GBPJPY Outlook
GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook
GBP/JPY rose further to 213.75 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first with risk on the upside. On the upside, break of 213.75 will resume the rebound from 206.85, and target 217.45 resistance. However, firm break of 209.54 support will indicate that the rebound has completed, and bring retest of 206.85 low.
In the bigger picture, price action from 219.56 is seen as correcting the up trend from 184.35 (2025 low). Deeper fall could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 184.35 to 219.56 at 206.10. Strong support is expected from there to bring rebound. However, decisive break will raise the chance of larger trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 197.80.
In the long term picture, up trend from 116.83 (2011 low) is in progress. Next target is 251.09 (2007 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 55 M EMA (now at 191.13) holds.
GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral first with current retreat. On the upside, break of 213.75 will extend the rally from 206.85 to 217.45 resistance. However, firm break of 209.54 will argue that the rebound has completed, and bring retest of 206.85 low instead.
In the bigger picture, price action from 219.56 is seen as correcting the up trend from 184.35 (2025 low). Deeper fall could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 184.35 to 219.56 at 206.10. Strong support is expected from there to bring rebound. However, decisive break will raise the chance of larger trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 197.80.
GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
GBP/JPY's rise from 206.85 is in progress. Intraday bias remains on the upside and further rally should be seen to 217.45 resistance. On the downside, below 211.53 minor support will turn bias neutral again first.
In the bigger picture, price action from 219.56 is seen as correcting the up trend from 184.35 (2025 low). Deeper fall could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 184.35 to 219.56 at 206.10. Strong support is expected from there to bring rebound. However, decisive break will raise the chance of larger trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 197.80.
