EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9573; (P) 0.9596; (R1) 0.9634; More

EUR/CHF is extending the consolidation from 0.9630 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally is expected as long as 0.9510 support holds. Above 0.9630 will resume the rebound from 0.9252 to 161.8% projection of 0.9252 to 0.9471 from 0.9304 at 0.9658 next. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, firm break of 0.9510 will turn bias back to the downside for deeper fall.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9683 resistance holds, rebound from 0.9252 are seen as a corrective move only. Larger down trend is expected to resume through 0.9252 after the correction completes. However, firm break of 0.9683 and sustained trading above 55 W EMA (now at 0.9622) will argue that 0.9252 is already a medium term bottom. Stronger rise would then be seen 61.8% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9773 and above.

EUR/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9529; (P) 0.9545; (R1) 0.9574; More

EUR/CHF’s rally re-accelerates today and breaks through 0.9575 fibonacci resistance. There is no sign of topping yet and intraday bias stays on the upside. Next target will be 161.8% projection of 0.9252 to 0.9471 from 0.9304 at 0.9658 next. For now, further rally is expected as long as 0.9510 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9252 are tentatively seen as a correction to the five-wave down trend from 1.0095 (2023 high). 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574is already met. But overall medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0798; (P) 1.0818; (R1) 1.0828; More….

EUR/CHF’s breach of 1.0802 suggests decline resumption and intraday bias is back on the downside. Current fall from 1.1149 should target 1.0737 cluster support next. On the upside, break of 1.0863 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) might be completed with three waves up to 1.1149 already, after hitting 1.1078 long term fibonacci level. On the downside, sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.0880) will affirm this bearish case. Further break of 1.0737 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0751) will bring retest of 1.0505 low.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0711; (P) 1.0723; (R1) 1.0745; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with current recovery. But further decline is expected as long as 1.0770 resistance holds. Decisive break of 1.0694 support will resume whole decline from 1.1149. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0655. On the upside, though, break of 1.0770 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for rebound towards 1.0811 support turned resistance first.

In the bigger picture, the rejection by 55 week EMA maintains medium term bearishness. Fall from 1.1149 (2021 high) is currently seen as the second leg of the patter from 1.0505 (2020 low) first. Hence, in case of deeper fall, we’d look for strong support from 1.0505 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 1.0505 will resume the long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high). Also, medium term outlook will now be neutral at best as long as 1.0936 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1436; (P) 1.1468; (R1) 1.1487; More… .

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.1537 is still in progress. Another fall could be seen. But in that case, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.0830 to 1.1537 at 1.1267 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.1537 resistance will confirm resumption of larger rally from 1.0629. In that case, EUR/CHF should target 1.2 key resistance level next.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1087 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9702; (P) 0.9728; (R1) 0.9755; More….

EUR/CHF’s down trend is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside for 0.9650 long term projection level. Some support might be seen there to bring rebound. But break of 0.9948 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish. Firm break of 0.9650 will target 100% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9970 from 1.0513 at 0.9334.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. Firm break there will target 138.2% projection at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 1.0513 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9478; (P) 0.9488; (R1) 0.9504; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and more consolidations could be seen below 0.9510. Downside of retreat should be contained by 0.9413 minor support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 0.9510 target 0.9574 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9252 are tentatively seen as a correction to the five-wave down trend from 1.0095 (2023 high). Further rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574 and possibly above. But overall medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9832; (P) 0.9851; (R1) 0.9885; More….

EUR/CHF’s consolidation pattern from 0.9953 is still extending and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 0.9953 resistance will resume larger rally from 0.9407 to 1.0072 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9720 will extend the decline from 0.9953 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8407 to 0.9953 at 0.9616.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 holds, price actions from 0.9407 medium term bottom will be treated as a corrective pattern. That is, long term down trend would resume through this low at a later stage. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.0072 will also have 55 week EMA (now at 1.0053) taken out. That would be an initial sign of long term bullish reversal.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0603; (P) 1.0617; (R1) 1.0623; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and consolidation from 1.0608 might extend. But recovery should be limited by 1.0737 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0608 will extend larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. While initial support might be seen from 1.0629 on first attempt, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.1059 resistance holds. Decisive break of 1.0629 will pave the way to parity next.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0846; (P) 1.0855; (R1) 1.0867; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 1.0837 support will resume the correction from 1.0986 and turn bias to the downside. In that case, we’d continue to expect strong support from 1.0791/0872 support zone to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.0908 resistance will argue that such correction is completed and turn bias to the upside for retesting 1.0987/0999 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0791 support holds.

