EUR/CHF’s late selloff sent it through 1.0683 minor support last week. The development argues that rebound from 1.0629 is finished at 1.0823. More importantly, the larger decline from 1.1198 is possibly still in progress.
Initial bias in EUR/CHF is now on the downside this week for 1.0620/29 key support zone. Decisive break there will resume the larger fall from 1.1198. On the upside, above 1.0709 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral. But outlook will be cautiously bearish as long as 1.0761 resistance holds.
In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Current development suggests that it’s not completed yet. sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. In any case, break of 1.0823 resistance is needed to be the first indication of reversal. Otherwise, deeper fall is still expected even in case of recovery.