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Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8539; (P) 0.8550; (R1) 0.8565; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral with current recovery. But risk stays on the downside with 0.8577 resistance intact. Decisive break of t 0.8491/7 support zone will resume larger down trend. On the upside, however, break of 0.8577 will turn bias to the upside for resuming the rebound from 0.8497.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8764 is seen as another leg in the whole down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high). Outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8713 resistance holds. Break of 0.8491 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8491 from 0.8764 at 0.8464.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6510; (P) 1.6559; (R1) 1.6640; More...

EUR/AUD rebounded strongly, but stays in range below 1.6671 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, decisive break of 1.6671 will revive the case that whole correction from 1.7062 has completed with three waves down to 1.6127. Further rally should then be seen to 1.6844 resistance for confirmation. Nevertheless, below 1.6458 support will turn bias to the downside for 1.6348 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Break of 1.6844 resistance will argue that this up trend is ready to resume through 1.7062 high. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9532; (P) 0.9545; (R1) 0.9562; More...

EUR/CHF's rally is in progress for 0.9574 fibonacci resistance. Considering loss of momentum as seen in 4H MACD, upside could be limited there, at least on first attempt. On the downside, break of 0.9466 support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9252 are tentatively seen as a correction to the five-wave down trend from 1.0095 (2023 high). Further rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574 and possibly above. But overall medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds.

The EUR/USD pair is trading close to 1.0821, demonstrating a strong stance in the current market environment. Investors are leaning towards riskier assets, buoyed by the anticipation of several key macroeconomic releases this week.

A critical focal point for the market will be the upcoming US inflation data, particularly the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, a preferred measure of inflation by the Federal Reserve. The report, expected to be released on Thursday, is forecasted to show a 0.4% month-on-month increase. This data is crucial as it influences the Fed's monetary policy decisions.

The prevailing market sentiment suggests that the Federal Reserve may not be poised to embark on a monetary easing cycle just yet, opting instead to maintain the current interest rate levels for a longer duration.

Technical Analysis for EUR/USD

On the H4 chart, EUR/USD has shown a downtrend, reaching a low of 1.0802. It's anticipated that a corrective movement could occur next. After this correction, the price is expected to decline to 1.0785, where it might form a consolidation range. A break below this range could lead to a further decrease towards the local target of 1.0720. This bearish scenario is supported by the MACD indicator, with its signal line positioned below zero and the histogram indicating a sharp decline, suggesting a potential further decline in the price to new lows.

The H1 chart presents a consolidation phase around 1.0824, followed by a potential drop to 1.0784. After reaching this level, the price may rebound to 1.0850 before descending again to 1.0720. This analysis is corroborated by the Stochastic oscillator, with its signal line currently near 80 and anticipated to drop to 20, indicating the likelihood of further price movements within this trend.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3490; (P) 1.3510; (R1) 1.3524; More...

USD/CAD is staying in sideway trading below 1.3585 and intraday bias remains neutral. With 1.3357 support intact, further rally is expected. On the upside, break of 1.3585 will resume the rebound from 1.3176 for 1.3897 resistance. However, break of 1.3357 will argue that the rebound from 1.3176 has completed and bring retest of this low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Overall, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6525; (P) 0.6546; (R1) 0.6561; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD stays neutral at this point. While recovery from 0.6442 could extend higher, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.6621 resistance holds. On the downside, below 0.6520 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 0.6442. Nevertheless, considering bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD, decisive break of 0.6621 will turn near term outlook bullish for 0.6870 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.6169 (2022 low) are seen as a medium term corrective pattern to the down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high). Fall from 0.7156 (2023 high) is seen as the second leg, which might still be in progress. Overall, sideway trading could continue in range of 0.6169/7156 for some more time. But as long as 0.7156 holds, an eventual downside breakout would be mildly in favor.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0823; (P) 1.0842; (R1) 1.0870; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral as range trading continues below 1.0887. On the upside, break of 1.0887 and sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 1.0832) will affirm the case that fall from 1.1138 has completed. Stronger rally would then be seen back to 1.1138. . However, break of 1.0761 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.0694 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is seen as the second leg. While further rally could cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, sustained break of 1.0694 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 1.0447 and possibly below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2662; (P) 1.2681; (R1) 1.2704; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 1.2708 resistance will indicate that correction from 1.2826 has completed. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for retesting 1.2826. Nevertheless, decisive break of 1.2499 will argue that whole rise from 1.2036 has completed and turn near term outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg, which could be still in progress. But upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2499 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8785; (P) 0.8803; (R1) 0.8819; More....

USD/CHF is extending the consolidation from 0.8884 and intraday bias stays neutral. With 0.8727 resistance turned support intact, further rally is expected. On the upside, above 0.8884 will resume the rally from 0.8332 to 100% projection of 0.8332 to 0.8727 from 0.8550 at 0.8954. However, sustained break of 0.8727 will dampen this bullish view, and turn bias back to the downside for 0.8550 support instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be formed at 0.8332, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD, just ahead of 0.8317 long term fibonacci support. It's still early to decide if the larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) is reversing. But further rise should be seen to 0.9243 resistance even as a correction.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.39; (P) 150.61; (R1) 150.94; More...

USD/JPY retreats mildly ahead of 150.87 resistance as consolidation continues. Intraday bias remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. In case of deeper retreat, downside should be contained by 148.79 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 150.87 will resume 140.25 to 151.89/93 key resistance zone. Decisive break there will confirm larger up trend resumption of 155.50 projection level next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 140.25 is seen as resuming the trend from 127.20 (2023 low). Decisive break of 151.89/.93 resistance zone will confirm this bullish case and target 61.8% projection of 127.20 to 151.89 from 140.25 at 155.50. However, break of 148.79 resistance turned support will delay this bullish case, and extend the corrective pattern from 151.89 with another falling leg.