Sample Category Title
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.25; (P) 144.31; (R1) 145.25; More....
Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays mildly on the upside at this point. Correction from 148.38 might have completed at 142.54, after hitting 38.2% retracement of 133.38 to 148.38 at 142.65. Further rally would be seen to retest 148.38 high. However, on the downside, sustained break of 142.65 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 139.11 and possibly below.
In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of medium term topping yet. Up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through1 48.38 to 149.76 (2014 high). However, break of 137.32 support argue that a medium term correction has already started to correct the whole up trend from 144.42.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8685; (P) 0.8746; (R1) 0.8781; More...
Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 0.8827 will resume the rise from 0.8570 to 0.8869. Sustained break there will pave the way back to retest 0.9267 high. On the downside, below 0.8689 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8570 instead.
In the bigger picture, current development suggests that fall from 0.9267 is a down leg inside long term range pattern. Deeper fall could be seen towards 0.8201/8338 support zone. But strong support should be seen there to bring reversal. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.8869 resistance will turn favor to the case that such decline is merely a correction in the up trend from 0.8201. That is, further rally would be seen at a later stage through 0.9267.
EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5218; (P) 1.5352; (R1) 1.5446; More...
EUR/AUD is extending the consolidation pattern from 1.5704 and intraday bias remains neutral. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 55 day EMA (now at 1.5252) to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.5704 will resume larger rise from 1.4281. However, sustained trading below 55 day EMA will bring deeper correction towards 1.4965 resistance turned support.
In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 1.4281, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rise would be seen back to 1.6434 key resistance next. Break of 1.4965 resistance turned support is needed to indicate reversal. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9720; (P) 0.9780; (R1) 0.9837; More....
Some volatility is seen in EUR/CHF and intraday bias stays neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 0.9720 will extend the fall from 0.9953 to 61.8% retracement at 0.9616, and possibly below. On the upside, however, break of 0.9839 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 0.9953 instead.
In the bigger picture, rejection by 0.9970 support turned resistance retains medium term bearishness. That is, while 0.9407 is a medium term bottom, price actions from there would develope into a corrective pattern rather than a reversal. That is, down trend resumption through 0.9407 is favored at a later stage. This will remain the favored case now, as long 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 holds.
USD/CAD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3226; (P) 1.3281; (R1) 1.3335; More....
Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral as it continued to lose downside momentum. Strong support could be seen from 1.3207 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.2726 to 1.3976 at 1.3204) to bring rebound. Break of 1.3494 support turned resistance will turn bias back to the upside. However, sustained break of 1.3204/7 will carry larger bearish implication and target 1.2952 support next.
In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3222 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3223) holds, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 high at a later stage. . However, firm break of 1.3222/3 will indicate that the trend might have reversed. Deeper fall would be seen to next cluster support at 1.2726 (61.8% retracement at 1.2758).
AUD/USD Daily Report
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6696; (P) 0.6747; (R1) 0.6808; More...
AUD/USD's rise from 0.6169 is in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. Next target is 161.8% projection of 0.6169 to 0.6521 from 0.6271 at 0.6841. On the downside, below 0.6662 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another rally.
In the bigger picture, the break of 0.6680 support turned resistance confirms medium term bottoming at 0.6169. It's too early to call for trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, rise from 0.6169 should target 38.2% retracement of 0.8006 to 0.6169 at 0.6871. Sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 0.6934) will raise the chance of the start of a bullish up trend. This week now remain the favored case as long as 0.6521 resistance turned support holds.
USD/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.80; (P) 139.20; (R1) 140.73; More...
Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral again with current recovery. Stronger rise cannot be ruled out, but upside should be limited below 145.16 support turned resistance. Break of 137.66 will resume the decline from 151.93, to 133.07 fibonacci level, as a correction to the larger up trend.
In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It's too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 130.58).
USD/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9377; (P) 0.9427; (R1) 0.9496; More...
A temporary low is formed at 0.9355 and intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral for some consolidations. Upside of recovery should be limited by 0.9680 minor resistance to bring another decline. Below 0.9355 will resume the fall from 1.0146 to 0.9287 fibonacci level.
In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 might be a medium term down trend itself. Break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 1.0146 at 0.9287 will pave the way to 0.8756. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 day EMA (now at 0.9793) holds.
