Sample Category Title
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.52; (P) 139.03; (R1) 139.45; More....
Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 137.32 will resume the decline from 145.62 to 133.38 key support next. On the upside, though, break of 142.28 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 145.62 high.
In the bigger picture, as long as 133.38 support holds, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still extend through 145.62 high. In that case, next target 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 133.38 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and bring deeper fall to 124.37 support first.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8889; (P) 0.8947; (R1) 0.8996; More...
Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral as consolidation from 0.9267 continues. Further rally is expected as long as 0.8720 resistance turned support holds. Above 0.9267 will target 0.9499 long term resistance. However, break of 0.8270 support will mix up the near term outlook.
In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8201 is in progress targeting 0.9499 (2020 high) next. Based on current momentum, such rally should be resuming the up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low). Firm break of 0.9499 will target 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9499 from 0.8201 at 0.9786, which is close to 0.9799 (2008 high). This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8720 resistance turned support holds.
EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4842; (P) 1.4888; (R1) 1.4954; More...
EUR/AUD's rally from 1.4965 resumed by breaking through 1.4965. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.4965 from 1.4716 at 1.5139 and then 100% projection at 1.5400. On the downside, break of 1.4716 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, further rise will remain in favor in case of retreat.
In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.9799 is still in progress. Break of 1.4318 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.5396 resistance holds.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9480; (P) 0.9520; (R1) 0.9556; More....
Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral for consolidation above 0.9407 temporary low. Outlook remains bearish with 0.9712 resistance intact. Break of 0.9407 will resume larger down trend. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.0512 to 0.9550 from 0.9864 at 0.9269.
In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9864 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.
EUR/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9551; (P) 0.9610; (R1) 0.9652; More...
EUR/USD's decline resumed after brief recovery and intraday bias is back on the downside. Current down trend should target 161.8% projection of 1.0368 to 0.9863 from 1.0197 at 0.9380 next. On the upside, above 0.9700 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first, and bring consolidations again, before staging another decline.
In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0339 from 1.2348 at 0.8694. In any case, break of 1.0197 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish even with strong rebound.
GBP/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0645; (P) 1.0742; (R1) 1.0829; More...
Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral and more consolidation could be seen. While stronger recovery cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited by 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.1080). On the downside, break of 1.0351 will resume larger down trend towards parity next.
In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) is resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Next target is 100% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 0.9532. There is no scope of a medium term rebound as long as 1.1759 support turned resistance holds.
USD/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9852; (P) 0.9912; (R1) 0.9975; More
Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral and more consolidations could be seen. In case of another retreat, downside should be contained by 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.9780). Break of 0.9964 will target 1.0063 high. Decisive break there will confirm resumption of larger up trend.
In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.
USD/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.29; (P) 144.60; (R1) 145.14; More...
USD/JPY is still bounded in consolidation and intraday bias stays neutral. Further rally is expected as long as 139.37 resistance turned support holds. Break of 145.89 will target 147.68 long term resistance. On the downside, however, decisive break of 139.37 will confirm short term topping. Deeper decline would be seen back towards 130.38 support.
In the bigger picture, up trend from 101.18 is still in progress, as part of the whole up trend from 75.56 (2011 low). Further rise should be seen to 147.68 (1998 high). For now, break of 130.38 support is needed to be the first indication of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish even in case of deep pull back.
USD/CAD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3651; (P) 1.3713; (R1) 1.3787; More...
Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays on the upside for the moment. Current rally should target 161.8% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2401 at 1.3925. Firm break there will target 200% projection at 1.4285. On the downside, below 1.3638 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.
In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in progress. Based on current impulsive momentum, it could be resuming long term up trend from 0.9056 (2007 low). Whether it is or it isn't, retest of 1.4689 (2016 high) should be seen next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3222 resistance turned support holds.
Germany Gfk Consumer Sentiment dropped to -42.5, new record low
Germany Gfk Consumer Sentiment for October dropped from -36.5 to -42.5, below expectation of -38.8. That's also a new record low. In September, economic expectations dropped from -47.6 to -21.9, lowest since 2009. Income expectations dropped from -45.3 to -67.7, a record low since 1991. Propensity to buy dropped from -15.7 to -19.5, lowest since 2008.
"The current very high inflation rates of almost eight percent are leading to large real income losses among consumers and thus to significantly reduced purchasing power," explains Rolf Bürkl, GfK consumer expert.
"Many households are currently forced to spend significantly more money on energy or to set money aside for significantly higher heating bills. Accordingly, they need to cut back on other expenses, such as new purchases. This is sending consumer sentiment plummeting to a new record low."



















