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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.40; (P) 164.25; (R1) 165.48; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral with current recovery. Outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 168.67 is extending with another falling leg. Deeper fall could be seen to 160.37 support. On the upside, above 165.13 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 166.23 resistance again.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.92; (P) 139.49; (R1) 140.27; More....

Further decline is in favor with 140.68 minor resistance intact. Corrective pattern from 144.23 is extending with another falling leg. Deeper decline would be seen to 136.85 support. On the upside, above 140.68 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 142.31 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8464; (P) 0.8495; (R1) 0.8514; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral at this point. Further rise will remain mildly in favor as long as 0.8456 minor support holds. Above 0.8585 will target a retest on 0.8720 resistance. However, break of 0.8456 should resume the fall from 0.8720 through 0.8401.

In the bigger picture, attention remains on 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will affirm the case that rise from 0.8201 is a medium term up trend itself. Further rally would then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.9003. However, rejection by 0.8697 will confirm medium term bearishness for another fall through 0.8201.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4646; (P) 1.4724; (R1) 1.4772; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays on the downside at this point. Corrective rise from 1.4318 should have completed at 1.5396, after rejection by 1.5354 support turned resistance. Deeper fall should be seen to retest 1.4318 low first. On the upside, above 1.4910 minor resistance will dampen this bearish view, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.5354 support turned resistance, as well as 55 week EMA (now at 1.5378), maintain medium term bearishness. That is, larger down trend from 1.9799 is not completed yet. Break of 1.4318 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.5396 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9825; (P) 0.9854; (R1) 0.9890; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation continues. Outlook remains bearish with 0.9953 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.9804 will resume larger down trend. Next target is 0.9650 long term projection level. On the upside, however, break of 0.9953 minor resistance will suggest short term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 1.0080).

In the bigger picture,long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. On the upside, break of 1.0513 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0180; (P) 1.0219; (R1) 1.0259; More...

Range trading continues in EUR/USD and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is in favor as long as 1.0118 minor support holds. Above 1.0277 minor resistance will target 1.0348 support turned resistance. Sustained break there will bring stronger rebound back to channel resistance (now at 1.0493). On the downside, below 1.0118 will bring retest of 0.9951 low instead.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0339 from 1.2348 at 0.8694. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0773 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1976; (P) 1.2032; (R1) 1.2102; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains mildly on the upside as rebound from 1.1759 is in progress. Further rise would be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 1.2243). Sustained trading above there will pave the way to 1.2405 resistance and above. On the downside, below 1.1888 minor support will bring retest of 1.1759 low instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2666 resistance holds. Next target is 1.1409 low. However, firm break of 1.2666 will bring stronger rise back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.2986).

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9619; (P) 0.9640; (R1) 0.9667; More...

USD/CHF is losing some downside momentum. But further decline is in favor with 0.9738 minor resistance intact. Fall from 0.9884 is seen as a falling leg of the consolidation from 1.0063. Deeper decline would be seen to 0.9493 support. On the upside, though, above 0.9738 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9884 resistance.

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target is 1.0342 (2016 high). Sustained break there will resume long term up trend from 0.7065 (2011 low). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.10; (P) 136.45; (R1) 137.00; More...

Outlook in USD/JPY remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral. On the downside, firm break of 134.73 will confirm short term topping, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour and daily MACD. Deeper fall would be seen through 55 day EMA to 126.35/131.34 support zone. On the upside, break of 139.37 will resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, current rally is seen as part of the long term up trend from 75.56 (2011 low). Next target is 100% projection of 75.56 (2011 low) to 125.85 (2015 high) from 98.97 at 149.26, which is close to 147.68 (1998 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 126.35 support holds.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2806; (P) 1.2876; (R1) 1.2918; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral with focus on 1.2818/21 support zone. On the downside, break of 1.2818 support will bring deeper fall back to 1.2516 key support. On the upside, above 1.2988 minor resistance will reinforce near term bullishness, and turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3222 instead.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4667 (2020 high) should have completed at 1.2005, after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Rise from there should target 61.8% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3650. This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.2516 support holds.