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Consumer sentiment in Germany continues to languish as the GfK Consumer Sentiment Index for September slipped to -25.5, missing market expectations of -24.3 and marking a decline from last month's -24.6.

"The consumer sentiment is currently not showing a clear trend, neither downward nor upward – and that at a very low level overall," stated Rolf Bürkl, consumer expert at GfK.

Adding to the gloom, Bürkl warned, "The chances that consumer sentiment can sustainably recover before the end of this year are dwindling more and more."

He cited "persistently high inflation rates, especially for food and energy supplies," as the main obstacles hindering any meaningful advance in consumer sentiment.

The sub-components of the index painted an equally disheartening picture. Economic expectations in August plummeted from 3.7 to a worrying -6.2, marking the lowest level since last December's -10.3. Meanwhile, income expectations saw a significant drop from -5.1 to -11.5. The propensity to buy, another crucial sub-index, also declined, falling from -14.3 to -17.0.

Full Germany Gfk consumer sentiment release here.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0773; (P) 1.0801; (R1) 1.0812; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral with current recovery, and some more consolidations could be seen. But outlook stays mildly bearish as long as 1.0929 resistance holds. Below 1.0764 will resume the fall from 1.1274 to 1.0609/34 cluster support next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1274 medium term top is seen as a correction to up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 1.0634 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1274 at 1.0609). Strong support could be seen there, at least on first attempt, to bring rebound. Yet, medium term outlook will be neutral for now, as long as 1.1274 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.83; (P) 146.30; (R1) 146.52; More...

Further rise is expected in USD/JPY despite loss of upside momentum. On the upside, sustained break of 61.8% projection of 129.62 to 145.06 from 137.22 at 146.76 will pave the way to retest 151.93 high. For now, outlook will stays cautiously bullish as long as 144.52 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, overall price actions from 151.93 (2022 high) are views as a corrective pattern. Rise from 127.20 is seen as the second leg of the pattern and could still be in progress. But even in case of extended rise, strong resistance should be seen from 151.93 to limit upside. Meanwhile, break of 137.22 support should confirm the start of the third leg to 127.20 (2023 low) and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2531; (P) 1.2576; (R1) 1.2593; More...

GBP/USD is staying in consolidation above 1.2546 and intraday bias stays neutral. Near term outlook remains mildly bearish as long as 1.2799 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.2546 will resume whole fall from 1.3141 to 61.8% projection of 1.3141 to 1.2618 from 1.2799 at 1.2476. Firm break there could prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 1.2276.

In the bigger picture, for now, fall from 1.3141 medium term top is seen as a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075. Strong support would be seen there to bring rebound on first attempt. But outlook will be neutral at best as long as 1.3141 resistance holds, and consolidation from there is set to extend, until further development.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8779; (P) 0.8819; (R1) 0.8839; More....

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation below 0.8874 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Further rally is expected as long as 0.8758 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.8874 will resume the rise from 0.8551 to 0.9146 cluster resistance next.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.8551 medium term bottom is currently seen as a correction to the downtrend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rally would be seen to 0.9146 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9160). Strong resistance could be seen there to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Nevertheless, medium term outlook is neutral at best as long as 0.8551 holds, until further developments.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6369; (P) 0.6407; (R1) 0.6424; More...

AUD/USD is staying in consolidation from 0.6363 and intraday bias remains neutral. Another recovery cannot be ruled out, but upside should be limited by 0.6615 resistance. Break of 0.6363 will resume larger fall from 0.7156 to 100% projection of 0.7156 to 0.6457 from 0.6894 at 0.6195.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that the down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high) is still in progress. Decisive break of 0.6169 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8006 to 0.6169 to 0.7156 at 0.6021. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.6894, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3533; (P) 1.3575; (R1) 1.3593; More....

Despite loss of upside momentum, further rise is expected in USD/CAD with 1.3509 support intact. Decisive break of 1.3653 resistance there will confirm that correction from 1.3976 has completed, and target a test on this high. On the downside, however, break of 1.3509 support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias to the downside for some correction first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern only. Upon completion, rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) would resume through 1.3976. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2005 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4309. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.3387) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 183.81; (P) 184.34; (R1) 184.53; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Risk will stays on the downside as long as 186.75 resistance holds. Corrective pattern from 186.75 would extend with another falling leg before completion. On the downside, break of 183.35 will resume the correction from 186.75 short term top to 55 D EMA (now at 181.42) and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 176.29 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.74; (P) 158.23; (R1) 158.40; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Risk will stay mildly on the downside as long as 159.47 short term top holds. Correction from there would extend further with another falling leg. On the downside, break of 156.85 will bring deeper decline to 55 D EMA (now at 155.97) and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest long term resistance at 169.96. This will remain the favored case as long as 151.39 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8548; (P) 0.8573; (R1) 0.8586; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral first with 4H MACD crossed below signal line. Overall outlook stays bearish with 0.8667 resistance holds. On the downside, below 0.8559 minors support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 0.8491 low first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Further decline is in favor as long as 0.8667 resistance holds. Break of 0.8502 will resume the fall towards 0.8201 (2022 low).