Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1656; (P) 1.1679; (R1) 1.1699; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. Near term outlook is unchanged. As noted before, persistent bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD and rising wedge like structure suggests that the cross is near to forming a top, if not formed. Hence, even in case of another rise, we’d expect limited upside potential. On the downside, sustained break of 1.1584 support will be a strong sign of trend reversal and should turn outlook bearish for 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1736 at 1.1313.

In the bigger picture, while a medium term top could be around the corner, there is no change in the larger outlook. That is, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress and would extend. As long as 1.1195 resistance turned support holds, we’ll hold on to this bullish view and expect another to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Though, we’ll reassess the outlook if 1.1195 is firmly taken out.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1488; (P) 1.1506; (R1) 1.1521; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.1445 is extending. Also, outlook remains bearish with 1.1639 resistance intact and deeper decline is expected. Break of 1.1445 will resume the corrective fall from 1.1832 and target 1.1355 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1832 at 1.1372.) At this point, we’d expect strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be in place at 1.1832 on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. But there is no indication of long term reversal yet. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’d still expect another rise through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0746; (P) 1.0766; (R1) 1.0779; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral first and outlook is unchanged. Further rise expected as long as 1.0721 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.0877 will resume the rebound from 1.0602 and target at test on 1.0915 high. On the downside, break of 1.0721 will argue that the rebound from 1.0602 has completed and turn bias back to the downside for retesting this support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0676; (P) 1.0702; (R1) 1.0720; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.0661 and intraday bias remains neutral first. As long as 1.0747 resistance holds, further decline is expected. Fall from 1.0877 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0915. Break of 1.0661 will target 1.0602 support next. However, firm break of 1.0747 should confirm short term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, and turn intraday bias back to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9662; (P) 0.9702; (R1) 0.9721; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as correction from 0.9847 is in progress. Intraday bias stays mildly on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 0.9252 to 0.9847 at 0.9620. But strong support is expected from there to contain downside to bring rebound, and set the range for the consolidation pattern from 0.9847. On the upside, above 0.9745 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 0.9847 instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.9252 already, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD. Rise from there now target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.9636) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1357; (P) 1.1369; (R1) 1.1383; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.1444 and intraday bias remains neutral. Consolidation from 1.1444 could extend further. But as long as 1.1310 support holds, further rally remains in favor. On the upside, break of 1.1444 will resume the rebound from 1.1181 and target 1.1501 key resistance next. On the downside, firm break of 1.1310 will indicate completion of the rebound. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1181 low again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone to complete it and bring rebound. Decisive break of 1.1501 (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1173 at 1.1490) will confirm completion of the correction. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1687 and above next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9627; (P) 0.9638; (R1) 0.9654; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9691 resistance will carry larger bullish implication, and target 0.9840 resistance next. However, break of 0.9620 support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0095 (2023 high) might have completed at 0.9416, just ahead of 0.9407 support (2022 low). Sustained break of 0.9691 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9416 at 0.9675) will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.9836 and above. However, rejection by 0.9691 will maintain medium term bearishness for another test on 0.9407 at least.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0977; (P) 1.0988; (R1) 1.1006; More…

Near term outlook in EUR/CHF remains unchanged. Consolidation pattern form 1.0811 could extend further. While further rise cannot be ruled out, we’d expect strong resistance from 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065) to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.0863 will target 1.0811 low.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF’s sharp decline and break of 1.0677 support last week indicates resumption of recent decline. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for next key support level at 1.0620 first. Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole fall from 1.1198. On the upside, break of 1.0749 resistance is needed to indicate near term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress and retest of 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 would be seen. Sustained trading below 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. On the upside, break of 1.0897 resistance is needed to confirm completion of such fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1215; (P) 1.1266; (R1) 1.1354; More…

EUR/CHF’s strong rally and break of 1.1319 minor resistance suggests short term bottoming at 1.1178. More importantly, considering bullish convergence in 4 hour and daily MACD too, EUR/CHF should have drawn strong support from 1.1154/98 and is reversing. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside. Decisive break of 1.1452 resistance will be another indication that whole fall from 1.2004 has completed. On the downside, however, break of 1.1265 minor support will turn focus back to 1.1154/98 key support zone.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1196) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

EUR/CHF dropped notably last week as consolidation from 1.1149 extended with another falling leg. Deeper decline could be seen this week but we’d continue to expect strong support from 1.0954 bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.1073 resistance will argue that larger rise from 1.0503 is ready to resume through 1.1149. However, firm break of 1.0954 will be the first signal of larger reversal and turn focus to 1.0915 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 1.0915 will argue that rise from 1.0503 might be completed, and bring deeper fall to 1.0737 support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1661; (P) 1.1691; (R1) 1.1711; More…

Upside momentum in EUR/CHF remains unconvincing with bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. But outlook stays bullish as long as 1.1584 support holds. Medium term rise from 1.0629 should extend to 1.2 key level. However, firm break of 1.1584 will now indicate near term reversal and should bring pull back to 1.1355 support or below.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1355 support holds. However, break of 1.1355 will indicate medium term topping. In that case, EUR/CHF should head back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.1142) and possibly below.

