AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7583; (P) 0.7612; (R1) 0.7632; More…

AUD/USD drops to as low as 0.7567 so far today. Break of 0.7586 support indicates resumption of whole decline from 0.7748. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.7490 key near term support next. As noted before, firm break of 0.7490 will confirm completion of rise from 0.7158. In such case, near term outlook will be turned bearish for 0.7158 support. On the upside, however, above 0.7678 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside. And in this case, rise from 0.7159 could extend towards long term retracement level at 0.7849 before completion.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8165) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

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