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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.70; (P) 141.58; (R1) 142.73; More...
Despite breaching 140.74 minor support briefly, GBP/JPY quickly rebounded . Intraday bias stays neutral for the moment first. On the upside, above 144.77 will extend the rise from 136.44 to 148.42 resistance next. Break there will resume whole rise from 122.46 and target 150.42 long term fibonacci level next. On the downside, however, below 140.43 minors support will turn bias to the downside to extend the pattern from 148.42 with another falling leg, possibly through 136.44.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern even. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Though, sustained break will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement at 167.78.


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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.10; (P) 121.68; (R1) 122.34; More...
EUR/JPY continues to engage in choppy sideway trading below 124.08 resistance. Intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. Another fall cannot be ruled out as the consolidation extends. On the downside, below 120.54 will target 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39). In that case, we'd expect strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 124.08 will extend the larger rally from 109.20 to 126.09 key resistance next.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we'd expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt.


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EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4158; (P) 1.4204; (R1) 1.4277; More...
EUR/AUD's recover from 1.4025 resumed by taking out 1.4274 resistance. But upside momentum is weak so far. Hence, we'd still view it as a correction. Intraday bias is mildly on the upside for 1.4322. On the downside, break of 1.4093 minor support will suggest that such correction is finished and turn bias back to the downside. Break of 1.4025 will resume the larger fall from 1.6587 to key support level at 1.3671. We'd expect downside to be contained there to bring reversal.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a consolidative pattern. 50% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.6587 at 1.4095 was already met. While further fall cannot be ruled out, we'd expect strong support above 1.3671 to contain downside and bring rebound. Up trend from 1.1602 should not be finished and will resume later. Break of 1.4721 resistance will be the first sign of resumption of up trend from 1.1602 and target retesting of 1.6587 high first.


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EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0653; (P) 1.0668; (R1) 1.0699; More...
EUR/CHF recovered after forming a temporary low at 1.0635. Intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidation. But break of 1.0749 resistance is needed to confirm short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook remains bearish and deeper fall is expected. Below 1.0635 will target 1.0620 support. Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole fall from 1.1198. In that case, next downside target will be 1.0485 fibonacci level.
In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. On the upside, break of 1.0897 resistance is needed to confirm completion of such fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.


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EUR/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0717; (P) 1.0764 (R1) 1.0845; More.....
EUR/USD's choppy rise from 1.0339 resumed by taking out 1.0774 and reaches as high as 1.0811 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.0872 resistance. At this point, we're still viewing choppy rise from 1.0339 as a corrective move. Thus, upside should be limited by 1.0872 resistance and bring reversal. On the downside, break of 1.0619 will indicate that such rise is completed and turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.0339 low.
In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is in progress. Such down trend is expected to extend to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. On the upside, break of 1.1298 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.


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GBP/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2460; (P) 1.2528; (R1) 1.2644; More...
Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment as it rebounded from 1.2414 support. Overall, rise from 1.1986 is seen as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 1.1946. Above 1.2673 will turn bias to the upside and extend such rise towards 1.2774 resistance. We'd expect strong resistance from there to limit upside and bring down trend resumption eventually. On the downside, firm break of 1.2414 minor support will argue that it's completed and turn bias to the downside for 1.1946 low.
In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7190 is seen as part of the down trend from 2.1161. There is no sign of medium term bottoming yet. Sustained trading below 61.8% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 1.2457 will target 100% projection at 0.9532. Overall, break of 1.3444 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.


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USD/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9907; (P) 0.9975; (R1) 1.0018; More.....
USD/CHF drops to as low as 0.9860 so far as fall from 1.0342 continues. Such decline is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0327. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 61.8% retracement of 0.9443 to 1.0342 at 0.9786 and below. On the upside, however, break of 1.0043 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay mildly bearish in case of recovery.
In the bigger picture, rejection from 1.0327 resistance suggests that consolidation pattern from there is still in progress. Fall from 1.0342 is seen as the third leg and retest of 0.9443/9548 support zone could be seen. But we'd expect strong support from there to contain downside. At this point, we're still expecting the larger rally to resume later to 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359.


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USD/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 111.91; (P) 112.94; (R1) 113.80; More...
USD/JPY's break of 112.51 suggests that choppy decline from 118.65 has resumed. Intraday bias is back on he downside for 38.2% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 111.13. At this point, we're still viewing the fall as a corrective move. Hence, we'd expect strong support from 111.13 to contain downside an bring rebound. On the upside, above 115.36 resistance will argue that such correction is finished and turn bias to the upside for 118.65. Break will resume whole rise from 98.97 and target 125.85 key resistance.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. The impulsive structure of the rise from 98.97 suggests that the correction is completed and larger up trend is resuming. Decisive break of 125.85 will confirm and target 61.8% projection of 75.56 to 125.85 from 98.97 at 130.04 and then 135.20 long term resistance. Rejection from 125.85 and below will extend the consolidation with another falling leg before up trend resumption.


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USD/CAD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2956; (P) 1.3040; (R1) 1.3112; More...
USD/CAD's decline and break of 1.3017 support invalidated our bullish view. Instead, the development revived the case that corrective rise from 1.2460 has completed at 1.3598 already, after hitting 50% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.3838. Whole correction from 1.4689 could be starting the third leg. Intraday bias is now back on the downside for a test on 1.2460 low. On the upside, though, break of 1.3168 minor resistance will mix up the outlook again and turn intraday bias neutral first.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg could be completed at 1.3598 and fall from there is tentatively seen as the third leg. Break of 1.2460 will target 50% retirement of 0.9460 to 1.4689 at 1.2075 before completing the correction. In case of another rise, we'd look for reversal signal above 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838.


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AUD/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7531; (P) 0.7549; (R1) 0.7570; More...
AUD/USD's consolidation from 0.7608 is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rise could be seen with 0.7448 support intact. On the upside, above 0.7608 will extend the rebound form 0.7158. But we'd expect strong resistance from 0.7777/7833 resistance zone to bring near term reversal. On the downside, break of 0.7448 support will indicate that rebound from 0.7158 has completed. That will turn bias to the downside for 0.7144 key support level.
In the bigger picture, AUD/USD is staying inside long term falling channel and it's likely that the down trend from 1.1079 is still in progress. Break of 0.6826 low will confirm this bearish case. We'll be looking for bottoming sign again as it approaches 0.6008 key support level. Meanwhile, sustained break of 0.7833 resistance will be a strong sign of medium term reversal.


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