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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 164.06; (P) 164.80; (R1) 166.17; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays on the upside as rise from 148.93 is in progress for retesting 169.10 high. Strong resistance could be seen there to limit upside, at least on first attempt. On the downside, below 159.41 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 148.93 again. However, firm break of 169.10 will confirm resumption of larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, strong support from 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 169.10 at 151.84 suggests that price actions from 169.10 are developing into a corrective pattern only. That is, rise from 123.94 (2020 low) should resume at a later stage. This will now remain the favored case as long as 148.93 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.61; (P) 143.34; (R1) 144.70; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the upside. Rise from 137.32 should target retesting 145.62 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, break of 140.77 minor support will turn bias back to the downside, to extend the corrective pattern from 145.62 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, as long as 133.38 support holds, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still extend through 145.62 high. In that case, next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 133.38 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and bring deeper fall to 124.37 support first.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8653; (P) 0.8699; (R1) 0.8749; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains mildly on the downside. Rise from 0.8201 could have completed at 0.9267 in three-wave corrective pattern. Sustained break of 55 day EMA (now at 0.8642) will target 0.8201/8338 support zone. On the upside, above 0.8848 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for recovery instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.8720 resistance turned support holds, rise from 0.8201 is seen as resuming larger up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low). Break of 0.9499 (2020 high) should be seen at a later stage. However, firm break of 0.8720 will argue that sideway pattern from 0.9499 is extending with another falling leg instead.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5144; (P) 1.5282; (R1) 1.5494; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the upside for the moment. Decisive break of 1.5396 key resistance carry larger bullish implication. Next target is 161.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.4965 from 1.4716 at 1.5823. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.5047 support holds.

In the bigger picture, current development raises the chance of medium term bottoming at at 1.4281, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Firm break of 1.5396 will bring stronger rally back to 1.6434 key resistance next. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.5396 will maintain medium term bearishness for another fall through 1.4281 at a later stage.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9750; (P) 0.9775; (R1) 0.9808; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains mildly on the upside for 0.9864 key resistance. Firm break there will solidify the case of medium term bottoming at 0.9407, and target 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072. On the downside, below 0.9641 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9864 resistance holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2008 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. However, firm break of 0.9864 will confirm medium term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Stronger rally would then be seen back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.0188), even as a corrective rebound.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3453; (P) 1.3559; (R1) 1.3614; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside at this point. Correction from 1.3832 could extend lower. But downside should be contained above 1.3222 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.3832 will resume larger up trend to 161.8% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2401 at 1.3925.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in progress. Based on current impulsive momentum, it could be resuming long term up trend from 0.9056 (2007 low). Whether it is or it isn't, retest of 1.4689 (2016 high) should be seen next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3222 resistance turned support holds.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6455; (P) 0.6501; (R1) 0.6551; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral as consolidation from 0.6362 is extending. Stronger recovery cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited well below 0.6698 support turned resistance. Break of 0.6362 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 0.7660 to 0.6680 from 0.7135 at 0.6155.

In the bigger picture, down trend form 0.8006 (2021 high) is expected to continue as long as 0.7135 resistance holds. With 61.8% retracement of 0.5506 (2020 low) to 0.8006 at 0.6461 firmly taken out, next target is 0.5506 low. Medium term momentum will now be closely monitored to gauge the chance of break of 0.5506.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.06; (P) 144.67; (R1) 145.17; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral and consolidation from 145.89 could extend further. Further rally is expected as long as 139.37 resistance turned support holds. Break of 145.89 will target 147.68 long term resistance. On the downside, however, decisive break of 139.37 will confirm short term topping. Deeper decline would be seen back towards 130.38 support.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 101.18 is still in progress, as part of the whole up trend from 75.56 (2011 low). Further rise should be seen to 147.68 (1998 high). For now, break of 130.38 support is needed to be the first indication of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9741; (P) 0.9842; (R1) 0.9898; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point, as consolidation form 0.9964 is still extending. Further rally is in favor as long as 0.9694 support holds. On the upside, above 0.9964 will resume the rally from 0.9369 to retest 1.0063 high. On the downside, however, break of 0.9694 support will extend the corrective pattern from 1.0063 with another falling leg, towards 0.9478 support first.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1159; (P) 1.1247; (R1) 1.1408; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays on the upside. Rise from 1.0351 short term bottom would target 61.8% retracement of 1.2292 to 1.0351 at 1.1551. Strong resistance could be seen around 55 day EMA (now at 1.1614) to limit upside on first attempt. But sustained break there will pave the way to 1.2292 resistance. On the downside, below 1.1023 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 1.0351 instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) is resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Next target is 100% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 0.9532. There is no scope of a medium term rebound as long as 1.1759 support turned resistance holds.