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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

ActionForex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0892; (P) 1.0919; (R1) 1.0945; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.0969 is extending. Further rally is expected as long as 1.0803 support holds. On the upside, above 1.0969 will resume the rise from 1.0634 to retest 1.1094 high. Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole up trend from 0.9534. However, firm break of 1.0803 will extend the corrective pattern from 1.1094 with another falling leg, targeting 1.0634 and below.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0515 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) would still extend higher. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273 will solidify the case of bullish trend reversal and target 1.2348 resistance next (2021 high).

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2717; (P) 1.2762; (R1) 1.2810; More...

In the bigger picture, the strong support from 55 W EMA (now at 1.2345) is a medium term bullish sign. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2306 support holds. Rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom (2022 low) is expected to extend further to retest 1.4248 key resistance (2021 high).

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.02; (P) 141.63; (R1) 142.05; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral for consolidations. On the upside, sustained trading above 61.8% retracement of 151.93 to 127.20 at 142.48 will pave the way back to retest 151.93 high. However, rejection by 142.48, followed by break of 139.27 will indicate short term topping and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, rise from 151.93 are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 102.58. The first leg has completed at 127.20. Rebound from there is seen as the second leg, and should be limited below 151.93. Sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 137.47) will argue that the third leg has started back to 127.20 and possibly below.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8952; (P) 0.8977; (R1) 0.9001; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Risk stays on the downside as long as 0.9146 resistance holds. Below 0.8900 will target 0.8818 and possibly below. But strong support is still expected from 0.8756 to bring reversal.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high), which might have completed at 0.8818 already, just ahead of 0.8756 long term support. Sustained trading above 0.9058 support turned resistance should confirm medium term bottoming.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6742; (P) 0.6799; (R1) 0.6845; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD stays neutral as consolidation from 0.6898 is extending. Downside of retreat should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.6457 to 0.6898 at 0.6730 to bring another rally. As noted before, whole corrective decline from 0.7156 could have completed with three waves down to 0.6457 already. Above 0.6898 will resume the rise from 0.6457 to retest 0.7156 high next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.7156 could have completed in a three wave corrective structure at 0.6457. The development argues that rise from 0.6169 (2022 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 0.7156 will also add to the case that whole down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high) has finished and turn medium term outlook bullish. For now this will be the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.6694) holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3203; (P) 1.3237; (R1) 1.3267; More....

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for consolidation above 1.3176 temporary low. Outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3353 resistance holds. Below 1.3176 will resume the whole decline from 1.3976 to 100% projection of 1.3860 to 1.3299 from 1.3653 at 1.3092 next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are still viewed as a correction to up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low), but chance of trend reversal is increasing with current decline. But in either case, sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3233 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.2758. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.3653 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5961; (P) 1.6053; (R1) 1.6177; More...

EUR/AUD's break of 1.6101 resistance suggests that corrective fall from 1.6785 has completed with three waves down to 1.5846. That came after hitting 100% projection of 1.6785 to 1.6134 from 1.6513 at 1.5862. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.6513 resistance next. For now, risk will stay on the upside as long as 1.5846 holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6785 are seen as a correction to up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) only. Strong support should be seen around 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.6785 at 1.5828 to complete the first leg and bring rebound. However, sustained trading below 1.5828 will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.5238.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8527; (P) 0.8554; (R1) 0.8580; More...

For now, further decline is expected in EUR/GBP with 0.8611 resistance intact. Fall from 0.8977 should target 161.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8717 from 0.8874 at 0.8453. However, break of 0.8611 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. It's seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Deeper fall would be seen towards 0.8201 (2022 low). But strong support should be seen from there to bring reversal. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8717 support turned resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9783; (P) 0.9799; (R1) 0.9816; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the upside at this point. Whole correction from 1.0995 could have completed at 0.9670 already. Further rally should be seen to 0.9878 resistance first. Firm break there should confirm this bullish case. On the downside, however, break of 0.9744 support will mix up the outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. The pair is also capped below 55 W EMA (now at 0.9924). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not complete yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.85; (P) 154.62; (R1) 155.18; More....

EUR/JPY is still bounded in consolidation below 155.37 temporary top and intraday bias stays neutral. Downside of retreat should be contained above 151.60 resistance turned support to bring another rally. Break of 155.37 will resume larger up trend to 100% projection of 139.05 to 151.60 from 146.12 at 158.67.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.