Boston Fed President Susan Collins highlighted that recent rise in long-term yields implies some tightening of financial conditions. “If it persists, it likely reduces the need for further monetary-policy tightening in the near term,” she noted in a speech yesterday.

Such market dynamics further bolstered Collins’ perspective on the current tightening cycle led. “This reinforces my view that we are very near, and perhaps at, the peak federal funds rates for this tightening cycle,” she stated, indicating that the cycle could be nearing its zenith.

However, Collins maintained a flexible stance on the future course of action, and clarified, “I would not take further tightening off the table yet.”

Weighed in on yesterday’s CPI data, which revealed that September’s headline inflation held steady at 3.7% and core inflation eased to 4.1%. Collins said, “Today’s CPI release is a reminder that restoring price stability will take time.”

In a Quora.com post, San Francisco Fed Mary Daly said the US is not headed towards a recessions right not. She saw “solid domestic momentum that points to a continued economic expansion:. Also, “the labor market is strong, consumer confidence is high, and consumer spending is healthy.”

But “considerable headwinds”, including global slowdown and trade uncertainties, contributed to fear that a “downturn is right around the corner”. Hence, she’s closely look at whether “fear of recession becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy”.

Daly added that recent rate cut was “appropriate recalibration” of policy in response to the headwinds. And, her support was “not because I see an impending downturn on the horizon.”

Boston Fed President Susan Collins suggested that it may become “appropriate to begin easing policy later this year,” highlighting the importance of a “methodical, forward-looking approach” to gradually reduce rates.

Collins anticipated further inflation deceleration would might necessitate further slowdown in economic activity. However, she noted the “considerable uncertainty” surrounding the magnitude and timing of this slowdown. The path ahead, as Collins notes, is expected to be “bumpy,” as suggested by hotter-than-expected employment and price increase readings.

In this context, it will be important to focus on seeking “sustained, broadening signs” of progress towards its dual mandate goals, acknowledging that such progress may unfold unevenly. Collins cautions against setting overly stringent expectations for the data, indicating that “expecting all data to speak uniformly is too high a bar.”