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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

ActionForex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 188.04; (P) 188.89; (R1) 189.62; More...

Outlook in GBP/JPY is unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral. Risk will be mildly on the downside as long as 193.04 resistance holds. On the downside, firm break of 187.04 will extend the fall from 199.79 towards 180.00 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 208.09 are seen as a correction to rally from 123.94 (2020 low). Strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 208.09 at 175.94 to contain downside. However, sustained break of 152.11 will bring deeper fall even still as a correction.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.09; (P) 156.70; (R1) 157.32; More...

No change in EUR/JPY's outlook and intraday bias stays neutral. On the downside, firm break of 155.72 will be a strong sign that whole fall from 175.41 is resuming. Retest of 154.40 support should be seen next and firm break there should confirm. However, break of 158.19 resistance will turn bias back to the upside and extend the corrective pattern from 154.40 with another rising leg.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). Strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 to contain downside. However, sustained break of 152.11 will bring deeper fall even still as a correction. Next target will be 100% projection of 175.41 to 154.40 from 166.67 at 145.66.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8288; (P) 0.8296; (R1) 0.8309; More...

No change in EUR/GBP's outlook and intraday bias stays neutral at this point. Another fall is expected as long as 0.8308 minor resistance holds. Below 0.8264 will resume the whole decline from 0.8472 to retest 0.8221 low. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.8308 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 0.8376 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the medium term down trend remains intact with EUR/GBP staying well inside the falling channel. Prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.8431) also affirm bearishness. Decisive break of 0.8201/8221 support zone will resume whole down trend from 0.9449 (2020 high) and carry larger bearish implications.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6494; (P) 1.6557; (R1) 1.6638; More...

Immediate focus is now on 1.6331 resistance as EUR/AUD's rebound from 1.6355 extends. Break there would suggest that corrective pattern from 1.6800 has already completed, and turn bias to the upside for retesting this high. Firm break there will resume the rally from 1.5963. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen at 61.8% retracement of 1.5963 to 1.6800 at 1.6283 to contain downside.

In the bigger picture, with 1.5996 key support (2024 low) intact, larger up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is still in favor to resume through 1.7180 at a later stage. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.5996 will indicate that such up trend has completed and deeper decline would be seen.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9370; (P) 0.9385; (R1) 0.9404; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral as range trading continues inside 0.9359/9516. On the downside, firm break of 0.9359 will revive the case that choppy rise from 0.9204 is merely a correction and has completed. Deeper fall should then be seen back to retest 0.9204 low. However, firm break of 0.9516 and sustained trading above 0.9481 fibonacci level will carry larger bullish implication and extend the rise from 0.9204.

In the bigger picture, sustained trading above 38.2% retracement of 0.9928 to 0.9204 at 0.9481 should confirm that whole fall from 0.9928 has completed at 0.9204. Further rally should then be seen back to 61.8% retracement at 0.9651 and above. However, another rejection by 0.9481 will keep outlook bearish for extending larger down trend through 0.9204 at a later stage.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0474; (P) 1.0497; (R1) 1.0537; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Price actions from 1.0176 are seen as a corrective pattern only. Strong resistance is expected from 38.2% retracement of 1.1213 to 1.0176 at 1.0572 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.0400 support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.0176/0210 support zone. However, decisive break of 1.0572 will raise the chance of reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 1.0817.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is on 61.8 retracement of 0.9534 (2022 low) to 1.1274 (2024 high) at 1.0199. Sustained break there will solidify the case of medium term bearish trend reversal, and pave the way back to 0.9534. However, reversal from 1.0199 will argue that price actions from 1.1274 are merely a corrective pattern, and has already completed.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.30; (P) 149.30; (R1) 150.03; More...

USD/JPY's fall from 158.86 resumed after brief consolidations and intraday bias back on the downside. This decline is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 161.94 high. Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32 next. On the upside, however, break of 150.92 support turned resistance will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2623; (P) 1.2650; (R1) 1.2695; More...

GBP/USD is staying in consolidation below 1.2689 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally is in favor as long as 1.2522 resistance turned support holds. Above 1.2689 will resume the rise from 1.2099 to 1.2810 resistance next. However, firm break below 1.2522 will argue that the rebound might have completed, and bring deeper fall to 1.2331 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) should have already completed at 1.3433 (2024 high), and the trend has reversed. Further fall is now expected as long as 1.2810 resistance holds. Deeper decline should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3433 at 1.1528, even as a corrective move. However, firm break of 1.2810 will dampen this bearish view and bring retest of 1.3433 high instead.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8900; (P) 0.8941; (R1) 0.8971; More

No change in USD/CHF's outlook as price actions from 0.9200 are still seen as a corrective pattern only. Strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 0.8374 to 0.9200 at 0.8884 to complete it, and bring larger rise resumption. On the upside, above 0.9053 will bring retest of 0.9200 resistance. However, sustained break of 0.8884 will indicate bearish reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 0.8690 instead.

In the bigger picture, decisive break of 0.9223 resistance will argue that whole down trend from 1.0342 (2017 high) has completed with three waves down to 0.8332 (2023 low). Outlook will be turned bullish for 1.0146 resistance next. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.9223 will retain medium term bearishness for another decline through 0.8332 at a later stage.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6325; (P) 0.6341; (R1) 0.6360; More...

Immediate focus stays on 0.6327 support in AUD/USD. Decisive break of 0.6327 will suggest that the corrective rebound from 0.6087 has completed ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6941 to 0.6087 at 0.6413. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.6087 low. Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.6413 will pave the way back to 61.8% retracement at 0.6615, even still as a correction.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.6941 (2024 high) is seen as part of the down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high). Next medium term target is 61.8% projection of 0.8006 to 0.6169 from 0.6941 at 0.5806. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 W EMA (now at 0.6505) holds.