EUR/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0795; (P) 1.0814; (R1) 1.0830; More

EUR/CHF’s down trend resumes by breaking through 1.0782 and reaches as low as 1.0760 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0648. On the upside, break of 1.0833 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook remains bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1059 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0713; (P) 1.0723; (R1) 1.0745; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. With 1.0689 minor support intact, we continue to favor the case of trend reversal, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, after defending 1.0620 key support level. That is, correction from 1.1198 could have completed. Above 1.0823 will target 1.0897 resistance next. However, break of 1.0689 support will dampen our view and turn focus back to 1.0629 low again.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Decisive break of 1.0897 resistance should confirm that it’s completed. And in that case, larger up trend is resuming for another high above 1.1198. Meanwhile, sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9773; (P) 0.9786; (R1) 0.9801; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays mildly on the upside at this point. Rise from 0.9563 would target a retest on 0.9847. Decisive break there will resume larger rally from 0.9252 high. On the downside, below 0.9708 minor support will turn intraday bias to the downside for another leg of the corrective pattern from 0.9847.

In the bigger picture, while 55 D EMA (now at 0.9655) was breached, EUR/CHF rebounded strongly since then. Rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom should still be in progress. Break of 0.9847 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. however, sustained trading below 55 D EMA will argue that the rebound has completed.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1596; (P) 1.1611; (R1) 1.1637; More….

EUR/CHF remains bounded in range of 1.1536/1656 and intraday bias remains neutral. With 1.1536 minor support intact, further rise is mildly in favor to 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760. But after all, the corrective pattern from 1.2004 is expected to extend with at least one more falling leg. Hence, we’ll look for reversal signal again above 1.1760. On the downside, break of 1.1505 will suggest that the rebound is completed. And intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 1.1366.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Such correction is expected to extend for a while and therefore, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0642; (P) 1.0660; (R1) 1.0672; More

EUR/CHF edges lower today but outlook remains unchanged. We’d continue to expect strong support from 1.0629, which is close to 61.8% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0648, to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.0737 resistance will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias to the upside.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. While initial support might be seen from 1.0629 on first attempt, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.1059 resistance holds. Decisive break of 1.0629 will pave the way to parity next.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1751; (P) 1.1780; (R1) 1.1826; More…

EUR/CHF’s rally resumed by taking out 1.1777 and reaches as high as 1.1818 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside for further rally. At this point, we’d still expect strong resistance below 1.2 handle to limit upside and bring medium term reversal. But break of 1.1683 support is needed to indicate short term topping first. Otherwise, outlook will remain mildly bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, while a medium term top could be around the corner, there is no change in the larger outlook. That is, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress and would extend. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’ll hold on to this bullish view and expect another to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Though, we’ll reassess the outlook if 1.1198 is firmly taken out.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0957; (P) 1.1008; (R1) 1.1041; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is neutral for the moment and outlook is unchanged. Consolidation from 1.0811 could extend with another rise. But upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065). On the downside, below 1.0964 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.0811. However, sustained break of 1.1062/5 will carry larger bullish implication and bring stronger rise.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1533; (P) 1.1566; (R1) 1.1598; More….

Focus in EUR/CHF is now on 1.1505 minor support with the current fall. Break will confirm completion of the rebound from 1.1366. And, corrective pattern from 1.2004 would then extend with the third leg, through 1.1366 low. On the upside, above 1.1656 will extend the rebound from 1.1366. But upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Such correction is expected to extend for a while and therefore, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0929; (P) 1.0946; (R1) 1.0960; More…

A temporary top is formed at 1.0964 again and intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral for consolidation. Downside of retreat should be contained by 1.0893 support to bring another rally. Above 1.0964 will target 1.0986/0999 resistance zone. Break there will extend whole rally from 1.0629 to 61.8% projection of 1.0652 to 1.0986 from 1.0830 at 1.1036.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0830 support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1417; (P) 1.1433; (R1) 1.1456; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the upside. Current rise from 1.1242 short term bottom is target 1.1489 support turned resistance first. Decisive break there will add to the case of trend reversal ahead of key support zone between 1.1154/98. Further rise should then be seen to 1.1713 resistance. On the downside, below 1.1329 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.1242 low instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1189) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend.