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EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9569; (P) 0.9603; (R1) 0.9630; More....

Intraday bias n EUR/CHF remains neutral and some more consolidations could be seen below 0.9660. However, further rally is expected as long as 0.9489 support holds. Sustained trading above 100% projection of 0.9204 to 0.9516 from 0.9331 at 0.9643 will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 0.9836 next.

In the bigger picture, prior strong break of 55 W EMA (now at 0.9487) is a medium term bullish sign. Sustained break trading above long-term falling channel resistance (at around 0.9620) would suggest that the downtrend from 1.2004 (2018 high) has bottomed at 0.9204. Stronger rally should then be see to 0.9928 key resistance at least.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8403; (P) 0.8416; (R1) 0.8430; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral as range trading continues below 0.8448. Further rally is expected as long as 0.8358 minor support holds. On the upside, break of 0.8448 will target 0.8472 resistance first. Firm break there will resume whole rebound from 0.8221 to medium term falling channel resistance (now at 0.8508). Nevertheless, break of 0.8358 will suggest that rise from 0.8239 has completed and turn bias back to the downside instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is still bounded inside medium term falling channel. While rebound from 0.8221 might extend higher, it could still develop into a corrective pattern. Overall outlook will be neutral at best and down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) could extend, at least until decisive break of channel resistance (now at 0.8508).

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.7121; (P) 1.7171; (R1) 1.7256; More...

EUR/AUD is staying in consolidation below 1.7417 and intraday bias stays neutral. Downside of retreat should be contained by 0.6990 support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.7417 will resume rise from 1.6335 to 161.8% projection of 1.5963 to 1.6800 from 1.6355 at 1.7709 next.

In the bigger picture, the breach of 1.7180 key resistance (2024 high) suggests that up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is resuming. Sustained trading above 1.7180 will confirm and target 61.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.7062 from 1.5963 at 1.7682, which is also close to 61.8% retracement of 1.9799 (2020 high) to 1.4281 at 1.7691. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 1.6800 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pullback.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.72; (P) 163.45; (R1) 164.14; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the upside for the moment. Rise from 154.77, as another rising leg in the consolidation from 154.40, should target 164.89 resistance. On the downside, below 162.34 will turn intraday bias neutral again and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). Strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 to contain downside. However, sustained break of 152.11 will bring deeper fall even still as a correction.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 193.52; (P) 194.22; (R1) 194.80; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Sustained break of 194.73 will extend the rise from 187.04 to 198.94/199.79 resistance zone. On the downside, below 193.09 support will turn intraday bias neutral again first. Overall, corrective pattern from 208.09 is still in progress, with price actions from 180.00 as the second leg.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 208.09 are seen as a correction to rally from 123.94 (2020 low). Strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 208.09 at 175.94 to contain downside. However, sustained break of 152.11 will bring deeper fall even still as a correction.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4272; (P) 1.4296; (R1) 1.4323; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment as range trading continues. On the downside, break of 1.4238 support will argue that corrective pattern from 1.4791 has started the third leg already. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for 1.4150 support and below. On the upside, though, break of 1.4541 will resume the rebound from 1.4150, as the second leg of the pattern.

In the bigger picture, long term up trend is tentatively seen as resuming with prior breach of 1.4667/89 key resistance zone (2020/2015 highs). Next target is 100% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3418 at 1.4993. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.3976 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), even in case of deep pullback.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6340; (P) 0.6365; (R1) 0.6387; More...

Range trading continues in AUD/USD and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, sustained break of 0.6407 will resume the rebound from 0.6087 to 100% projection of 0.6087 to 0.6407 from 0.6186 at 0.6506, even still as a corrective move. On the downside, below 0.6268 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.6186 support.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.6941 (2024 high) is seen as part of the down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high). Next medium term target is 61.8% projection of 0.8006 to 0.6169 from 0.6941 at 0.5806. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 W EMA (now at 0.6482) holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.89; (P) 149.42; (R1) 149.81; More...

While USD/JPY's rebound from 146.52 might extend, upside should be limited by 150.92 support turned resistance. On the downside, below 148.22 minor support will bring retest of 146.52 low first. Sustained trading below 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32 will pave the way to 139.57 support. However, decisive break of 150.92 will dampen this bearish view and turn bias to the upside for 154.79 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low), with fall from 158.86 as the third leg. Strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8744; (P) 0.8782; (R1) 0.8805; More

USD/CHF is staying above 0.8757 support despite current dip. Intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 0.8911 support turned resistance. On the downside, break of 0.8757 will resume the fall from 0.9200 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8374 to 0.9200 at 0.8690. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 0.8374 support.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 0.9223 key resistance keep medium term outlook bearish. That is, larger fall from 1.0342 (2017 high) is not completed yet. Firm break of 0.8332 (2023 low) will confirm down trend resumption.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2967; (P) 1.2988; (R1) 1.3025; More...

GBP/USD's rally from 1.2099 is still in progress, and further rise should be seen to retest 1.3433 high. On the downside, break of 1.2910 support will indicate short term topping, likely with bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD. That would turn intraday bias back to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.3051 (2022 low) is not completed. Resumption is expected after corrective pattern from 1.3433 completes. Next target will be 1.4248 key resistance. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.2099 support holds.