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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3408; (P) 1.3427; (R1) 1.3462; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside as rebound from 1.3158 is in progress. Sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 1.3426) will be an early sign of bullish reversal. That is, correction from 1.4248 might have completed with three waves down to 1.3158, after hitting 1.3164 medium term fibonacci level. Further rally would be seen to 1.3570 support turned resistance next. On the downside, break of 1.3340 minor support will turn focus back to 1.3164 instead.

In the bigger picture, focus remains on 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164. Sustained break there will argue that whole rise from 1.1409 has completed at 1.4248, after rejection by 1.4376 long term resistance. That will revive some medium term bearishness and and target 61.8% retracement at 1.2493. However, strong rebound from current level will revive argue that up trend from 1.1409 is still in progress, and probably ready to resume.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9166; (P) 0.9183; (R1) 0.9193; More....

Range trading continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, below 0.9156 will target 0.9084 support. Firm break there should confirm that choppy rise from 0.8925 has completed, and suggests that fall from 0.9471 is resuming. Deeper decline would be seen through 0.8925. On the upside, break of 0.9293 will suggest that the pull back from 0.9372 is finished. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.9372.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We'd pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 114.49; (P) 114.71; (R1) 115.10; More...

USD/JPY's rebound from 112.52 accelerates to as high as 114.94 so far. Intraday bias remains on the upside for retesting 115.51 high first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 118.65 long term resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 114.30 will turn bias to the downside, and extend the corrective pattern from 115.51 with another falling leg back to 112.52 support.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that rise from 102.58 is the third leg of the up trend from 101.18 (2020 low). Such rally should target a test on 118.65 (2016 high) on resumption. However, firm break of 109.11 structural support will argue that the trend might have reversed and bring deeper fall to 107.47 support and possibly below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7216; (P) 0.7231; (R1) 0.7255; More...

As long as 0.7081 support holds, rebound form 0.6992 is expected to continue higher. Sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 0.7236) will argue that fall from 0.8006 has completed at 0.6992, after defending 0.6991 support. Further rally would be seen to 0.7555 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 0.7081 support will turn focus back to 0.6991/2 support instead.

In the bigger picture, strong rebound from 0.6991 key structural support will retain medium term bullishness. That is, whole up trend from 0.5506 is still in progress. Firm break of 0.7555 resistance will target 0.8006 high and above. However, sustained break of 0.6991 will argue that the whole up trend from 0.5506 might be finished at 0.8006, after rejection by 0.8135 long term resistance. Deeper decline would then be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.8006 at 0.6461.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2760; (P) 1.2804; (R1) 1.2828; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment. As long as 1.2762 support holds, further rally is expected. On the upside, break of 1.2963 will resume the rise from 1.2005 to 1.3022 key medium term fibonacci level. Sustained break of 1.3022 will carry larger bullish implications. Next target will be 100% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2286 at 1.3228. However, break of 1.2762 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2604 support instead.

In the bigger picture, focus will be on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. On the downside, however, break of 1.2286 will turn focus back to 1.2005 low again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8415; (P) 0.8435; (R1) 0.8446; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral with a temporary low formed at 0.8414. but further decline is expected as long as 0.8549 resistance holds. Below 0.8414 will resume the fall from 0.8598 to retest 0.8379 low. Firm break there will resume larger down trend from 0.9499 towards long term support at 0.8276.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8593 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. We'd look for bottoming signal around there to bring reversal. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.8593 will now be an early sign of medium term bottoming. Further break of 0.8656 will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8379 at 0.8807.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5617; (P) 1.5656; (R1) 1.5684; More...

EUR/AUD formed a temporary low at 1.5610 and turned sideway. Intraday bias is turned neutral first, but further decline is expected with 1.5898 resistance intact. As noted before, rebound from 1.5354 should have completed with three waves up to 1.6168. Break of 1.5610 will target 1.5250/5354 support zone.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral for the moment. Rise from 1.5354 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.5250 low. Further rise cannot be ruled out, but even in that case, strong resistance should be seen at 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988. Larger down trend from 1.9799 is in favor to extend through 1.5250 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0383; (P) 1.0398; (R1) 1.0407; More....

Range trading continues in EUR/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Outlook stays bearish with 1.0511 resistance intact and further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 1.0365 will resume larger down trend from 1.1149 to 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is now extending. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, break of 1.0694 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.61; (P) 129.88; (R1) 130.41; More....

EUR/JPY's rebound from 127.36 resumed and hit as high as 130.21 so far. Current development suggests that whole consolidation from 134.11 has completed with three waves down to 127.36, ahead of 126.58 medium term fibonacci level. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 133.44/134.11 resistance zone. On the downside, however, break of 129.25 minor support will dampen this bullish view and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

The Elliott wave view in Bitcoin (BTCUSD) suggests the rally from December 4, 2021 low is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse. Up from December 4 low, wave 1 ended at 49777.62 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 45478.74. Wave 3 higher is currently in progress with subdivision as another impulse in lesser degree. Up from wave 2, wave (i) ended at 48307.34 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 45572.94. The crypto currency then extends higher in wave (iii) towards 51864.56 and dips in wave (iv) ended at 49458.85. Final leg higher wave (v) ended at 52098.60 which completed wave ((i)).

Wave ((ii)) pullback is currently in progress to correct cycle from December 17, 2021 low. The internal subdivision of wave ((ii)) is unfolding as a zigzag structure. Near term, expect wave (a) to complete soon, then the crypto currency should rally in wave (b) before turning lower again in wave (c). As far as pivot at 45507.04 low stays intact, expect wave ((ii)) dips to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for more upside. Potential target higher is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension from December 4 low which comes at 55616 – 57985.

Bitcoin 90 Minutes Elliott Wave Chart