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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

ActionForex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.18; (P) 162.51; (R1) 162.84; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as range trading continues. On the upside, firm break of 163.86 resistance will resume the rebound from 154.40 to 61.8% retracement of 175.41 to 154.40 at 167.38. On the downside, break of 161.00 minor support will turn bias back to the downside. Further break of 158.09 will target 154.40/155.14 support zone.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). The range of consolidation should have been set between 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 and 175.41 high. However, decisive break of 152.11 would argue that deeper correction is underway.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8302; (P) 0.8319; (R1) 0.8343; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside for the moment. Current down trend is in progress for 0.8201 key support next. Strong support could be seen from there to bring rebound. But for now, break of 0.8433 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is in progress. Next target is 0.8201 (2022 low), but strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. However, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8624 resistance holds even in case of strong rebound. Decisive break of 0.8201 will indicate long term bearish reversal.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6156; (P) 1.6185; (R1) 1.6233; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains mildly on the downside, as fall from 1.6351 would extend to retest 1.6002 low. On the upside, however, break of 1.6351 will resume the rebound from 1.6002 to 38.2% of 1.7180 to 1.6002 at 1.6452.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5996 cluster support holds (38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 (2023 high) at 1.6000), up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is still expected to resume at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.5996 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9365; (P) 0.9386; (R1) 0.9417; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral as sideway trading continues in converging range. On the downside, break of 0.9332 will resume the fall from 0.9579 towards 0.9209 low. On the upside, break of 0.9506 will turn intraday bias to the upside for 0.9579 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.9928 is seen as part of the long term down trend. Repeated rejection by 55 D EMA (now at 0.9439) keeps outlook bearish for breaking through 0.9209 low at a later stage. Nevertheless, sustained trading above 55 D EMA will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rebound back towards 0.9928 key resistance.

Gold Unlocks Another Record High of 2,732

  • Gold creates new bullish wave
  • Technical oscillators endorse upside momentum

Gold prices skyrocketed to another all-time high of 2,732 earlier today, continuing the strong bounce off the 2,600 support level. The price successfully jumped above the ascending channel, which has been standing since the beginning of June, endorsing the bullish structure.

Technically, the RSI indicator recently jumped above the 70 level, and the stochastic oscillator is rising in the overbought region. Both confirm the positive momentum in the market.

If the commodity continues the aggressive buying interest, then it may meet the next round numbers, such as 2,800 and 2,900.

On the other hand, a decline beneath the previous highs of 2,688 could slip towards the 20-day simple moving average at 2,660 before resting near the 2,600 barricade. A drop lower could open the way for the 50-day SMA at 2,577 ahead of the long-term uptrend line near 2,565.

In summary, gold prices are exhibiting significant increases, marking the fifth consecutive positive day. A decisive movement below the ascending trend line may change the outlook to neutral. 

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0838; (P) 1.0854; (R1) 1.0884; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral and more consolidations would be seen above 1.0810 temporary low. Outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0954 resistance holds. Below 1.0810 will resume the fall from 1.1213 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0447 to 1.1213 at 1.0740. Firm break there will target 1.0601 support next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 (2023 high) are seen as a consolidation pattern to up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low), with fall from 1.1213 as the third leg. Downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 0.9534 (2022 low) to 1.1274 at 1.0404, to bring up trend resumption at a later stage.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3011; (P) 1.3041; (R1) 1.3083; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral as consolidations continue above 1.2973. . On the upside, firm break of 1.3102 resistance will argue that pullback from 1.3433 has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound. On the downside, however, sustained break of 1.3000 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2298 to 1.3433 at 1.2999) will argue that whole rise from 1.2298 has completed and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.2732.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3000 support holds, the up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) is still in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.3141 from 1.2298 at 1.4022. However, considering mild bearish divergence condition in D MACD, decisive break of 1.3000 will argue that a medium term top is already in place, and bring deeper fall back to 1.2664 support next.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.19; (P) 149.74; (R1) 150.10; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral with current retreat and some consolidations would be seen first. Further rally is expected as long as 146.47 resistance turned support holds. Above 150.31 will resume the rebound from 139.57 to 61.8% retracement of 161.94 to 139.57 at 153.39. However, break of 146.48 resistance turned support will indicate that rebound from 139.57 has already completed.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should now be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8639; (P) 0.8654; (R1) 0.8663; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral first with current retreat. Further rally is expected as long as 0.8548 resistance turned support holds. Above 0.8668 will target 38.2% retracement of 0.9223 to 0.8374 at 0.8698. Sustained break there will argue that fall from 0.9223 has completed at 0.8374, after defending 0.8332 low. Further rally should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.8899 next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 (2023 low) are currently seen as a medium term corrective pattern, with fall from 0.9223 as the second leg. Strong support could be seen from 0.8332 to bring rebound. Yet, overall outlook will continue to stay bearish as long as 0.9243 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.8332, however, will resume larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high).

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6691; (P) 0.6706; (R1) 0.6720; More...

AUD/USD is staying in range above 0.6657 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral. More consolidations could be seen, but further decline is expected as long as 0.6758 resistance holds. Below 06657 will target 0.6621 first. Firm break there will confirm bearish reversal. However, break of 0.6758 will suggest that pullback from 0.6941 has completed and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, overall, price actions from 0.6169 (2022 low) are seen as a medium term corrective pattern, with rise from 0.6269 as the third leg. Firm break of 100% projection of 0.6269 to 0.6870 from 0.6340 at 0.6941 will target 138.2% projection at 0.7179. However, break of 0.6621 support will argue that rise from 0.6269 has completed and bring deeper fall back to 0.6269/6348 support zone.