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For the 24 hours to 23:00 GMT, Crude Oil rose 0.74% against the USD and closed at USD53.08 per barrel, amid rising US inventories and on global growth concerns. Adding to the negative sentiment, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) reported that oil production rose by 40,000bls a day to 33.08mn bls in November.

In the Asian session, at GMT0400, the pair is trading at 52.32, with oil trading 1.43% lower against the USD from yesterday’s close.

The pair is expected to find support at 51.43, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 50.53. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 53.83, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 55.33.

Crude oil is trading below its 20 Hr and 50 Hr moving averages.

USDCAD has broken above 11/29/2018 high (1.336) as well as above 6/27/2018 high (1.3386) creating incomplete bullish sequence. Short term Elliott Wave view suggests the rally to 1.336 on 11/29 ended Intermediate wave (W) and the pullback to 1.3157 ended Intermediate wave (X). Internal of Intermediate wave (X) unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure where Minor wave A ended at 1.324. Minor wave B bounce ended at 1.333, and Minor wave C of (X) ended at 1.3157 low.

Up from 1.3157, pair has made a new high above Intermediate wave (W) at 1.3157, suggesting the next leg higher has started. The rally is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure where Minute wave ((i)) ended at 1.322 and Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 1.316. Expect pair to do 1 more leg higher to end the 5 waves impulse and complete Minor wave A of larger degree. Pair should then pullback in Minor wave B to correct cycle from 12/3/2018 low in 3-7-11 swing before the rally resumes.

USDCAD 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.40; (P) 143.97; (R1) 144.68; More...

GBP/JPY recovered ahead of 142.76 but upside was limited below 4 hour 55 EMA. Further decline is still expected. Sustained break of 142.76 will pave the way to 139.29/47 key support zone. On the upside, break of 145.51 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bearish even in case of another recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) would still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.95; (P) 128.22; (R1) 128.66; More....

EUR/JPY's recovery was limited below 4 hour 55 EMA and weakens again. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 126.63 support first. Break there will then resume the whole decline from 133.12 to 124.08/89 support zone. And, even in case of recovery, outlook will stay bearish as long as 130.14 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8878; (P) 0.8906; (R1) 0.8936; More...

EUR/GBP is still limited below 0.8939 resistance and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, firm break of 0.8939 resistance will confirm completion of the fall from 0.9098 and turn outlook bullish for this resistance. On the downside, below 0.8810 will turn bias to the downside for 0.8655 low instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). Sustained break of 0.8939 resistance will confirm that it's in a medium term rising leg for 0.9098 and above. And for now, in case of another fall, downside will likely be contained by 0.8620/55 support zone to bring rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5475; (P) 1.5551; (R1) 1.5680; More....

EUR/AUD's rebound from 1.5346 accelerates higher today and focus is back on 1.5781 resistance. Decisive break there will suggest that corrective fall from 1.6357 has completed earlier than expected. Near term outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.6357 high. On the downside, below 1.5556 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.5346 and then 1.5271/5313 cluster support zone.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) is possibly completed at 1.6357, ahead of 1.6587 (2015 high). Fall from 1.6357 should be corrective such up trend and would target 1.5271 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6357 at 1.5313). Break will extend the correction to Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.4668. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.5781 will suggest that the pull back has already completed. And larger uptrend from 1.3624 might be ready to resume.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1303; (P) 1.1322; (R1) 1.1336; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. And, with 1.1356 minor resistance intact, another fall is in favor. On the downside, below 1.1295 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.1260 first. Break there will extend the decline from 1.1501 towards 1.1173 low. Nevertheless, on the upside, firm break of 1.1356 resistance will argue that the pull back from 1.1501 has completed at 1.1260. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.1501 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1317; (P) 1.1339; (R1) 1.1368; More.....

No change in EUR/USD's outlook and intraday bias stays neutral first. As long as 1.1472 resistance holds, deeper decline is expected in the pair. On the downside, break of 1.1267 will target 1.1215 low first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend from 1.2555 for 1.1186 fibonacci level next. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 1.1472 will be suggest medium term bottoming and turn outlook bullish for 1.1814 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2670; (P) 1.2735; (R1) 1.2797; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point. On the downside, sustained break of 1.2661 low will resume larger down trend from 1.4376. Next target will be 1.1946. On the upside, break of 1.2927 will extend the consolidation from 1.26661 with another rise. But even in case of strong rebound, upside should be limited by 1.3316 fibonacci level to bring down trend resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA. The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it's resuming long term down trend. And this will be the preferred case as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2661 at 1.3316 holds. However, firm break of 1.3316 would bring stronger rebound to 61.8% retracement at 1.3721. And, the eventual depth of the fall from 1.4376, and the chance of hitting 1.1946 low, will depend on the strength of the interim corrective rebound from 1.2661.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9959; (P) 0.9984; (R1) 1.0001; More...

USD/CHF is still staying in consolidation in range of 0.9908/1.0006. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 1.0006 will argue that the pull back from 1.0128 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.1028. On the downside, break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9541 to 1.0128 at 0.9904 will resume the fall from 1.0128 to 0.9848 key support level. Break there will indicate near term reversal and target 61.8% at 0.9765.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9541 could have topped at 1.0128. But as long as 0.9541 support holds, we'd still expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage. Break of 1.0128 will target 1.0342 key resistance. However, break of 0.9514 will pave the way back to 0.9186 low.