Sterling Softens on Restrictions and Brexit Deadlock, Aussie Retreats Further
Sterling softens broadly today as UK unemployment rate rose more than expected while the part of the country is returning to restrictions. Additionally, there appears to be no progress on Brexit negotiation ahead of the EU summit later this week. Australian Dollar is the second weakest as China moves...
Dollar Recovering as J&J Paused Vaccine Study, Aussie Tumbles
Dollar is trying to recover in Asian session while Aussie tumbles broadly. Sentiments appear to be turning cautious on news that Johnson & Johnson paused coronavirus vaccine study due to an unexplained illness in a participant. UK also started a tiered system of fresh coronavirus restrictions. WTI crude oil...
OPEC+ Compliance Remains a Lingering Concern over Crude’s Demand/Supply Balance
The near-term outlook on crude oil price has turned sour, as supply is projected to rise despite high uncertainty in the demand outlook. Both crude oil benchmarks fell more than -2%, as Norwegian output resumes after strike, Libya supply is set to increase further and US production facilities restart...
Yen Rebounds in Quiet Markets, Politics to Drive the Week
Asian markets are trading in mixed most, decoupling from strong rally from the US on Friday. The forex markets are also steady. Yen is trading broadly higher and could be riding on the rebound against Dollar to strengthen elsewhere. Dollar is the currently the second strongest for today but...
PBOC Moves to Curb Renminbi’s Strength
PBOC announced over the weekend to lower the FX risk reserve ratio for forward foreign exchange sales from 20% to 0, effective October 12. The move is likely a response to the strength in renminbi (a.k.a. RMB, CNY). The central bank pledged to “maintain the flexibility of the RMB...
Dollar Tumbled as Investors Hungry for Risks, Down Trend Resuming?
Yen and Dollar ended the week as overwhelmingly the worst performing ones. Despite all the jitters regarding US President Donald Trump's coronavirus infections, stimulus talks stalemate, major stock indices ended the week strongly higher. Yen is additionally pressured by strong rally in treasury yields too.
On the other hand, Canadian...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – NET LENGTH on EUR Futures Slumped although Price Climbed Higher
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended October 6, NET SHORT for USD Index futures dropped further, by -2 521 to 3 034 contracts. Speculative long positions increased +3 669 contracts and short positions added +1 148 contracts. Concerning European currencies, NET LENGTH...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Traders Bet Natural Gas Price to Rise. Demand could Increase as Weather Gets Cooler
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended October 6, NET LENGTH for crude oil futures gained +9 625 contracts to 471 536 for the week. Speculative long position jumped +9 165 contracts, while shorts dropped -460 contracts. For refined oil products, NET LENGTH for...
Canadian Powers Up on Job Data, Dollar Tumbles on Risk-on Markets
Canadian Dollar strengthens against most major currencies in early US session as boosted by stronger than expected job data. That comes in the back ground of this week's strong rally in oil price too. On the other hand, Dollar is under broad based pressure as global stock markets are...
Canadian Dollar Surges With Oil Price, Job Data Eyed
Canadian Dollar surged broadly overnight, following the strong rally in oil prices, partly due to strike in Norway which affect as much as one million barrels a day of crud oil production. The Loonie is also the strongest one for the week so far, awaiting employment data for the...
ECB Minutes Tilted to Dovish Side
The message sent from the ECB minutes came in more dovish that the meeting statement released a few weeks ago. Policymakers were concerned about the inflation outlook more than previously expected. Despite upward revisions to the economic projections, the members stressed that there were “key downside risks to the...
Euro Heads Lower in Indecisive Markets, Aussie Firmer
Commodity currencies are the main drivers in the markets today, as Australian Dollar leads others higher. European majors, on the other hand turn weaker as led by Euro. Dollar and Yen are mixed for the moments, awaiting the next move in risk markets. Global stock markets seem to have...
Yen Stays Pressured on Surging Stocks and Yields, Dollar Keeps On Defending
Yen continues to feel much selling pressure, partly thanks to strength in treasury yields, and partly due to the strong rebound in US stocks overnight. Asian markets turned mixed, however, with Hong Kong and Singapore in slight red. New Zealand Dollar suffered notable selling on news that RBNZ is...
FOMC Minutes Reveal that Upgrade on Economy Greatly Hinged on More Fiscal Stimulus
The minutes for the September FOMC meeting reveals that the members generally agreed to adopt the new monetary policy framework and change the forward guidance in the way presented in the statement. While the economic projections were upgraded in the meeting, these were conditioned on the further fiscal stimulus...
Yen Plummets Again on Surging Yields, Dollar Awaits FOMC Minutes
Yen had a U-turn today and breaks near term support level against Dollar. Resilience in treasury yield is seen as a factor for Yen's weakness. After a brief set back yesterday, US 10-year yield looks set to extend recent rally through 0.78 handle. German 10-year yield is also trying...
Dollar Rebounds, Stocks Reversed as Trump Pulled Out of Stimulus Talks Abruptly
Dollar and Yen staged strong rebounds overnight, as stocks tumbled after US President Donald Trump halted stimulus talks abruptly. Though, markets somewhat stabilized in Asian session. Swiss Franc and Euro remain the strongest ones for the week for far but both have already pared back much of earlier gains....
Sterling and Aussie Turn Weaker, Dollar and Euro Mixed
Sterling is currently the worst performing one today so far, on the never-ending concerns of coronavirus infections and no-deal Brexit risk. Australian Dollar is closely following as second weakest after RBA indicated more easing ahead to support employment. On the other hand, New Zealand Dollar is currently the strongest,...
RBA Left Rates Unchanged at 0.25%. Hinted to Add Stimulus to Support Job Market
As widely anticipated, RBA left the cash rate unchanged at 0.25% at the October meeting. The yield curve control target also stays at 0.25%. This is the 7th consecutive month that the central bank has kept the monetary policy unchanged. While economic recovery is underway, policymakers judged that the...
Aussie Steady after RBA, Dollar Weak Despite Surging Yields
The forex markets are relatively steady in Asian session today, despite strong moves in stocks and treasury yields overnight. Australian Dollar is treading water after RBA left monetary policies unchanged. It's clear that the central is paving the way for more easing to support the job market. But the...
Euro Firmer on Data, Aussie Cautious ahead of RBA
Dollar and Yen remain generally weak today with main focuses on coronavirus infections news. It's still unsure if US President Donald Trump could be discharged form hospital today, but news regarding his coronavirus is so far positive. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen had been tested negative for...