EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6042; (P) 1.6155; (R1) 1.6218; More

EUR/AUD’s fall from 1.6827 resumes by breaking 1.6122. Intraday bias is back on the downside with focus on 1.6033 low. Decisive break there will resume larger fall from 1.9799. Next near term target is 100% projection of 1.6872 to 1.6122 from 1.6420 at 1.5984. On the upside, above 1.6178 minor resistance will indicate some support from 1.6033 and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price action from 1.9799 are seen as developing into a corrective pattern. The question is whether it’s a sideway pattern or a deep correction. On the downside, sustained break of 1.6033 will suggest it’s the latter case and target 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 (2012 low) to 1.9799 at 1.4733. On the upside, break of 1.6827 resistance will favor the former case and bring stronger rebound.

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