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Forex Financial Currency Exchange is the largest and most far-reaching market in the world, which gives many traders a chance to start a successful business and make money with the currency trading. Currency trading, like any other activity, is surrounded by numerous misconceptions and myths. They can affect every trader, no matter how long he trades.

So, many people refuse to trade on Forex, as they believe that this financial market is prohibited in their country or around the world, as it's gambling or something like that. But it is not so!

Forex trading is allowed in all countries where individuals and legal entities are allowed to have currency (currency accounts, currency purchases at bank exchange offices, etc.) Do not forget that the Forex participants do not play any games on it. Most Forex participants use Forex for import and export operations, for international investments, for making money on changing currency prices and for other serious purposes.

Forex Market Regulation

Moreover, self-respecting Forex brokers, through which people trade on the market, should receive a special license confirming that they are regulated by higher authorities. So, the activity of any financial intermediaries, which include forex brokers and dealing centres, is subject to mandatory certification.

For example, the CySEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) Forex regulator, located in Cyprus, has the necessary minimum level to protect the client. Offshore companies use its services.

Regulators in the US:

• SEC - securities;
• CTFC - currency market regulation;
• NFA - non-governmental futures association;
• FINKA - independent regulator of financial markets;
• SIPC - protection of investors.

The regulator of Switzerland is FINMA - supervision of the financial markets. The UK regulator is FCA - financial services control. In Australia, the Forex market is regulated by ASIC (Commission on Investments and Securities). Financial regulation in Belize is undertaken by the International Financial Services Commission, for instance, JustForex broker has the IFSC license.

European regulators:

• ESMA - an independent regulator of the European Union;
• MIFD - an EU directive to service a majority of representatives of the European market.

Forex in the USA

One of the common myths among nonprofessional traders of the Forex market is that Forex is banned in the United States of America. This is not true. In the US, Forex is not prohibited! But in the American market, the work of brokers is very tightly and carefully monitored.

In order to provide Forex trading services, the broker must obtain the appropriate license and must have a security deposit in the amount of about $20 million. Therefore, many brokerage companies from other countries, complying the requirements of US law, give warnings on their websites that their services are not intended for US citizens. It is because only a small group of regulated companies serves North American customers. But American laws do not prohibit citizens of this country to trade on the Forex market.

Forex and Islam

A lot of people also believe that Forex is banned in countries where Islam is practiced. However, this is not quite true.

Sharia Islamic Law, namely the law of Islam, prohibits giving or receiving interests in any form. The reason for this prohibition lies in the conviction that the adherents of Islam should give only to give, and not to get something back. Therefore, according to these beliefs, not the Forex trading itself is prohibited, but a swap.

A swap is a daily charge or withdrawal from the deposit of a trader of money for the transfer of a position on open trades over the night.

But in such a case, swap-free accounts or Islamic accounts with no swap were created. All commissions in the form of interest are absent in Islamic accounts. Thus, Sharia law is not violated, and Forex becomes accessible to all.

So, the Forex trading is not banned in the world. Moreover, every day more and more traders come here who successfully trade and earn money. If you’re looking for a good broker, take a look at JustForex – international broker offering good trading conditions and reliable process of depositing and withdrawal of funds.

EUR/USD dropped to 1.1289 last week but rebounded strongly from there. The development suggests that corrective pattern from 1.1215 is still extending, with rise from 1.1289 as another leg. Initial bias is now mildly on the upside this week for 1.1569 resistance. On the downside, break of 1.1289 is needed to confirm resumption of fall from 1.1569. Otherwise, risk will stay on the upside in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

In the long term picture, the rejection from 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 argues that long term down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) might not be over yet. EUR/USD is also held below decade long trend line resistance. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186 should at least bring a retest on 1.0339 low. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1814 resistance holds.

USD/JPY edged higher last week but lost some upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But still, further rise is expected this week as long as 109.14 minor support holds. Rebound from 104.69 would target 61.8% retracement of 114.54 to 104.69 at 110.77. We'd look for topping signal above there. On the downside, break of 109.14 minor support will be the first sign of completion of the rebound. Intraday bias will then be turned back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 104.69 is strong, there is no change in the view that it's a corrective move. That is, fall from 114.54, as part of the decline from 118.65 (2016 high), is not completed yet. Break of 104.62 will target 100% projection of 118.65 to 104.62 from 114.54 at 100.51, which is close to 100 psychological level. Nevertheless, sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 110.82) will dampen this bearish view and turn focus back to 114.54 resistance instead.

In the long term picture, the rise from 75.56 (2011 low) long term bottom to 125.85 (2015 high) is viewed as an impulsive move, no change in this view. Price actions from 125.85 are seen as a corrective move which could still extend. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77. Up trend from 75.56 is expected to resume at a later stage for above 135.20/147.68 resistance zone.

GBP/USD's rebound from 1.2391 extended to as high as 1.3217 last week. Considering current upside acceleration, GBP/USD should sustain above 1.3174 resistance, which is close to 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.3149. The development suggests that whole decline from 1.4376 has completed at 1.2391 on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rise should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.3618. On the downside break of 1.3012 support is needed to be the first sign of topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1946 (2016 low) to 1.4376 (2018 high) is seen as a corrective move. Similarly, fall from 1.4376 to 1.2391 also displace a corrective structure. Current development suggests that rise from 1.2391 is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1946 and could extend beyond 1.4376 high. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.3618 will affirm this case. On the downside, break of 55 day EMA (now at 1.2838) will turn focus back to 1.2391 low instead.

In the longer term picture, current development argues that corrective pattern from 1.1946 (2016 low) is extending with another rise. But there is no change in the long term bearish outlook as long as 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 at 1.5466 holds. An eventual downside breakout through 1.1946 is still in favor in the long term.

USD/CHF rose to 0.9990 last week but formed a temporary top there and retreated. Initial bias is neutral this week first, for some consolidations. But downside of retreat should be contained by 0.9856 resistance turn support to bring another rally. As note before, corrective pull back from 1.0128 has completed at 0.9716 already. Above 0.9990 will extend the rise from 0.9716 to retest 1.0128 high.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF drew strong support from medium term trend line and rebounded. That suggests rise from 0.9186 is still in progress. Break of 0.9963 will affirm this bullish case. Further break of 1.0128 will confirm up trend resumption and target 1.0342 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.9716 will dampen this bullish view and at least bring deeper fall to 0.9541 key support.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we'll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

AUD/USD gyrated to 0.7076 last week but rebounded strongly from there. The development suggests that fall from 0.7235 is merely a correction and has completed. Initial bias is now on the upside this week for 0.7235 resistance first. Break till resume whole rebound from 0.6722 to 0.7393 resistance next. We'd expect strong resistance from there to limit upside. For now, in case of retreat, near term outlook will stays cautiously bullish as long as 0.7076 support holds.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain below 0.6826 (2016 low) suggests that the long term down trend is not ready to resume yet. But prior rejection by 55 week EMA indicates underlying medium term bearishness in the pair. Outlook will also bearish as long as 0.7393 resistance holds. On the downside, sustained break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 (2008 low).

In the longer term picture, prior rejection by 55 month EMA maintained long term bearishness in AUD/USD. That is, down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) is still in progress. Sustained break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 low and then 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8135 at 0.5507.

USD/CAD recovered to 1.3375 last week but was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.3664 to 1.3180 at 1.3365. Subsequent decline suggests that fall from 1.3664 is resuming. Initial bias is now on the downside this week for 1.3180 support first. Break will confirm this case and target 61.8% projection of 1.3664 to 1.3180 from 1.3375 at 1.3076 next. In case of recovery, risk will remains on the downside as long as 1.3375 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, structure of the medium term rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) is not clearly impulsive so far. Hence, we'd stay cautious on strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 and 1.3793 resistance to limit upside, and bring medium term topping. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as channel support (now at 1.3036) holds. Sustained break of 1.3793 will pave the way to retest 1.4689 (2015 high).

In the longer term picture, corrective fall from 1.4689 (2015 high) should have completed with three waves down to 1.2061, just ahead of 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2015 high) at 1.2048. The development keeps long term up trend from 0.9406 and that from 0.9056 (2007 low) intact. For now, there is prospect of extending the long term up trend through 1.4689.

GBP/JPY's rebound from 131.51 extended to as high as 144.84 last week and there is no sign of topping yet. Initial bias remains on the upside this week for trendline resistance at around 147.35. We'd expect strong resistance from there to limit upside at first attempt. On the downside, below 143.39 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first and bring consolidations. But further rise will remain in favor as long as 139.43 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, the strong rebound from 131.51 suggests that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed already. The corrective structure of such decline is turn argues that it's the second leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). And this pattern is starting the third leg. On the upside, decisive break of 149.38 will pave the way to 156.59 resistance and above.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 122.36 (2016 low) to 156.59 (2018 high) doesn't display a clear impulsive structure. Thus, we're treating price actions from 122.36 as a corrective pattern. In case of an extension, strong resistance is likely to be seen at 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.36 at 159.11 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 131.51 support will bring 122.26 low back into focus.

EUR/JPY edged higher to 125.32 last week and break of 125.09 resistance suggests resumption of rebound from 118.62. Initial bias is now on the upside this week for 55 day EMA (now at 126.43). On the downside, break of 123.78 support is now needed to indicate completion of rebound form 118.62. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.39 is possibly just the second leg of the corrective pattern from 109.03. Break of 133.12 resistance should start the third leg to 137.49 and above. Nevertheless, break of 118.62 will resume the decline from 137.49 for 109.03/114.84 support zone instead.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. It could extend through 109.03 to resume the decline from 149.76 But in that case, we'd expect strong support around 94.11 (2012 low) to bring reversal.