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EUR/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0350; (P) 1.0385; (R1) 1.0410; More...
Intraday bias in EURUSD is turned neutral first with current recovery. But outlook is unchanged that consolidation from 1.0176 should have completed at 1.0527. Below 1.0358 will target 1.0176/0210 support zone first. Firm break there will resume whole fall from 1.1213, and carry larger bearish implications. Overall outlook will remain bearish as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1213 to 1.0176 at 1.0572 holds.
In the bigger picture, immediate focus is on 61.8 retracement of 0.9534 (2022 low) to 1.1274 (2024 high) at 1.0199. Sustained break there will solidify the case of medium term bearish trend reversal, and pave the way back to 0.9534. However, reversal from 1.0199 will argue that price actions from 1.1274 are merely a corrective pattern, and has already completed.
USD/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.49; (P) 150.24; (R1) 151.38; More...
Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Fall from 158.86 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 161.94 high. Break of 148.55 will target 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32 next. On the upside, however, break of 150.92 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.
GBP/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2549; (P) 1.2585; (R1) 1.2612; More...
Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays mildly on the downside at this point. Fall from 1.2715 short term top would extend to near term rising channel support (now at 1.2439). Sustained break there will indicate that corrective rebound from 1.2099 has already completed. Nevertheless, above 1.2715 will resume the rebound to 1.2810 resistance next.
In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) should have already completed at 1.3433 (2024 high), and the trend has reversed. Further fall is now expected as long as 1.2810 resistance holds. Deeper decline should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3433 at 1.1528, even as a corrective move. However, firm break of 1.2810 will dampen this bearish view and bring retest of 1.3433 high instead.
USD/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8996; (P) 0.9017; (R1) 0.9050; More…
Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 0.9053 will suggest that corrective pattern from 0.9200 has already completed at 0.8911. Further rally should then be seen to retest 0.9200 resistance. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.8374 to 0.9200 at 0.8884 to bring rebound.
In the bigger picture, decisive break of 0.9223 resistance will argue that whole down trend from 1.0342 (2017 high) has completed with three waves down to 0.8332 (2023 low). Outlook will be turned bullish for 1.0146 resistance next. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.9223 will retain medium term bearishness for another decline through 0.8332 at a later stage.
AUD/USD Daily Report
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6207; (P) 0.6261; (R1) 0.6291; More...
Intraday bias in AUD/USD stays on the downside at this point. Corrective rebound from 0.6087 should have completed at 0.6407, ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6941 to 0.6087 at 0.6413. Deeper fall should be seen for retesting 0.6087 low. Firm break there will resume whole decline from 0.6941. On the upside, above 0.6254 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.
In the bigger picture, fall from 0.6941 (2024 high) is seen as part of the down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high). Next medium term target is 61.8% projection of 0.8006 to 0.6169 from 0.6941 at 0.5806. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 W EMA (now at 0.6494) holds.
USD/CAD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4420; (P) 1.4446; (R1) 1.4492; More...
Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside at this point. Corrective pull back from 1.4791 should have completed at 1.4150 already. Further rise should be seen to retest 14791 high. Strong resistance might be seen there to limit upside on first attempt. But decisive break there will confirm resumption of larger up trend. On the downside, below 1.4398 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.
In the bigger picture, long term up trend is tentatively seen as resuming with prior breach of 1.4667/89 key resistance zone (2020/2015 highs). Next target is 100% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3418 at 1.4993. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.3976 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), even in case of deep pullback.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9333; (P) 0.9369; (R1) 0.9404; More....
Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment, but further decline is expected with 0.9414 resistance intact. Corrective rise from 0.9204 could have completed at 0.9516 already. Below 0.9331 will target a retest on this low. However, break of 0.9414 resistance will mix up the near term outlook again.
In the bigger picture, sustained trading above 38.2% retracement of 0.9928 to 0.9204 at 0.9481 should confirm that whole fall from 0.9928 has completed at 0.9204. Further rally should then be seen back to 61.8% retracement at 0.9651 and above. However, another rejection by 0.9481 will keep outlook bearish for extending larger down trend through 0.9204 at a later stage.
GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 188.00; (P) 189.16; (R1) 190.62; More...
Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Further decline is in favor as long as 193.04 resistance holds. On the downside, firm break of 187.04 will extend the fall from 199.79 towards 180.00 support. That will also raise the chance that correction from 208.09 is resuming downward.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 208.09 are seen as a correction to rally from 123.94 (2020 low). Strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 208.09 at 175.94 to contain downside. However, sustained break of 152.11 will bring deeper fall even still as a correction.
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.00; (P) 156.08; (R1) 157.37; More...
Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and further decline is expected with 158.19 resistance intact. Below 154.77 will target 154.40 key support. Firm break there will confirm resumption of whole decline from 175.41 and target 152.11 fibonacci level next.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). Strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 to contain downside. However, sustained break of 152.11 will bring deeper fall even still as a correction. Next target will be 100% projection of 175.41 to 154.40 from 166.67 at 145.66.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8238; (P) 0.8256; (R1) 0.8271; More...
Further decline is expected in EUR/GBP as long as 0.8304 resistance holds. Fall from 0.8472 would target a test on 0.8201/21 key support zone. Decisive break there will carry larger bearish implications. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.8304 will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.
In the bigger picture, the medium term down trend remains intact with EUR/GBP staying well inside the falling channel. Prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.8414) also affirm bearishness. Decisive break of 0.8201/8221 support zone will resume whole down trend from 0.9449 (2020 high) and carry larger bearish implications.




