GBP/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1729; (P) 1.1878; (R1) 1.2016; More...
Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside for the moment. Current rise from 1.0351 should target 100% projection of 1.0351 to 1.1494 from 1.1145 at 1.2288. On the downside, break of 1.1708 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation again, before staging another rally.
In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.4248 (2021 high). Further rise is expected as long as 1.1145 support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 to 1.0351 at 1.2759.
Technical Outlook and Review
USD/JPY:
The current general bias for USDJPY on the H4 chart is bearish. To add confluence to this, the price is below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If the bearish momentum continues, expect USDJPY to break the 1st support line at 138.852 where the -27.2% Fibonacci expansion line is located and head towards the 2nd support line at 135.554 where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is located. In an alternative scenario, price could go back up to break the 1st resistance at 140.356, where the -61.8% Fibonacci expansion line and previous low are located before heading towards the 2nd resistance line at 143.512 where the -27.2% Fibonacci expansion line and 50% Fibonacci line are located.
Areas of consideration:
- H4 time frame, 1st resistance at 140.356
- H4 time frame, 2nd resistance at 143.512
- H4 time frame, 1st support at 138.852
- H4 time frame, 2nd support at 135.554
DXY:
On the H4 chart, the overall bias for DXY is bearish. To add confluence to this, the price is below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, price could break the 1st support line at 106.396 where the 38.2% fibonacci line is located, before heading towards the 2nd support at 104.815 where the previous low and the 0% Fibonacci line are located. In an alternative scenario, price could head back up and retest the 1st resistance line at 107.682, where the previous low and 100% Fibonacci line are located.
Areas of consideration:
- H4 time frame, 1st resistance at 107.682
- H4 time frame, 1st support at 106.396
- H4 time frame, 2nd support at 104.815
EUR/USD:
On H4, with the price moving above the ichimoku cloud, we have a bullish bias that the price may break the first resistance level at 1.03686, which corresponds to the swing high and the 0% fibonacci extension, before heading to the 2nd resistance at 1.06014, where the previous swing high is. If the first resistance is breached, the second resistance is at 1.06014, the previous swing high. Alternatively, the price could fall to the first support level at 1.00937, which corresponds to the 38.2% fibonacci retracement.
Areas of consideration :
- H4 1st resistance at 1.03686
- H4 2nd resistance at 1.06014
- H4 1st support at 1.00937
GBP/USD:
On the H4, the price is moving above the ichimoku cloud, suggesting that the price may break the first resistance level at 1.19008, which corresponds to the 78.6% fibonacci and the previous swing high, before heading to the 2nd resistance line at 1.22770, where the previous swing high is. Alternatively, the price may break the first support level at 1.17381, which is the previous swing high, before moving on to the second support level at 1.13497, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci line.
Areas of consideration:
- H4 1st resistance at 1.19008
- H4 2nd resistance at 1.22770
- H4 1st support at 1.17381
USD/CHF:
The overall bias for USDCHF on the H4 chart is bearish. In addition, the price is below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. If the current bearish trend continues, the price might move towards the first support line at 0.93706, where the previous low was located. In an alternate scenario, price could rise to retest the first resistance line at 0.94810, which is also the 78.6% Fibonacci line. If the first resistance line is broken, the second resistance line is at 0.96302, which is the 78.6% Fibonacci line.
Areas of consideration
- H4 1st support at 0.93706
- H4 1st resistance at 0.94810
- H4 2nd resistance at 0.96302
XAU/USD (GOLD):
On H4, with the price breaking the descending channel and above the ichimoku cloud, we can expect the price to rise towards the 1st resistance at 1802.641, where the previous swing high is. Alternatively, the price may drop to the 1st support at 1765.050, which is in line with the 78.6% fibonacci line.
Areas of consideration:
- H4 time frame, 1st resistance at 1765.483
- H4 time frame, 1st support at 1727.850
AUD/USD:
With the price moving above the ichimoku cloud on the H4, we have a bullish bias that the price may break the first resistance at 0.67711, which is in line with the 161.8% fibonacci line, before heading towards the 2nd resistance line at 0.69161, the previous swing high. Alternatively, the price could fall to the first support level at 0.65398, which is marked by the 38.2% Fibonacci line.
