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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

ActionForex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 164.72; (P) 165.71; (R1) 166.47; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral for consolidations below 166.67 temporary top. Further rally is in favor as long as 55 D EMA (now at 162.92) holds. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 175.41 to 154.40 at 167.38 will pave the way to retest 175.41 high. However, firm break of 55 D EMA will argue that corrective rise from 154.40 has completed, and turn outlook bearish for this support again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). The range of consolidation should have been set between 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 and 175.41 high. However, decisive break of 152.11 would argue that deeper correction is underway.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8378; (P) 0.8413; (R1) 0.8472; More...

Immediate focus stays on 0.8433 resistance in EUR/GBP. Sustained break there will confirm short term bottoming at 0.8294. Further rally should be seen towards 0.8624 resistance next. On the downside, below 0.8381 minor support will bring retest o f0.8294 low instead.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is in progress. Next target is 0.8201 (2022 low), but strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. However, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8624 resistance holds even in case of strong rebound. Decisive break of 0.8201 will indicate long term bearish reversal.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6459; (P) 1.6501; (R1) 1.6561; More...

EUR/AUD's rally from 1.6002 resumed after brief consolidations. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 61.8% retracement of 1.7180 to 1.6002 at 1.6730 next. Sustained trading above there will pave the way to retest 1.7180 high. On the downside, below 1.6439 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5996 cluster support holds (38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 (2023 high) at 1.6000), up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is still expected to resume at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.5996 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9380; (P) 0.9399; (R1) 0.9417; More....

No change in EUR/CHF's outlook as range trading continues. Intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 0.9332 will resume the fall from 0.9579 towards 0.9209 low. On the upside, break of 0.9506 will turn intraday bias to the upside for 0.9579 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.9928 is seen as part of the long term down trend. Repeated rejection by 55 D EMA (now at 0.9427) keeps outlook bearish for breaking through 0.9209 low at a later stage. Nevertheless, sustained trading above 55 D EMA will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rebound back towards 0.9928 key resistance.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3902; (P) 1.3923; (R1) 1.3956; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside and further rise would be seen to retest 1.3946/76 resistance zone. Decisive break there will confirm larger up trend resumption. On the downside, below 1.3875 minor support will turn intraday bias and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, sideway consolidation pattern from 1.3976 (2022 high) might still extend further. While another decline cannot be ruled out, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in favor to resume at a later stage. Decisive break of 1.3976 will target 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3418 at 1.4391.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6553; (P) 0.6568; (R1) 0.6597; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral and more consolidations could be seen above 0.6536 temporary low. Further decline is expected as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.6695) holds. On the downside, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.6269 to 0.6941 at 0.6526 will target 0.6348 support next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.6269 (2023 low) should have completed with three waves up to 0.6941. Corrective pattern from 0.6169 (2022 low) is now extending with another falling leg. Deeper decline would be seen back to 0.6269 as sideway trading extends.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.39; (P) 152.49; (R1) 153.14; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 153.87 is extending. Deeper retreat cannot be ruled out but further rally is expected as long as 55 D EMA (now at 148.95) holds. Sustained trading above 61.8% retracement of 161.94 to 139.57 at 153.39 will pave the way to retest 161.94 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8622; (P) 0.8646; (R1) 0.8659; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral as consolidation from 0.8699 is extending. Further rally remains in favor as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.8609) holds. On the upside, decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9223 to 0.8374 at 0.8698 will argue that fall from 0.9223 has completed after defending 0.8332 low. Further rally should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.8899 next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 (2023 low) are currently seen as a medium term corrective pattern, with fall from 0.9223 as the second leg. Strong support could be seen from 0.8332 to bring rebound. Yet, overall outlook will continue to stay bearish as long as 0.9243 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.8332, however, will resume larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high).

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0856; (P) 1.0872; (R1) 1.0900; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays mildly on the upside for the moment. Rebound from 1.0760 short term bottom would target 55 D EMA (now at 1.0943). Strong resistance should be seen there to limit upside. On the downside, below 1.0807 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.0447 to 1.1213 at 1.0740 will extend the fall from 1.1213 to 1.0601 support next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 (2023 high) are seen as a consolidation pattern to up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low), with fall from 1.1213 as the third leg. Downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 0.9534 (2022 low) to 1.1274 at 1.0404, to bring up trend resumption at a later stage.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2830; (P) 1.2915; (R1) 1.2984; More...

GBP/USD's decline from 1.3433 resumed by breaking through 1.2906 temporary low. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 61.8% retracement of 1.2298 to 1.3433 at 1.2732. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 1.2298 key support level next. On the upside, break of 1.3042 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, considering mildly bearish divergence condition in D MACD, a medium term top is likely in place at 1.3433 already. Price actions from there are seen as correction to whole up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3433 at 1.2256, which is close to 1.2298 structural support. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound.