Aussie Surges as Markets in Full Risk-On, All Risks Shrugged
Risk-on mode continues in Asian markets today. Investors, in particular in Hong Kong markets, basically shrugged off US President Donald Trump's announcements regarding China. There is also no reaction to the unrest in US. Instead, traders continued to cheer economy reopening, as well as positive data from China. Australian...
Old and New Risks Ignored So Far, Dollar to Decide Reversal or Not Soon
Some old and new global risks, other than coronavirus, have been (re-)emerging in recent weeks. US-China relation is heading another step towards cold war with US President Donald Trump's new set of measures against China announced on Friday. Unrest that started in Minneapolis quickly spread from Los Angeles to Miami...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Euro Rallied to Highest in 2 Months after European Commission’s Stimulus Plan
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended May 26, NET LENGTH in USD Index dropped -2 498 contracts to 14 799. Speculative long positions decreased -3 476 contracts and short positions were down -978 contracts. Concerning European currencies, NET LENGTH in EUR futures...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Traders Took Profit on Gold after Failing to Break New High
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended May 26, NET LENGTH for crude oil futures dropped -1 029 contracts to 542 574 for the week. Speculative long positions gained +9 217 contracts while shorts jumped +10 246 contracts. For refined oil products, NET LENGTH...
Euro Power Continues, Follow by Yen on Mild Risk-Off
Markets are in mild risk off mode before weekly close, awaiting US President Donald Trump's "interesting" and "powerful" measures on China. Though, this time, Euro is boosted as the strongest one, followed by Yen. Dollar and Swiss Franc are the weakest for today. Overall, Euro is staying as the...
RBA to Send More Upbeat Economic Assessment in June
We expect RBA to leave its monetary policy measures unchanged in June. Governor Philip Lowe appeared cautiously optimistic about domestic economic outlook. We expect the central bank will deliver a more upbeat economic outlook while pledge to leave the policy rate at record low level for years. The forward...
US Crude Inventory and Imports Surprisingly Increased
Crude oil inventory in the US surprisingly increased last week. Meanwhile imports also jumped due to shipment from Saudi Arabia. Supply in the US was partly offset by further decline in domestic production. The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum...
Dollar Weakens, Stocks Turn Cautious, Awaiting Trump’s Announcement on China
Dollar remains generally weak in Asian session, with notable selloff against Yen too. Markets generally turned cautious as US President Donald Trump is set to announce his new China policies on Friday. This is in response to China's passing of national security law to forcibly impose on Hong Kong....
Dollar Mildly Lower after Poor Durable Orders, Euro Extending Gains
Dollar is trading a touch softer in early US session after poor durable goods orders. Euro, on the other hand, is trying to extend the EU stimulus triggered gains. Overall, movements in the forex markets today are relatively limited. Yen and the greenback remain the weakest for the week...
Asia Mixed With Eyes on US-China Tensions Over Hong Kong
Asian markets continued to ignore risk rally in US and trade mixed today. Sentiments are mildly weighed down by US-China tensions over Hong Kong. But reactions are so far limited. Euro and Dollar are mildly firmer in Asian session but major pairs and crosses are staying inside yesterday's range....
Gold will Regain Momentum after Correction, Supported by Low Yield and US-China Tensions
We expect gold's rally to resume after correction. Although there are signs that the coronavirus pandemic is stabilizing, the recovery path of global economy remains thorn and gradual. Central banks around the world will have to maintain expansionary monetary policy, pressing interest rates to zero, if not negative. Meanwhile,...
Euro Flies High on EU New Generation Recovery Plan
Euro surges broadly today as traders more than welcome the new EU pandemic recovery plan. Canadian Dollar is currently the second strongest while the greenback is the third. Strength in Euro appears to have prompted some selloff in Sterling as well as Australian Dollars. The Pound is somewhat weighed...
Dollar Recovers as Markets Turned Mixed, Awaiting Trump’s Very Powerful Response to China
The forex markets turned mixed today, together with major Asian indices. Dollar and Yen are trying to recover but there isn't any conviction in buying. Both remain the worst performing ones for the week so far. News regarding lockdown exits and coronavirus vaccines were generally welcomed. But investors are...
Coronavirus Vaccine News Boost Risk Appetite Again, Dollar in Free Fall
Risk appetite is back driving the global financial markets, after biotech company Novavax said it has started phase 1 human trials of coronavirus vaccine candidate. DOW future points to a breakout from recent rally for rally resumption. Dollar, Yen and Swiss Franc are decisively sold off across the board....
HKD Weakened Despite Widening HIBOR-LIBOR Spread; Hong Kong’s Autonomy at Risk as China Seeks to Impose New Law
Volatility in USDHKD has increased since last week. HKD fell from the strong-side convertibility undertakings against USD after the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) announced the plan to impose national security law in the city. The 12-month HKD FX swap points jumped from 240 to 700 in two days' time....
Sentiments Firm Up as Markets Left Hong Kong Tensions Behind, Comforted by PBoC Pledge
Asian markets strengthen generally as investors put Hong Kong tensions behind for the moment. Sentiments are also somewhat lifted as PBoC pledged to continue with targeted easing measures. Commodity currencies are generally higher as led by New Zealand Dollar for now. Yen and Dollar are the weakest ones, followed...
Sterling Mildly Higher in Holiday Markets, Gains Limited
The markets remain generally steady today, with UK and US markets on holiday. Sterling is mildly higher, followed by commodity currencies. On the other hand, Yen, Dollar and Euro are the relatively weaker ones. But after all, major pairs and crosses are stuck inside Friday's range. Investors would probably...
Euro Softer in Quiet Trading, Activity Might Stay Subdued Today
Asian markets are relatively mixed in quiet trading as another week starts. Hong Kong stocks dip mildly following Sunday's protests against the national security laws. But some optimism is seen in Japan with Nikkei's rise. Movements in the stock indices are limited anyway. Sterling is trading mildly higher, followed...
China’s Diplomatic Tensions Overshadow Global Coronavirus Pandemic Exit Optimism
While Dollar and Yen staged notable rebound towards the end of week, they still ended as the worst performing ones. On the other hand, commodity currencies were the best performers despite paring some of the gains. Markets were lifted by optimism that the world is moving closer to lockdown...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – NET SHORT of GBP Futures Jumped as Concerns about Brexit Talks Reemerged
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended May 19, NET LENGTH in USD Index added +847 contracts to 17 297. Speculative long positions gained +559 contracts and short positions were down -288 contracts. Concerning European currencies, NET LENGTH in EUR futures declined -5...