Weekly Report
Stocks & Gold Crashed as Coronavirus Pandemic is Near, Traders See Fed Cut -50bps in march
The world got one big step closer to Wuhan coronavirus pandemic with explosion of number of cases outside China in the past last week. South Korea (3150 cases, 16 deaths), Italy (888 cases, 21 deaths) and Iran (388 cases, 34 deaths) are now the new epicenters, while Japan (235...
Safe Haven Flows into Gold and Treasuries on China Coronavirus Contagion
Outbreak of China's Wuhan coronavirus continued to be a big market mover last week. According to China's own numbers, new cases in the country seemed to have slowed even though new daily deaths maintained at around 100 level. What's worrying is that contagion to other countries, in particular Asia,...
Euro Collapsed on Coronavirus Spillover Fears, Next Two Weeks Crucial
While China's Wuhan coronavirus outbreak remained a major focus last week and triggered much volatility. But overall, stocks investors seemed not too bothered, with US indices continuing record runs. Other major markets are mixed only FTSE and Nikkei ended the week lower only. Gold closed higher but is well...
Dollar Jumped Broadly on Solid Batch of Economic Data, Coronavirus Fears Receded
Dollar ended last week as the strongest one as markets put China's coronavius behind. Instead, strong risk sentiments lifted major US indices to new record highs. Friday's pull back was likely due to pre-weekend profit taking only. Latest batch of economic data, including ISMs and NFP, suggested that US...
Bets on Fed Cut Surged on China’s Coronavirus Outbreak; Stocks, Yields & Dollar Tumbled
Fear of China's coronavirus outbreak was the major theme in the global markets last week. At the time of writing, number of confirmed cases were close to 12000. While the majority of the infected in China, the virus has spread to at least 23 countries already. And, most important,...
Markets Sold Off on Coronavirus Worries, Dollar Momentum to be Capped by Yen Strength
China's new coronavirus overshadowed central bank activities last week and prompted global risk aversion. At the timing of writing, death toll jumped to 41 while more than 1300 people have been infected globally. The virus has already spread from Wuhan to other major cities in China, and globally to...
Dollar Could Be Staging Bullish Reversal as Trade Tensions Eased
The completion of US-China trade deal phase one was well received by investors. There was an additional bonus of scrapping the label of China as currency manipulator by the US Treasury. The is no time frame for the phase two negotiations yet. But the US is already working with...
Dollar Rally Jeopardized by Job Data, No Bullish Reversal Yet
After some jitters on Iran tensions, Dollar ended up as the strongest one last week. Strong stocks and steady yields provided some support to the greenback. Fed officials also reaffirmed the base stance to stand pat this year. US and China are on track to sign the phase one...
Yen, Gold and Oil Jumps as Geopolitical Risks Cloud Markets
The financial markets took a roller-coaster ride as 2020 started with a bang. US stocks jumped to new record higher to celebrate new year. But sentiments took a great turn after abrupt escalation in Middle-East tensions. Safe-haven flows into Gold, Yen and US treasuries came in unison. Oil prices...
Dissatisfied With Tiny US-China Tariff Rollbacks, Risk Appetite Might Struggle to Push Forward
The markets were rocked by three key events last week, UK Election, US-China trade deal and FOMC rate decision. Sterling ended as the strongest one last week as boosted by the Conservative's landslide victory in UK election, removing a large of of Brexit uncertainty. Canadian Dollar followed crude oil...
Trade War, Election, Fed and ECB in a Week of Guaranteed Volatility
It was a rough ride in the financial markets last week. Stocks were initially pressured in concerns over US-China trade negotiations. US President Donald Trump threw the idea that waiting until after 2020 election before closing the phase one deal. Sentiments were additionally weighed down by a string of...
Sterling Jumped on Election and Brexit Hopes, US Stocks Hit Records ahead of Important December
Sterling ended as the strongest one last week as it looks like Conservative is set to have a majority win in the upcoming elections. If materialized, UK is finally heading for an orderly Brexit next January, clearing all uncertainties. On the other hand, Japanese Yen was the weakest one,...
Trump and Xi, Trade Deal and Hong Kong
Market sentiments turned generally more cautious last week on renewed uncertainties over US-China trade negotiations. Yen ended as the strongest one on weakness in stocks and treasury yields. New Zealand Dollar was the second strongest, extending prior week's rebound. Dollar was the third strongest helped by late buying. Meanwhile,...
AUD/NZD Ended as Top Mover after a Week of Parallel Universes
The financial markets were like in parallel universes last week. On the one hand, US stocks were boosted by trade optimism as the three major indices ended at record highs. On the other hand, Hong Kong stocks led Asian markets lower as unrest in the city continued, with no...
Trade Optimism Boosted Stocks, Yields, & Dollar
Trade optimism was the main theme driving the financial markets last week. Investors seemed to be convinced that US and China are close to signing trade agreement phase one, even though it's unsure when and where yet after the APEC summit in Chile was cancelled. Additionally, there were increasing...
Fed, BoC and RBA Expectations Drove USD, CAD and AUD
With US-China on track to phase one trade deal, and UK preparing for December election, focus turned back to economic data and central banks last week. In particular, Canadian Dollar ended as the worst performing after BoC's surprise dovish turn, which opened the door for rate cut. Dollar followed...
Dollar and Loonie Strengthened as USD/CAD Presses 1.3 ahead of Fed and BoC
Canadian and US Dollars ended last week as the strongest ones. It now appears that US and China are on track to complete the easier phase 1 trade deal in November. Optimism lifted stocks as well as oil prices, which indirectly helped the Loonie too. Also, recent developments in...
Sterling Rally in Jeopardy after Johnson’s Defeat, Dollar Selloff Exaggerated
Sterling surged broadly last week after as UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson struck a new deal with EU on Brexit. It appeared that UK was on track to leave EU on October 31 in an orderly way. The development also took other European majors higher. However, uncertainty re-surfaced as...
US-China Trade Deal and Brexit Optimism Lifted Sentiments
Global markets were boosted strongly last week as there seemed to be resolution to two major risks finally. UK and Ireland appeared to have found the "pathway" to avoid no-deal Brexit. Meanwhile, US and China agreed an interim trade deal that would avert further tariffs escalation. The improvement in...
Dollar Ended Lower on Recession Fear and Fed Cut Bets, Awaits Trade Talks
Dollar ended last week generally lower, except versus Swiss Franc and Canadian Dollar. The greenback was pressured as poor economic data raised recessions fears while traders added to bet of Fed cut this month. Though, there is no clear sign of bearish reversal in the greenback yet, except versus...