Sample Category Title

USD/CHF Continued Surge

USD/CHF is clearly in a strong bullish momentum. The technical structure suggests an improving short-term buying interest. Expected to show continued bullish pressures within uptrend channel. Hourly support stands at 0.9712 (12/10/2017 low).

In the long-term, the pair is still trading in range since 2011 despite some turmoil when the SNB unpegged the CHF. Key support can be found 0.8986 (30/01/2015 low). The technical structure favours nonetheless a long term bullish bias since the unpeg in January 2015.

USD/JPY Bearish Breakout

USD/JPY is riding lower within short-term uptrend channel. Key resistance stands at 114.49 (11/07/2017 high). Support is located at 111.12 (20/09/2017 low).

We favor a long-term bearish bias. Support is now given at 99.02 (10/08/2013 low). A gradual rise towards the major resistance at 125.86 (05/06/2015 high) seems unlikely. Expected to decline further support at 93.79 (13/06/2013 low).

GBP/USD Pushing Higher

GBP/USD has successfully broken support at 1.3088 (12/10/2017 low) before bouncing back. Resistance lies at (1.3229 reaction high). Expected to show further increase within uptrend channel.

The long-term technical pattern is reversing. The Brexit vote had paved the way for further decline. Long-term support can be found at 1.1841 (07/10/2017 low). Long-term resistance given around 1.35 is at stake and indicates a long-term reversal in the negative trend. Yet, it is very unlikely at the moment.

EUR/USD Bullish Consolidation

EUR/USD is consolidating higher after setting a new hourly resistance at 1.1575 (27/10/2017 low). Hourly resistance is located at 1.1658 (30/10/2017 high). Expected to show some shortterm consolidation.

In the longer term, the momentum is now turning largely positive. We favour a continued bullish bias. Key resistance is holding at 1.2252 (25/12/2014 high) while strong support lies at 1.0341 (03/01/2017 low).

WTI Oil Futures Are Trending Higher But Pause Recent Rally

WTI oil futures are trending higher and have shifted to a more bullish bias after breaking above the 53.00 level. The recent rally stalled at 54.43, a level not seen since late February.

Risk is to the upside but the market is now consolidating recent gains and is pivoting around the 54.00 level after upside momentum got exhausted. The positively aligned 20 and 50-period moving averages support the bullish view.

Soft support is at 53.71, the October 27 low and a break below it would shift the focus to the downside to target 53.00, placing the market back to a broader neutral trend. The next downside targets are at strong support levels which are expected at 51.00 and 49.00 and 47.00.

Rising above the 54.43 peak would put prices on the path for a move towards the previous major peak at 55.00 (February 21 high).

Looking at the 4-hour chart, WTI oil futures are steady in a small range. After RSI reached oversold levels above 70, it was expected that the market would consolidate. A daily close above 54.00 would be constructive for the bullish outlook.

EURUSD Analysis: Climbs To Monthly S1 At 1.1658

In line with expectations, the Euro continued to successfully recover against the Dollar until it met the first line of defence set up by the monthly S1 at 1.1658. Nevertheless, a pressure from the 55-hour SMA is likely to provoke the pair to make another attempt to break to the top. On the one hand, a combined resistance formed by the weekly PP at 1.1674 and the 100-day SMA represent too strong barrier to be so easily crossed. On the other hand, the exchange rate two days ago made a rebound from the bottom edge of a senior descending channel. From this perspective, the pair is expected to climb upstairs for some while. An additional impulse might be provided after today's release of the Euro Zone's inflation data.

GBPUSD Analysis: Returns To 1.32 Level

The first arrests made in result of Robert Mueller’s investigation as well as anticipation of the upcoming interest rate hike helped the pair to prematurely break through a massive resistance set up by three moving averages plus the weekly PP at 1.3160. In general, bulls are expected to try to push the cable to the last Thursday’s pre-fall level at 1.3270. However, today this attempt is likely to be blocked by another resistance level formed by the weekly R1 at 1.3250 and the upper trend-line of an alleged two-month long descending channel. On the other hand, there is a need take into account effect from release of various American fundamental data later this day, which might either provide an additional impulse for a breakout to the top or drag the pair back to the 100-hour SMA.

USDJPY Analysis: Trades Near 113.10 After BOJ Meeting

On Tuesday, the Bank of Japan left the interest rate, target inflation and core inflation forecast unchanged. In other words, they still amount to -0.1%, 2% and 1.8%. However, since this decision was widely expected, the Yen did not gain much value against Dollar. In fact, it stuck at the weekly S1 at 113.13. However, this correction is likely to last only until release of the American data. Depending on the actual figures the pair might either surge to the combined resistance set up by the 200-, 100- and 55-hour SMAs near 113.60 or slip further to the weekly S2 located at the 112.58 level. From daily perspective, the pair is expected to start gradually moving in the southern direction, as previous two days marked a long awaited breakout from the rising wedge formation.

XAUUSD Analysis: Tries To Break From Channel Down

The Gold prices continued to rise on Monday, following reports about the 1.3% PCE Price Index release as well as rumours that President Trump will chose Governor Powell take the Fed Chair seat. From technical point of view, this three-day growth has practically resulted in a breakout through the upper edge of recently formed descending channel. At the moment, the only barriers that constrain the bullion from climbing further are the 200-hour SMA near 1,277.16, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 1,279.00 and an alleged resistance near 1,281.57. One of these barriers as well as the weekly PP and the 100-hour SMA from the bottom are likely to constrain the pair from making major advances in the first half of the day. To be precise, until release of information on the US Consumer Confidence.

USD/JPY: BoJ Interest Rate Decision

The Japanese Yen edged lower against the Greenback, following the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy report. The USD/JPY currency pair rose 15 base points or 0.13% to continue consolidation in the narrow range between the 113.05-113.25 marks.

The Bank of Japan announced its decision to maintain the key interest rate unchanged at a negative 0.1% and keep the target for the ten-year government bond yield at 0%. The Bank postponed its monetary policy changes amid signs of improvements in the country’s economy, still anticipating the inflation growth to the elusive 2% target. The following review of the BOJ projections showed that it cut price growth forecasts for 2017, but kept optimistic view for the next years.