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EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1425; (P) 1.1481; (R1) 1.1512; More...
EUR/CHF's fall accelerates to as low as 1.1401 so far today. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 1.1366 low next. Break there will resume whole fall from 1.2004 and target 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1366 from 1.1713 at 1.1319. On the upside, above 1.1460 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But upside of recovery should be limited well below 1.1556 resistance to bring fall resumption.
In the bigger picture, 1.2004 is seen as a medium term top with bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. 1.2000 is also an important resistance level. Hence, the corrective pattern from 1.2004 is expected to extend for a while before completion. We're not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen between 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.
USD/CHF The Upside Prevails
Pivot (invalidation): 0.9920
Our preference Long positions above 0.9920 with targets at 0.9950 & 0.9970 in extension.
Alternative scenario Below 0.9920 look for further downside with 0.9900 & 0.9890 as targets.
Comment A support base at 0.9920 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.
EUR/USD Under Pressure
Pivot (invalidation): 1.1550
Our preference Short positions below 1.1550 with targets at 1.1510 & 1.1490 in extension.
Alternative scenario Above 1.1550 look for further upside with 1.1575 & 1.1600 as targets.
Comment As Long as 1.1550 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.











