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Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8265; (P) 0.8296; (R1) 0.8320; More...

EUR/GBP's deep decline today and break of 0.8290 minor support turned intraday bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8224. Firm break there will resume larger down trend to 0.8201 key support. On the upside, break of 0.8326 resistance will resume the rebound to 38.2% retracement of 0.8624 to 0.8224 at 0.8377.

In the bigger picture, focus is now on whether 0.8201 key support (2022 low) is strong enough to complete the whole down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high). In any case, medium term outlook will be neutral at best until decisive break of 0.8624 key resistance. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6476; (P) 1.6503; (R1) 1.6529; More...

Range trading continues in EUR/AUD and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, decisive break of 1.6598 resistance should confirm that whole fall from 1.7180 has complete with three waves down to 1.5963. Further rise should then be seen to retest 1.7180 next. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.6359 will indicate rejection by 1.6598, and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, EUR/AUD is holding on to 1.5996 key support despite brief breach. Larger up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is still in favor to resume through 1.7180 at a later stage. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.5995 will indicate that such up trend has completed. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7180 at 1.5388, even as a correction.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9369; (P) 0.9386; (R1) 0.9422; More....

EUR/CHF's rally from 0.9204 continues today and intraday bias stays on the upside. Sustained trading above 100% projection of 0.9204 to 0.9343 from 0.9254 at 0.9393 will pave the way to 0.9444 resistance and then 161.8% projection at 0.9479. On the downside, below 0.9350 support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further rally will remain in favor as long as 0.9254 support holds.

In the bigger picture, the break of 55 D EMA (now at 0.9359) suggests that a medium term bottom might be in place already. Strong rise could be seen 38.2% retracement of 0.9928 to 0.9204 at 0.9481. Reaction from there would reveal whether rebound from 0.9204 is merely a corrective rise, or reversing the down trend from 0.9928.

• USDCAD unlocks new 4-year high, poised for further gains
• Caution required as overbought signals detected
• US retail sales, Canadian CPI due at 13:30 GMT

USDCAD has been performing exceptionally well after forcefully breaking a symmetrical triangle on the upside.

The pair unlocked a four-and-a-half year high of 1.4279 earlier today, continuing to press toward the upper band of a bullish channel. The 1.4330-1.4365 area is now in sight as the US and Canadian CPI inflation data loom in the calendar. A break higher could propel the price toward the 1.4500 level, last seen in March 2020, unless the 1.4400 psychological mark caps the bullish action beforehand.

According to the RSI and the stochastic oscillator, the market is treading in overbought waters, and a slowdown might be imminent. Perhaps if the 1.4260 blocks the way up, forcing a close below 1.4200, the price may seek shelter within the 1.4075-1.4100 territory, where the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the lower band of the two-month-old bullish channel are sitting. Failure to pivot there could confirm additional losses toward the 1.4000 level and the 50-day EMA.

All in all, USDCAD is in a clear bullish trend and may have some extra room for improvement before it takes a breather. Key resistance is located in the 1.4330-1.4360 range, while the 1.4200 level could offer support in the event of a pullback.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0483; (P) 1.0504; (R1) 1.0533; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral and outlook is unchanged. Corrective pattern from 1.0330 might extend further. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.0674) holds. On the downside, below 1.0452 will bring retest of 1.0330 low.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 50% retracement of 0.9534 (2022 low) to 1.1274 at 1.0404. Strong rebound from this level will keep price actions from 1.1273 (2023 high) as a medium term consolidation pattern only. However, sustained break of 1.0404 will raise the chance that whole up trend from 0.9534 has reversed. That would pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.0199 first. Firm break there will target 0.9534 low again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2630; (P) 1.2664; (R1) 1.2719; More...

Range trading continues in GBP/USD and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, break of 1.2615 minor support will indicate that corrective recovery from 1.2486 has completed. Retest of this low should be seen next, and break will target 1.2298 cluster support zone. Nevertheless, break of 1.2810 will turn bias to upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3433 medium term are seen as correcting whole up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3433 at 1.2256, which is close to 1.2298 structural support. But strong support is expected there to bring rebound to extend the corrective pattern.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8913; (P) 0.8931; (R1) 0.8964; More…

USD/CHF's break of 0.8956 resistance indicates resumption of rally from 0.8374. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 61.8% projection of 0.8374 to 0.8956 from 0.8735 at 0.9095. On the downside, below 0.8897 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8735 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 (2023 low) are currently seen as a medium term corrective pattern, with rise from 0.8374 as the third leg. Overall outlook will continue to stay bearish as long as 0.9223 resistance holds. Break of 0.8332 low is in favor at a later stage when the consolidation completes.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.50; (P) 153.99; (R1) 154.65; More...

USD/JPY's rebound from 148.64 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside for retesting 156.74 high. Firm break there will resume whole rally from 139.57, and target 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25 next. On the downside, below 152.84 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral. But risk will stay on the upside as long as 148.64 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6350; (P) 0.6366; (R1) 0.6388; More...

AUD/USD is staying in range above 0.6336 temporary low and intraday bias stays neutral. More consolidations would be seen and another recovery cannot be ruled out. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.6533) holds. Below 0.6336 will resume the fall from 0.6941 to 0.6269 support next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.6169 (2022 low) are seen as a medium term consolidation to the down trend from 0.8006. More sideway trading could be seen above 0.6169, but overall outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.6941 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.6169 will resume the down trend to 61.8% projection of 0.8006 to 0.6169 from 0.6941 at 0.5806 next.

Hello, fellow traders. In this technical article, we’ll take a quick look at the Elliott Wave charts for the EURGBP forex pair, published in the members’ area of the website.

As our members know, EURGBP is showing incomplete bearish sequences, suggesting further decline. The pair recently gave us a bounce in a 3-wave pattern, with sellers appearing right at the equal legs zone. Let’s break down our Elliott Wave forecast further in this article.

EURGBP H1 Asia Update 12.15.2024

The current view suggests that EURGBP is doing a ((iv)) recovery, which is correcting the cycle from the 0.83651 peak. Proposed recovery can be unfolding as a Elliott Wave Zig Zag Pattern. The price has already reached important technical area at 0.82989- 0.83301. ( sellers zone). We expect potential sellers to appear in this area, which could lead to a further decline towards new lows or a three-wave pull back at least.

EURGBP H1 Asia Update 12.17.2024

EURGBP has found sellers as expected and made a nice decline from the Equal Legs zone. Current analysis suggests the wave ((iv)) correction has completed at the 0.83278 high. We are looking for a break of previous ((iii)) black low as confirmation wave ((v)) is in progress. We advise against buying EURGBP in during any suggested bounce and favor the short side.