EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.97; (P) 122.27; (R1) 122.62; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside as choppy rebound from 119.31 is extending. Further rise should be seen to retest 124.43 high. Decisive break there will resume whole rally from 114.42 bottom. on the downside, break of 121.81 support would turn bias back to the downside for 120.27 support. Break there should start the third leg of the corrective pattern from 124.43 to 119.31 support, and probably further to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 124.43 at 118.24.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.59 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 120.35) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

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