Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3362; (P) 1.3403; (R1) 1.3463; More

USD/CAD rises to as high as 1.3456 so far and focus is now on 1.3467 resistance. Decisive break there will resume whole rise from 1.3068. In that case, further rally would be seen back to retest 1.3664 high and then 1.3685 key fibonacci level. Rejection by 1.3467 will bring another fall to extend the consolidation from there. But downside should be contained by 1.3250 support in that case.

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In the bigger picture, USD/CAD is staying well inside medium term rising channel (support at 1.3212). Thus, even though upside momentum and structure are unconvincing, further rise is still in favor. Decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 and 1.3793 will pave the way to retest 1.4689 (2015 high). However, firm break of the channel support should indicate bearish reversal, after rejection by 1.3793, and bring deeper fall to 1.3068 support for confirmation.


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