New 15% tariffs on more than USD 125B in Chinese imports took effect over the weekend, while the levies on the rest of USD 300B are still on track for December 15. China also started retaliation on the USD 75B in American goods. At the same time, US President Donald Trump indicated on Sunday that talks are still planned for September. He noted, “we are talking to China, the meetings in September, that hasn’t changed.”
On the other hand, Chinese state media repeated its hard line messages. The official Xinhua news agency warned “the United States should learn how to behave like a responsible global power and stop acting as a ‘school bully’.” The People’s Daily also emphasized “China’s booming economy has made China a fertile ground for investment that foreign companies cannot ignore.”
New Zealand Treasury: Continued Business Pessimism Increased Downside Risk
In the Monthly Economic Indicators report, New Zealand Treasury warned that “continued weakness in business confidence to weigh on domestic economic growth”, “renewed US-China trade tensions lead to significant market volatility”. Also, “global slowdown in manufacturing continues, but shows little sign of spilling over into services”.
The report noted that “manufacturing sector indicated contractionary sentiment for the first time since August 2012” while ANZ Business Confidence fell further. And, “continued general business pessimism has increased the downside risk for our near-term GDP growth forecasts, but there are tentative signs that the downward trend in confidence may have stabilised.”
Full report here.
Released from New Zealand, terms of trade index rose 1.6% qoq in Q2, up from 1.0% qoq and beat expectation of 1.0% qoq.