EUR/CHF dropped sharply to as low as 1.1728 last week as the decline from 1.2004 resumed and accelerated. The development further confirmed rejection by 1.2 key resistance. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 61.8% retracement of 1.1445 to 1.2004 at 1.1659. Sustained break will target key support level at 1.1445. On the upside, above 1.1776 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first. But near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1864 support turned resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, 1.2004 could be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Hence, for now, deeper fall could be seen back to 1.1445, which is close to 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1479. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound to extend the medium term corrective pattern.

Range trading continued in EUR/CHF last week inside 1.0721/0877. Outlook is unchanged and initial bias stays neutral this week first. Further rally is expected with 1.0721 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.0877 resistance will extend the rebound from 1.0602 for retesting 1.0915 high. On the downside, however, firm break of 1.0721 will argue that the rebound from 1.0602 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9454; (P) 0.9477; (R1) 0.9494; More…

EUR/CHF is still extending the consolidation from 0.9402 and intraday bias remains neutral. Deeper decline is expected with 0.9543 resistance intact. On the downside, firm break of 0.9407 will confirm larger down trend resumption. Next target is 61.8% projection of 0.9995 to 0.9416 from 0.9683 at 0.9325. However, sustained break of 0.9543 will bring further rally back to 0.9683 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.9407 (2022 low) will resume long term down trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1149 (2020 high) to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1033; (P) 1.1044; (R1) 1.1060; More…..

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation above 1.0962 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Stronger rise cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited limited by 1.1172 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, sustained break of 1.0962 will extend the fall from 1.2004 to 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0645 next.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1271; (P) 1.1295; (R1) 1.1309; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. More consolidation could be seen above 1.1264 temporary low first. Still, further decline is expected as long as 1.1350 support tuned resistance holds. On the downside below 1.1264 will extend the corrective fall from 1.1476 towards 1.1162 low. We’d expect strong support above there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.1350 will suggest that the pull back has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1162 at 1.1484 again.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re slightly favoring the case that corrective fall from 1.2004 has completed after being supported by 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154. Decisive break of 1.1501 resistance should confirm and target 1.1713 resistance next. On the downside, firm break of 1.1154 is needed to confirm down trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will be neutral at worst.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9572; (P) 0.9585; (R1) 0.9598; More…

EUR/CHF is still extending the consolidation from 0.9630 and intraday bias stays neutral. As long as 0.9510 support holds, further rally is still expected. On the upside, break of 0.9630 will resume the rise from 0.9252 and target 161.8% projection of 0.9252 to 0.9471 from 0.9304 at 0.9658 next. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, firm break of 0.9510 will turn bias back to the downside for deeper fall.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9683 resistance holds, rebound from 0.9252 are seen as a corrective move only. Larger down trend is expected to resume through 0.9252 after the correction completes. However, firm break of 0.9683 and sustained trading above 55 W EMA (now at 0.9620) will argue that 0.9252 is already a medium term bottom. Stronger rise would then be seen 61.8% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9773 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1376; (P) 1.1398; (R1) 1.1426; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.1343 is extending. As long as 1.1429 resistance holds, another fall is expected. As noted before, corrective rise from 1.1173 could have completed at 1.1501 already. Below 1.1343 will target 1.1154/98 key support zone again. At this point, we’d still expect this key support zone to hold. On the upside, above 1.1429 minor resistance will turn focus back to 1.1501 first. But still, break there is needed to confirm rally resumption. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside even in case of strong recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1243) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0358; (P) 1.0418; (R1) 1.0472; More….

EUR/CHF recovered after drawing support from 1.0369 resistance turned support. Intraday bias remains neutral first and further rise could still be seen. On the upside sustained break of 1.0505 long term resistance will carry larger bullish implications. Next target is 161.8% projection at 1.0782. However, decisive break of 1.0369 will indicate rejection by 1.0505 and turn bias back to the downside for 1.0186 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.