Areas of consideration
- H4, 1st resistance at 0.67711
- H4, 2nd resistance at 0.69161
- H4, 1st support at 0.65398
NZD/USD:
On the H4 chart, the price is moving above the Ichimoku cloud and has broken out of the ascending channel. If this bullish momentum continues, the price may break the 1st resistance at 0.61565, which is in line with the previous swing high and 0% fibonacci line, before heading towards the 2nd resistance line at 0.62504, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is. Alternatively, the price may head back towards the 1st support at 0.59998, where the 61.8% Fibonacci projection line is located.
Areas of consideration:
- H4 time frame, 1st resistance at 0.61565
- H4 time frame, 1st support at 0.59998
USD/CAD:
On the H4 chart, the overall bias for USDCAD is bearish. To add confluence to this, the price is below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect the price to head down towards the 1st support line at 1.32081, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is located.. In an alternative scenario, price could head back up breaking the 1st resistance line at 1.33578, where the -27.2% Fibonacci expansion line and 141.4% Fibonacci line are located.
Areas of consideration:
- H4 time frame, 1st resistance at 1.33578
- H4 time frame, 1st support at 1.32081
OIL:
Looking at the H4 chart, the current overall bias for Oil is bearish. To add confluence to this, the price is below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to break the 1st support at 93.106 where the previous swing low and 61.8% Fibonacci line are located before heading towards the 2nd support at 89.452, where the previous swing low lies. In an alternative scenario, price could head back up to retest the 1st resistance line at 97.772 where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is located.
Areas of consideration:
- H4 time frame, 1st resistance at 97.772
- H4 time frame, 1st support at 93.106
- H4 time frame, 2nd support at 89.452
Dow Jones Industrial Average:
On the H4 chart, the overall bias for DJI is bullish. To add confluence to this, the price is above the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect the price to possibly head towards the 1st resistance at 34106.01 where the previous high and 100% Fibonacci line is located. In an alternative scenario, price could head towards the 1st support line at 32135.41, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is located.
Areas of consideration:
- H4 time frame, 1st support at 32135.41
- H4 time frame, 1st Resistance at 34106.01
DAX:
The H4 chart shows a bullish bias, with price breaking through the descending trendline and rising above the Ichimoku cloud. Price is expected to maintain its bullish momentum and rise to the first resistance level at 14709, where the previous swing high is located. Alternatively, the price could fall to the first support level at 13941, which corresponds to the 20% Fibonacci line.
Areas of consideration:
- H4 time frame, 1st resistance is at 14709
- H4 time frame, 1st support is at 13941
ETHUSD:
Looking at the H4 chart, the current overall bias for ETHUSD is bearish, with price currently under the Ichimoku cloud indicating a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect the price to break the 1st support line at 1190.61 where the previous low and 100% Fibonacci line was located and head towards the 2nd support at 1064.49 where the -27.2% Fibonacci expansion line and 127.2% Fibonacci extension line are located. In an alternative scenario, price could head back up to retest the 1st resistance line at 1385.07, where the 23.6% and 61.8% Fibonacci lines are located.
Areas of consideration:
- H4 time frame, 1st resistance of 1385.07
- H4 time frame, 1st support at 1190.61
- H4 time frame, 2nd support at 1064.49
BTCUSD:
On the H4 chart, the overall bias for BTCUSD is bearish. To add confluence to this, the price is below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect the price to head towards the 1st support line at 15525.96, where the 127.2% Fibonacci extension line and -61.8% Fibonacci expansion line is located. In an alternative scenario, price could head back up to retest the 1st resistance line at 18173.33, where the previous low and 0% Fibonacci line is located.
Areas of consideration:
- H4 time frame, 1st resistance 18173.33
- H4 time frame, 1st support at 15525.96
S&P 500:
The overall bias for the S&500 on the H4 chart is bullish, with prices above the Ichimoku cloud. If the bullish momentum continues, the price will rise to the first resistance line at 4011.74, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is located. If the first resistance line is broken, the second resistance line is at 4119.28, which is the previous swing high and the 78.6% Fibonacci line. In an alternate scenario, price could return to the first support line at 3805.83, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is located.
Areas of consideration:
- H4 time frame, 1st support at 3805.83
- H4 time frame, 1st resistance at 4011.74
- H4 time frame, 2nd resistance at 4119.28

































