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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.74; (P) 162.22; (R1) 162.81; More...
Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as corrective pattern from 165.99 is still extending. Further rally is expected as long as 161.18 support holds. As noted before, corrective fall from 172.11 should have completed at 155.33 already. Break of 165.99 will target 169.26 resistance first, and then 172.11 high. However, break of 161.18 support will dampen this view and turn bias to the downside for 156.70 support instead.
In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 172.11 medium term should have completed at 155.33. With 38.2% retracement of 123.94 (2020 low) to 172.11 (2022 high) at 153.70 intact, medium term bullishness is retained. That is, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Break of 172.11 high to resume such up trend is expected at a later stage.
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.51; (P) 144.20; (R1) 144.77; More....
Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Further rally is expected as long as 142.13 support holds. Corrective fall from 148.38 has completed at 137.37 already. Break of 145.55 will resume the rise from 137.37 to 146.71 resistance and then 148.38 high.
In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.42) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8857; (P) 0.8885; (R1) 0.8905; More...
Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral and further rally is in favor as long as 0.8825 support holds. Correction from 0.8977 should have completed with three waves down to 0.8754. Above 0.8924 will target 0.8977 high next. Firm break there will resume the whole rally from 0.8545. On the downside, break of 0.8825 support will dampen this bullish view again.
In the bigger picture, outlook is rather mixed for now, except that price actions from 0.9267 (2022 high) are part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). With 0.8720 support intact, rise from 0.8545 is in favor to continue through 0.8977. However, firm break of 0.8720 will argue that such rebound has completed, and open up deeper fall through this support level.
EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5974; (P) 1.6026; (R1) 1.6111; More...
EUR/AUD's rally resumed after brief consolidations and intraday bias is back on the upside. Current up trend from 1.4281 should target 61.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.5976 from 1.5254 at 1.6302 next. On the downside, below 1.5933 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations again first.
In the bigger picture, the strong support from 55 week EMA (now at 1.5396) is raising the chance of bullish trend reversal. On break of 1.5976, focus will be on 1.6434 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.4281 at 1.6389). Sustained break there should confirm that whole down trend form 1.9799 (2020 high) has completed. However, rejection by this cluster resistance will make medium term outlook neutral at best.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9846; (P) 0.9889; (R1) 0.9912; More....
EUR/CHF's decline continues today and immediate focus is now on 0.9832. Strong rebound from current level, followed by break of 0.9892 minor resistance, will argue that fall from 1.0040 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.0040/95 resistance zone. However, sustained break of 0.9832 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.9407 low again.
In the bigger picture, with 0.9832 support intact, rise from 0.9407 (2022 low) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0095 and sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0021) will be a medium term bullish signal, and bring further rally to 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.
EUR/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0550; (P) 1.0571; (R1) 1.0603; More...
Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral for the moment. Another decline cannot be ruled out with 1.0693 resistance intact. But strong support could be seen from 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0463 to bring reversal. Break of 1.0693 resistance will argue that pull back from 1.1032 has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.0803 resistance and above. However, sustained break of 1.0463 will carry larger bearish implications.
In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0482 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) should continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. However, sustained break of 1.0482 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0106, even as a corrective pull back.
GBP/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1857; (P) 1.1898; (R1) 1.1964; More...
GBP/USD's break of 1.1914 support turned resistance indicates short term bottoming at 1.1801, after breaching 1.1840 support. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.2052). Sustained break there will bring retest of 1.2446 high. On the downside, however, break of 1.1801 will resume the decline to 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.2446 at 1.1646.
In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain below 1.1840 support argues that price actions from 1.2445 are merely a consolidation pattern. That is rise from 1.0351 is not over yet. Break of 1.2446 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 (2021 high) to 1.0351 at 1.2759. However, decisive break of 1.1840 will bring deeper correction to 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.2446 at 1.1646, or even further to 61.8% retracement at 1.1151.
USD/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9291; (P) 0.9359; (R1) 0.9395; More...
Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first. ON the downside, firm break of 0.9284 support will argue that rebound from 0.9058 has completed, and turn bias back to the downside for retesting this low. Nevertheless, strong rebound from current level, followed by break of 0.9439 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.9058 at 0.9474.
In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0146 is seen as part of a long term sideway pattern. As long as 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.9058 at 0.9474 holds, another fall is in favor through 0.9058. However, sustained trading above 0.9474 will indicate that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up further rally to 61.8% retracement at 0.9730 and above.
USD/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.61; (P) 136.49; (R1) 137.04; More...
USD/JPY is staying in consolidation from 137.90 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally is expected as long as 135.35 support holds. Break of 137.90 will resume the rally from 127.20 to next fibonacci level at 142.48. However, break of 135.35 will bring deeper pull back to 55 day EMA (now at 134.36) instead.
In the bigger picture, the break of 38.2% retracement of 151.93 to 127.20 at 136.64 suggests that whole down trend from 151.93 has completed at 127.20 already. Tentatively, rise from 127.20 is seen as the second leg the medium term pattern from 151.93. Further rally is expected to 61.8% retracement at 142.48. This will now remain the favored case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 134.10) holds.
AUD/USD Daily Report
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6565; (P) 0.6601; (R1) 0.6625; More...
Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 0.6694 support turned resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 0.6809). However, sustained break of 161.8% projection of of 0.6854 to 0.7028 from 0.6854 at 0.6539 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.6169 low again.
In the bigger picture, rise from 0.6169 (2022 low) has completed at 0.7156, after rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 0.7164). Deeper decline would then be see back to 61.8% retracement of 0.6169 to 0.7156 at 0.6546, even as a corrective fall. Sustained break there will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption through 0.6169 low.




















