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USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8637; (P) 0.8653; (R1) 0.8677; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the upside as rise from 0.8374 is in progress. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9223 to 0.8374 at 0.8698 will argue that fall from 0.9223 has completed after defending 0.8332 low. Further rally should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.8899 next. On the downside, below 0.8605 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 (2023 low) are currently seen as a medium term corrective pattern, with fall from 0.9223 as the second leg. Strong support could be seen from 0.8332 to bring rebound. Yet, overall outlook will continue to stay bearish as long as 0.9243 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.8332, however, will resume larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high).

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6666; (P) 0.6689; (R1) 0.6718; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral for consolidation above 0.6657 temporary low. Further decline is expected as long as 0.6758 resistance holds. Below 0.6657 will resume the fall from 0.6941 short term top to 0.6621 structural support. Decisive break there will pave the way back to 0.6348 support next. Nevertheless, considering bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD, firm break of 0.6758 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 0.6941 instead.

In the bigger picture, overall, price actions from 0.6169 (2022 low) are seen as a medium term corrective pattern, with rise from 0.6269 as the third leg. Firm break of 100% projection of 0.6269 to 0.6870 from 0.6340 at 0.6941 will target 138.2% projection at 0.7179. However, break of 0.6621 support will argue that rise from 0.6269 has completed and bring deeper fall back to 0.6269/6348 support zone.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3761; (P) 1.3781; (R1) 1.3815; More...

USD/CAD is staying in consolidation below 1.3837 and intraday bias remains neutral. Deep retreat could be seen, but downside should be contained above 1.3646 resistance turned support. On the upside, above 1.3837 will resume the rally from 1.3418 to 1.3946/76 key resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, sideway consolidation pattern from 1.3976 (2022 high) might still extend further. While another decline cannot be ruled out, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in favor to resume at a later stage.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 194.34; (P) 194.97; (R1) 196.11; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 195.95 will resume whole rise from 180.00 to 61.8% retracement of 208.09 to 180.00 at 197.35 next. Sustained break there will target 208.09 high. On the downside, below 192.87 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 189.54 support. Further break there will target 183.70 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 208.09 are seen as a correction to whole rally from 123.94 (2020 low). The range of consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 208.09 at 175.94 and 208.09. However, decisive break of 175.94 will argue that deeper correction is underway.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.12; (P) 162.44; (R1) 163.03; More....

Outlook in EUR/JPY is unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, firm break of 163.86 resistance will resume the rebound from 154.40 to 61.8% retracement of 175.41 to 154.40 at 167.38. On the downside, break of 161.00 minor support will turn bias back to the downside. Further break of 158.09 will target 154.40/155.14 support zone.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). The range of consolidation should have been set between 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 and 175.41 high. However, decisive break of 152.11 would argue that deeper correction is underway.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8304; (P) 0.8339; (R1) 0.8359; More...

EUR/GBP's fall from 0.8433 extends lower today, but downside is still held above 0.8309 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, firm break of 0.8309 will resume larger down trend to 0.8201 key support next. However, decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 0.8624 to 0.8309 at 0.8429 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.8504 and possibly above.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is in progress. Next target is 0.8201 (2022 low), but strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. However, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8624 resistance holds even in case of strong rebound.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6113; (P) 1.6211; (R1) 1.6272; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is back on the downside with break of 1.6185. Deeper decline would be seen to retest 1.5996 key support level. On the upside, above 1.6351 will resume the rebound from 1.6002 to 38.2% of 1.7180 to 1.6002 at 1.6452.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5996 support holds, up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is still expected to resume at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.5996 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9353; (P) 0.9381; (R1) 0.9409; More....

EUR/CHF is still bounced in converging range and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, break of 0.9506 resistance should resume whole rebound from 0.9209 through 0.9579 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.9332 will resume the fall from 0.9579 towards 0.9209 low.

In the bigger picture, medium term corrective pattern from 0.9407 (2022 low) might have completed with three waves to 0.9928. Decisive break of 0.9252 (2023 low) will confirm long term down trend resumption. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 0.9928 at 0.8851. For now, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9928 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

China’s Q3 GDP growth slows to 4.6%, stimulus impact yet to solidify

China’s economy grew 4.6% yoy in Q3, slowing slightly from 4.7% in Q2 but in line with market expectations. This marks the slowest pace of growth since early 2023, as external pressures and a challenging global environment continue to weigh on the country's economic performance. On a quarterly basis, GDP expanded by 0.9%.

The National Bureau of Statistics noted that the economy remained "generally stable with steady progress," highlighting continued increase in production and demand, alongside stable employment and prices.

The NBS emphasized that the effects of the government's stimulus policies were beginning to show, with "major indicators displaying positive changes recently."

However, the bureau also cautioned that the external environment was becoming "increasingly complicated and severe," underscoring the need to further solidify the foundation for sustained recovery.

Key economic data released alongside the GDP report suggested signs of resilience in some sectors. Industrial production increased by 5.4% yoy in September, surpassing expectations of 4.6% yoy. Retail sales also exceeded forecasts, rising 3.2% yoy compared to the expected 2.4% yoy. Fixed asset investment saw a 3.4% year-to-date increase, slightly above 3.3% expected by analysts.

Japan’s CPI core slows to 2.4%, core-core edges up

Japan's core CPI, which excludes fresh food, eased from 2.8% yoy to 2.4% yoy in September, slightly above expectations of 2.3% yoy. Despite the slowdown, core inflation has remained above BoJ's 2% target for well over two years.

The deceleration in price gains is largely attributed to government utility subsidies, which have helped lower household expenses. Headline CPI fell from 3.0% yoy to 2.5%, with gas prices subtracting 0.55 percentage points from the overall figure. This indicates that without government intervention, inflation would have remained higher.

Meanwhile, CPI measure that excludes both food and energy costs—often referred to as core-core CPI—increased from 2.0% yoy to 2.1% yoy, suggesting underlying inflation remains firm. However, service prices saw a slight decrease in momentum, slowing from 1.4% yoy to 1.3% yoy.