685.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2304; (P) 1.2341; (R1) 1.2375; More…

USD/CAD drops to as low as 1.2246 so far and break of 1.2281 indicates fall resumption. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside. Fall from 1.2919 should target a test on 1.2061 low. On the upside, however, break of 1.2390 resistance will indicate near term bottoming. That would be accompanied by bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.2061 is likely completed completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2559; (P) 1.2609; (R1) 1.2638; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains mildly on the downside as fall from 1.2947 is extending. Deeper decline could be seen to 1.2421 support. Firm break there will suggest rejection by 1.3022 fibonacci level. Rise from 1.2005 could have completed in this case and deeper fall would be seen to retest this low. On the other hand, break of 1.2711 minor resistance will revive near term bullishness, and turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.2947 high instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). It should have completed after hitting 1.2061 (2017 low) and 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 at 1.3022 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.3650 and above. Overall, medium term outlook remains neutral at worst with 1.2048/61 support zone intact.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3470; (P) 1.3496; (R1) 1.3524; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as range trading continues. Overall, the pair is seen as extending the triangle consolidation pattern from 1.3976. Above 1.3566 will resume the rebound from 1.3313 towards 1.3666 resistance and then 1.3860. However, firm break of 1.3313 support will invalidate this view and indicate that deeper correction is underway.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.3333) holds, up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in favor to resume through 1.3976 at a later stage. However, sustained trading below the EMA and 38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3233 will raise the chance of bearish reversal. Deeper should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2758 next.

USD/CAD drops further today but it’s staying in consolidation pattern from 1.2916. Intraday bias stays neutral at this point. As long as as long as 1.2598 resistance turned support holds, near term outlook remains bullish. On the upside, firm break of 1.2916 will resume the rise from 1.2061 and target 1.3065 medium term fibonacci level next. However, sustained break of 1.2598 will argue that rebound from 1.2061 has completed after hitting 55 week EMA (now at 1.2879). Near term outlook will be turned bearish in this case and deeper fall would be seen through 1.2450 support.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Rise from 1.2061 medium term bottom should now target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. Firm break there will target 1.3793 key resistance next (61.8% retracement at 1.3685). We’ll now hold on to this bullish view as long as 1.2450 support holds. Break of 1.2450 will, however, suggests that rebound from 1.2061 has completed and bring retest of this low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2498; (P) 1.2558; (R1) 1.2593; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays on the downside a this point. Fall from 1.3075 should target 1.2401 support first. Decisive break of 1.2401 support will argue that whole rebound from 1.2005 has completed, after rejection by 1.3022 fibonacci resistance. Deeper fall would then be seen to retest this low. On the upside, above 1.2685 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger recovery.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend from 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2651; (P) 1.2691; (R1) 1.2717; More….

USD/CAD’s break of 1.2608 turns bias to the downside for 1.2588 low. Firm break there will resume larger down from 1.4667, to 61.8% projection of 1.3389 to 1.2588 from 1.2880 at 1.2385. On the upside, though, break of 1.2745 resistance will extend the consolidation pattern from 1.2588 with another rise, towards 1.2880 resistance.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Further decline should be seen back to 1.2061 (2017 low). In any case, break of 1.3389 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3137; (P) 1.3196; (R1) 1.3237; More…

USD/CAD’s pull back from 1.3264 extends lower today. But it’s, after all, staying above 1.3056 support as well as inside near term channel. Intraday bias remains neutral and another rise remains in favor. On the upside, above 1.3264 will extend the rally from 1.2781 to retest 1.3385 high. However, break of 1.3056 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, current development revives the case that corrective fall from 1.3385 has completed at 1.2781 already. And whole up trend from 1.2061 (2016 low) is ready to resume. Break of 1.3385 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2781 support holds.

USD/CAD’s stayed in range between 1.3313/3566 last week and outlook is unchanged. Overall, the pair is seen as extending the triangle consolidation pattern from 1.3976. Above 1.3566 will resume the rebound from 1.3313 towards 1.3666 resistance and then 1.3860. However, firm break of 1.3313 support will invalidate this view and indicate that deeper correction is underway.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.3327) holds, up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in favor to resume through 1.3976 at a later stage. However, sustained trading below the EMA and 38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3233 will raise the chance of bearish reversal. Deeper should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2758 next.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.4689 (2016 high) are seen as a consolidation pattern only, which might have completed at 1.2005. That is, up trend from 0.9506 (2007 low) is expected to resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as 55 M EMA (now at 1.3031) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3462; (P) 1.3496; (R1) 1.3519; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays on the downside at this point. Current fall from 1.3693 is seen as another falling leg in the corrective pattern from 1.3976. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3693 at 1.3321. Sustained break there will target 1.3091 support next. On the upside, above 1.3492 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern to the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen as the pattern is now extending. But downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3796 at 1.2991. Rise from 1.2005 is still expected to resume after the correction completes.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3430; (P) 1.3442; (R1) 1.3455; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral and consolidation from 1.3521 might extend further. In case of deeper pull back, downside should be contained above 1.3274 support to bring rally resumption. On the upside, firm break of 1.3521 will resume the whole rise from 1.3068 to retest 1.3664 high. However, decisive break of 1.3274 support will indicate completion of rise from 1.3068 and turn outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD is staying well inside medium term rising channel (support at 1.3296). Thus, the up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low) should be in progress. On the upside, decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will pave the way to 78.6% retracement at 1.4127 next. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.3068 support holds. However, sustained break the channel support will be the first sign of medium term reversal. Firm break of 1.3068 would confirm.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2491; (P) 1.2541; (R1) 1.2569; More….

USD/CAD’s rebound was limited below 1.2598 and weakened again. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Consolidation from 1.2598 is still in progress. In case of deeper fall, we’d now expect downside to be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.2598 at 1.2393 to bring rally resumption. On the upside, break of 1.2598 will extend the rebound from 1.2061 to 1.2777 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And in that case, USD/CAD should target 1.3793 resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3466; (P) 1.3491; (R1) 1.3511; More….

No change in USD/CAD as consolidation from 1.3378 is extending. Intraday bias stays neutral. Further decline remains mildly in favor. Break of 1.3378 will resume the fall from 1.3693, as another leg in the corrective pattern from 1.3976 high, to 61.8% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3693 at 1.3321. However, firm break of 1.3548 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3693 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern to the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen as the pattern is now extending. But downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3796 at 1.2991. Rise from 1.2005 is still expected to resume after the correction completes.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2795; (P) 1.2888; (R1) 1.2940; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral first and correction from 1.3075 could extend lower. On the upside, break of 1.3075 will resume the rise from 1.2401. Sustained trading above 1.3022 fibonacci level will carry larger bullish implications. Next target will be 100% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2401 at 1.3343. On the downside, however, break of 1.2712 support will indicate rejection by 1.3022 key fibonacci resistance, and bring deeper decline.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend from 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.