Sample Category Title

• WTI dives 7% from 73.30
• 200-day SMA moves horizontally
• MACD and stochastics confirm bearish outlook

WTI crude oil prices have lost more than 7% over the last couple of days after the pullback from the 73.30 resistance level. The commodity is also declining beneath the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) with the next support coming from the 17-month low of 65.70. Below that, the trough of April 2023 at 63.60 could be the next target.

On the flip side, a recoup of the latest losses could drive the market up to the 73.30 barrier ahead of the 50-day SMA at 74.30. A break above the short-term falling trend line could send the commodity towards the flat 200-day SMA at 77.75, switching the bias to neutral.

According to technical oscillators, the MACD is extending its negative momentum below the zero level, while the stochastic is diving from the 80 level.

In brief, oil prices have been creating a bearish tendency since the beginning of July and only a jump above the 84.70 resistance may change the current outlook to bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 192.00; (P) 192.64; (R1) 193.49; More...

GBP/JPY's rise from 183.70, as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 180.00, is in progress and breached 193.45 resistance. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 61.8% retracement of 208.09 to 180.00 at 197.35 next. On the downside, below 190.11 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 208.09 are seen as a correction to whole rally from 123.94 (2020 low). The range of consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 208.09 at 175.94 and 208.09. However, decisive break of 175.94 will argue that deeper correction is underway.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.12; (P) 160.89; (R1) 161.93; More....

EUR/JPY's rally resumed after brief consolidations and intraday bias is back on the upside. Rise from 155.14, as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 154.40, should target 163.86 resistance. Break there will target 61.8% retracement of 175.41 to 154.40 at 167.38. On the downside, below 159.03 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). The range of consolidation should have been set between 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 and 175.41 high. However, decisive break of 152.11 would argue that deeper correction is underway.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8335; (P) 0.8354; (R1) 0.8374; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for consolidation above 0.8316 temporary low. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8399 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, below 0.8316 will resume the fall from 0.8624 to 100% projection of 0.8624 to 0.8399 from 0.8463 at 0.8237 next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is resuming. Next target is 0.8201 (2022 low), but strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8624 resistance holds even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6236; (P) 1.6278; (R1) 1.6357; More...

A temporary low was formed at 1.6184 with current recovery and intraday bias in EUR/AUD is turned neutral first. But t outlook will remains bearish as long as 1.6629 resistance holds. Break of 1.6184 will extend the whole decline from 1.7180 and target 61.8% projection of 1.7180 to 1.6256 from 1.6629 at 1.6058, which is close to 1.5996 key support level.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up by the deeper than expected fall from 1.7180. Yet as long as 1.5996 support holds, up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is still in favor to resume at a later stage. Firm break of 1.7180 will pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.7062 from 1.5996 at 1.7715.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9421; (P) 0.9465; (R1) 0.9511; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Another rally is still in favor as long as 0.9305 support holds. On the upside, above 0.9502 will resume the rally from 0.9305, as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9209, to 0.9579 resistance. However, break of 0.9305 will resume the decline from 0.9579 towards 0.9209 low.

In the bigger picture, medium term corrective pattern from 0.9407 (2022 low) might have completed with three waves to 0.9928. Decisive break of 0.9252 (2023 low) will confirm long term down trend resumption. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 0.9928 at 0.8851. For now, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9928 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1099; (P) 1.1156; (R1) 1.1191; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral again with current retreat. Some consolidations would be seen below 1.1213, but further rally is expected as long as 1.1001 support holds. Above 1.1213 will extend larger rally from 1.0665 to 100% projection of 1.0776 to 1.1200 from 1.1001 at 1.1425.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1274 should have completed at 1.0665 already. Decisive break of 1.1274 (2023 high) will confirm resumption of whole up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low). Next target will be 61.8% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0665 at 1.1740. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.1001 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3281; (P) 1.3355; (R1) 1.3398; More...

A temporary top is formed at 1.3429 in GBP/USD and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Some consolidations would be seen but outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.3265 resistance turned support holds. Above 1.3429 will extend larger rally to 100% projection of 1.2664 to 1.3265 from 1.3000 at 1.3601 next. Nevertheless, break of 1.3265 will turn bias to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.3141 from 1.2298 at 1.4022. For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.3000 support holds, even in case of deep pullback.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8444; (P) 0.8475; (R1) 0.8536; More…

No change in USD/CHF's outlook as range trading continues and intraday bias stays neutral. On the downside, break of 0.8374 will resume the fall from 0.9223 to retest 0.8332 low. Decisive break there will indicate larger down trend resumption. However, break of 0.8548 resistance will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 0.8747 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 (2023 low) are currently seen as a medium term corrective pattern, with fall from 0.9223 as the second leg. Strong support could be seen from 0.8332 to bring rebound. Yet, overall outlook will continue to stay bearish as long as 0.9243 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.8332, however, will resume larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.49; (P) 144.17; (R1) 145.42; More...

USD/JPY's rebound from 139.57 short term bottom is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. Further rally would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 161.94 to 139.57 at 148.11. On the downside, below 142.89 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 139.57 instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term top is seen as correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Strong support could be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to contain downside, at least on first attempt. But in any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 149.35 resistance holds. Sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.