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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 158.06; (P) 159.18; (R1) 159.87; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Overall outlook is unchanged that consolidation pattern from 154.40 could still extend. On the downside, below 157.96 will target 156.16 support. However, break of 161.48 will turn bias back to the upside for 164.07 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). The range of consolidation should have been set between 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 and 175.41 high. However, decisive break of 152.11 would argue that deeper correction is underway...

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8303; (P) 0.8320; (R1) 0.8335; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral for consolidations above 0.8290 temporary low. Further decline s expected as long as 0.8353 resistance holds. Corrective rebound from 0.8221 should have completed already. Fall from 0.8472 would target a retest of 0.8221 low. However, firm break of 0.8353 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.8221, just ahead of 0.8201 key support (2022 low). Sustained trading above 55 W EMA (now at 0.8442) will pave the way to 0.8624 cluster zone (38.2% retracement of 0.9267 to 0.8221 at 0.8621), even just as a correction to the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high). But still, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.8621/4 holds.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6521; (P) 1.6574; (R1) 1.6605; More...

EUR/AUD's consolidation from 1.6800 is still in progress and intraday bias stays neutral. Strong support is expected from 38.2% retracement of 1.5963 to 1.6800 at 1.6480 to contain downside. On the upside, firm break of 1.6800 will resume the rally from 1.5963. However, sustained break of 1.6480 will bring deeper correction 61.8% retracement at 1.6283 instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/AUD is holding on to 1.5996 key support (2024 low) despite brief breach. Larger up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is still in favor to resume through 1.7180 at a later stage. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.5996 will indicate that such up trend has completed and deeper decline would be seen.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9368; (P) 0.9387; (R1) 0.9400; More....

EUR/CHF is staying in range trading above 0.9359 and intraday bias remains neutral. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9516 resistance holds. Corrective rebound from 0.9204 might have completed at 0.9516 already. Firm break of 0.9336 support will solidify this bearish case and target a retest on 0.9204 low.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 0.9204 has completed as a corrective move after failing to sustain above 38.2% retracement of 0.9928 to 0.9204 at 0.9481. Firm break of 0.9204/9 support zone will confirm larger down trend resumption.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4275; (P) 1.4310; (R1) 1.4350; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment. Downside of the consolidation from 1.4791 should be contained by 1.4260 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3418 to 1.4791 at 1.4267), which is also close to 55 D EMA (now at 1.4264). Larger up trend is expected to resume through 1.4791 at a later stage. However, firm break of 1.4260 will indicate that deeper correction is underway.

In the bigger picture, the break of 1.4667/89 key resistance zone (2020/2015 highs) confirms long term uptrend resumption. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3418 at 1.4993. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.3976 resistance turned holds (2022 high), even in case of deep pullback.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6251; (P) 0.6274; (R1) 0.6308; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral and further decline is expected as long as 0.6329 resistance holds. Break of 0.6087 will resume larger fall from 0.6941. However, firm break of 0.6329 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.6941 (2024 high) is seen as part of the down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high). Next medium term target is 61.8% projection of 0.8006 to 0.6169 from 0.6941 at 0.5806. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 W EMA (now at 0.6511) holds.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0368; (P) 1.0405; (R1) 1.0440; More...

Outlook in EUR/USD is unchanged and strong resistance is expected from 1.0531 to cap upside of the corrective pattern from 1.0176. On the downside, break of 1.0176 will resume whole fall from 1.1213. However, sustained break of 1.0531 will rise the chance of bullish reversal and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rally.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is back on 61.8 retracement of 0.9534 (2022 low) to 1.1274 (2024 high) at 1.0199. Sustained break there will solidify the case of medium term bearish trend reversal, and pave the way back to 0.9534. However, strong support from 1.0199 will argue that price actions from 1.1274 are merely a corrective pattern, and has already completed.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2462; (P) 1.2506; (R1) 1.2548; More...

Outlook is unchanged in GBP/USD. Strong resistance is expected from 38.2% retracement of 1.3433 to 1.2099 at 1.2609 to complete the corrective rebound from 1.2099. On the downside, break of 1.2248 support will bring retest of 1.2099 first. Firm break there will resume whole decline from 1.3433. However, decisive break of 1.2609 will raise the chance of near term reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 1.2923.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) should have already completed at 1.3433 (2024 high), and the trend has reversed. Further fall is now expected as long as 1.2810 resistance holds. Deeper decline should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3433 at 1.1528, even as a corrective move. However, firm break of 1.2810 will dampen this bearish view and bring retest of 1.3433 high instead.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8992; (P) 0.9028; (R1) 0.9054; More

No change in USD/CHF's outlook as consolidation from 0.9200 is still extending. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.8956/64 support holds. Firm break of 0.9200/9223 will resume the whole rally from 0.8374 and carry larger bullish implication. However, sustained break of 0.8964 will complete a double top reversal pattern, and turn bias to the downside for deeper decline.

In the bigger picture, decisive break of 0.9223 resistance will argue that whole down trend from 1.0342 (2017 high) has completed with three waves down to 0.8332 (2023 low). Outlook will be turned bullish for 1.0146 resistance next. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.9223 will retain medium term bearishness for another decline through 0.8332 at a later stage.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.66; (P) 153.06; (R1) 154.00; More...

USD/JPY's fall from 158.86 is in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 151.49. Strong support could be seen from there to complete the corrective fall from 158.86. Break of 153.70 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside for rebound. However, sustained break of 151.49 will raise the chance of bearish reversal.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.