EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9864; (P) 0.9880; (R1) 0.9912; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 0.9905 minor resistance will confirm short term bottoming. More importantly, corrective pattern from 1.0095 should have then completed. Bias will be flipped back to the upside for 1.0067/95 resistance zone. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9832.

In the bigger picture, the rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0025) mixed up the outlook. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1562; (P) 1.1590; (R1) 1.1613; More…

EUR/CHF’s corrective pull back from 1.1709 is still in progress and could extend. But after all, as long as 1.1483 minor support holds, outlook remains bullish and we’d expect further rally ahead. Break of 1.1709 will target 1.2 key level. However, break of 1.1483 will be an early sign of reversal. In that case, deeper decline should be seen back to 1.1355 support.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1355 support holds. However, break of 1.1355 will indicate medium term topping. In that case, EUR/CHF should head back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.1067) and possibly below.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9573; (P) 0.9611; (R1) 0.9637; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with 4H MACD crossed below signal line. Also, with 0.9670 support turned resistance intact, near term outlook stays bearish for further decline. Break of 0.9520 will resume the fall from 1.0095 towards 0.9407 low. Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.9670 will be the first sign of bullish reversal and target 0.9840 resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9876). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9840 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1271; (P) 1.1293; (R1) 1.1322; More…

A temporary low is in place at 1.1264 in EUR/CHF and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Some consolidation could be seen but further decline is expected as long as 1.1350 support tuned resistance holds. On the downside below 1.1264 will extend the corrective fall from 1.1476 towards 1.1162 low. We’d expect strong support above there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.1350 will suggest that the pull back has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1162 at 1.1484 again.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re slightly favoring the case that corrective fall from 1.2004 has completed after being supported by 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154. Decisive break of 1.1501 resistance should confirm and target 1.1713 resistance next. On the downside, firm break of 1.1154 is needed to confirm down trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will be neutral at worst.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9565; (P) 0.9589; (R1) 0.9602; More

EUR/CHF is still bounded in range trading and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, break of 0.9647 will resume the rebound from 0.9520. Further sustained break of 0.9670 will be the first sign of bullish reversal and target 0.9840 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 0.9520 will resume the whole fall from 1.0095 towards 0.9407 low.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9849). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9840 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1496; (P) 1.1570; (R1) 1.1609; More….

Strong rebound in EUR/CHF suggests temporary bottoming at 1.1513. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. While another fall cannot be ruled out yet, we’d expect strong support from 1.1445 to contain downside, at least on first attempt, to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.1659 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Hence, for now, deeper fall could be seen back to 1.1445, which is close to 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1479. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound to extend the medium term corrective pattern. However, sustained break of 1.1445 will target next key cluster level at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1605; (P) 1.1621; (R1) 1.1646; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with current recovery. But another fall is still in favor with 1.1653 minor resistance intact. We’re holding on to the view that corrective rebound from 1.1366 has completed with three waves up to 1.1713 already. Below 1.1593 will target 1.1478 support to confirm this case. However, above 1.1653 minor resistance will bring another rise. But in that case, we’d expect strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760 to bring near term reversal.

In the bigger picture, 1.2004 is seen as a medium term top with bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. 1.2000 is also an important resistance level. Hence, the corrective pattern from 1.2004 is expected to extend for a while before completion. We’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.0523 support last week suggests larger down trend resumption. Initial bias stays on the downside this week. Next downside target is 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394. On the upside, above 1.0551 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited below 1.0653 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress for parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0653 resistance holds. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 1.0653 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming. Strong rebound would then be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1360; (P) 1.1395; (R1) 1.1424; More…

EUR/CHF retreat sharply again after hitting 1.1427 and intraday bias is turned neutral. On the upside, decisive break of 1.1452 resistance should confirm bullish reversal, after drawing strong support from 1.1154/98 zone. In that case, outlook will be turned bullish for 1.1713 resistance next. However, break of 1.1280 will argue that choppy recovery from 1.1178 has completed and bring retest of 1.1154/98 support zone again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1234) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0388; (P) 1.0412; (R1) 1.0424; More….

Further decline is expected in EUR/CHF with 1.0511 resistance intact. Current down trend from 1.1149 should target 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next. On the upside, though, break of 1.0511 resistance will now indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is now extending. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, break of 1.0694 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0732; (P) 1.0739; (R1) 1.0753; More

EUR/CHF is still holding above 1.0721 support and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is still mildly in favor. On the upside, break of 1.0877 resistance will extend the rebound from 1.0602 for retesting 1.0915 high. On the downside, however, firm break of 1.0721 will argue that the rebound from 1.0602 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0789; (P) 1.0818; (R1) 1.0838; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and more range trading could be seen. Further rise is expected with 1.0721 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.0877 will resume the rebound from 1.0602 and target 1.0915 resistance first. Break there will resume the whole rise from 1.0503. However, break of 1.0721 will suggest completion of the rebound from 1.0602. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for this 1.0602 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1027; (P) 1.1054; (R1) 1.1092; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral first. Consolidation from 1.1149 is still in progress and could extend. But in case of deeper pull back, downside should be contained by 1.0954 support to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 1.1149 will resume the rise from 1.0504 and target 161.8% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1404.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0395; (P) 1.0423; (R1) 1.0471; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with current recovery. Further fall is still expected as long as 1.0511 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.0365 will resume larger down trend to 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.0511 will confirm short term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 1.0584) and possibly above.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is now extending. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, break of 1.0694 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9930; (P) 0.9968; (R1) 1.0001; More….

Outlook in EUR/CHF remains unchanged as consolidation from 1.0095 is extending. Deeper fall could be seen and break of 0.9873 support cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9832 to bring rebound. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.0067 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the initial rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0039) mixed up the outlook. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9494; (P) 0.9504; (R1) 0.9522; More

EUR/CHF’s rise from 0.9252 is trying to resume by breaching 0.9510 and intraday bias is back on the upside. Further rally should be seen to 0.9574 fibonacci level next. On the downside, below 0.9466 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9252 are tentatively seen as a correction to the five-wave down trend from 1.0095 (2023 high). Further rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574 and possibly above. But overall medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF edged lower to 1.0541 last week with week downside momentum. Overall outlook is unchanged and stays bearish as long as 1.0710 resistance holds. Current down trend should target 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next. However, on the upside, break of 1.0710 will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound would be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0629 will pave the way to parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0811 support turned resistance holds, in case of rebound. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm of 1.0811 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0746; (P) 1.0760; (R1) 1.0786; More

EUR/CHF is still bounded in consolidation from 1.0838 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is expected 1.0712 support intact. Break of 1.0838 will extend the rise from 1.0602 to 1.0915 resistance first. Break there will resume whole rally from 1.0503 and target 100% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0602 at 1.1014 next. On the downside, however, break of 1.0712 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 1.0602 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF edged lower to 1.0216 last week, but recovered quickly since then. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Further fall is in favor as long as 1.0349 resistance holds. Break of 1.0216 support will reaffirm the case that corrective rebound from 0.9970 has completed at 1.0513. Deeper fall would be seen to 1.0086 support next. However, above 1.0349 will dampen this bearish view and bring stronger rebound back towards 1.0513 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until some sustained trading above the 55 month EMA (now at 1.0851).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0778; (P) 1.0798; (R1) 1.0815; More

EUR/CHF is still staying in range of 1.0721/0877 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rally is expected with 1.0721 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.0877 resistance will extend the rebound from 1.0602 for retesting 1.0915 high. On the downside, however, firm break of 1.0721 will argue that the rebound from 1.0602 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.