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USD/JPY Daily Outlook

ActionForex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 154.84; (P) 155.32; (R1) 156.08; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains mildly on the upside at this point. Rise from 152.07 is seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 159.44. Further rebound should be seen to retest 159.44 next. On the downside, below 154.53 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 139.87 to 159.44 at 151.96 will argue that it is reversing whole rise from 139.87.

In the bigger picture, outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 161.94 (2024 high) should have completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend from 102.58 (2021 low) could be ready to resume through 161.94. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 W EMA (now at 151.59) holds. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that the pattern from 161.94 is extending with another falling leg.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3622; (P) 1.3668; (R1) 1.3714; More...

Breach of 1.3641 minor support suggests short term topping at 1.3867. Intraday bias is mildly on the downside for deeper pullback to 55 D EMA (now at 1.3471). On the upside, firm break of 1.3867 will resume larger up trend towards 1.4284 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) is resuming by breaking through 1.3787 high. Further rally should be seen to 1.4284 key resistance (2021 high). Decisive break there will add to the case of long term bullish trend reversal. For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.3008 support holds, even in case of deep pullback.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7736; (P) 0.7777; (R1) 0.7839; More….

Breach of 0.7792 resistance suggests short term bottoming at 0.7603 in USD/CHF. Intraday bias is mildly on the upside for stronger rebound to 55 D EMA (now at 0.7912). On the downside, below 0.7713 minor support will bring retest of 0.7603. Firm break there will resume larger down trend to 0.7382 projection level next.

In the bigger picture, larger down trend from 1.0342 (2017 high) is still in progress and resuming. Next target is 100% projection of 1.0146 (2022 high) to 0.8332 from 0.9200 at 0.7382. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 W EMA (now at 0.8166) holds.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6914; (P) 0.6942; (R1) 0.6976; More...

AUD/USD recovered after drawing support from 55 4H EMA, but stays below 0.7093 temporary top. Intraday bias remains neutral and further rise is expected. Above 0.7093 will extend larger up trend to 100% projection of 0.5913 to 0.6706 from 0.6420 at 0.7213 next. However, break of 0.6907 will bring lengthier consolidations before rally resumption. Deeper pullback would then be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.6420 to 0.7093 at 0.6836.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rise from 0.5913 (2024 low) is reversing whole down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high). Further rally should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.8006 to 0.5913 at 0.7206. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.6706 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pullback.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3623; (P) 1.3663; (R1) 1.3721; More...

Breach of 55 4H EMA (now at 1.3663) suggests short term bottoming at 1.3480. Intraday bias is mildly on the upside for stronger rebound to 55 D EMA (now at 1.3800). On the downside, below 1.3623 minor support will bring retest of 1.3480 low. Firm break there will resume larger fall to 61.8% projection of 1.4791 to 1.3538 from 1.4139 at 1.3365.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4791 are seen as a corrective pattern to the whole up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Deeper fall could be seen as the pattern extends, and break of 1.3538 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.4791 at 1.3069. For now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best, until there are signs that the correction has completed, or that a bearish trend reversal is confirmed.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9159; (P) 0.9188; (R1) 0.9223; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral first and more consolidations could be seen above 0.9141. Upside of recovery should be limited by 0.9235 to bring another fall. Decisive break of 0.9141 will extend larger down trend to 261.8% projection of 0.9394 to 0.9268 from 0.9347 at 0.9143. However, firm break of 0..9235 resistance will suggest short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound to 55 D EMA (now at 0.9275).

In the bigger picture, another rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9350) keeps outlook bearish. Downtrend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Firm break of 0.9178 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 0.9928 0.8851. Outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9394 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 211.69; (P) 212.29; (R1) 213.28; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and more consolidations would be seen first. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 214.83 holds, even in case of stronger recovery. Below 209.61, and sustained break of 55 D EMA (now at 209.51) will argue that it's correcting whole rise from 184.35 and target 38.2% retracement of 184.35 to 214.83 at 203.18.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 148.93 (2022 low) to 208.09 (2024 high) from 184.35 at 220.90. On the downside, break of 205.30 resistance turned support is needed to indicate medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish even in case of deep pullback.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 183.01; (P) 183.65; (R1) 184.10; More...

No change in EUR/JPY's outlook and intraday bias stays neutral for consolidations above 181.76. Risk remains on the downside as long as 186.86 holds, in case of strong recovery. Break of 181.76 and sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 182.35) should solidify the case that fall from 186.86 medium term top is correcting whole rise from 154.77. Deeper decline should then be seen to 38.2% retracement of 154.77 to 186.86 at 174.60.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress and and met 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 175.41 from 154.77 at 186.31. Considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, upside could be capped by 186.31 on first attempt. Still, outlook will stay bullish as long as 55 W EMA (now at 173.32) holds, even in case of deep pullback. Sustained break of 186.31 will pave the way to 78.6% projection at 194.88 next.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8609; (P) 0.8641; (R1) 0.8658; More…

EUR/GBP's decline resumed by breaking through 0.8643 and intraday bias is back on the downside. Decisive break of 0.8631 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 0.8221 to 0.8663 at 0.8618) will carry larger bearish implications. Next target is 61.8% retracement at 0.8466. On the upside, above 0.8674 resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8221 medium term bottom (2024 low) is seen as a corrective move. Upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 0.9267 to 0.8221 at 0.8867. Sustained trading below 55 W EMA (now at 0.8625) should confirm that this corrective bounce has completed. In this case, deeper fall would be seen back to 0.8201/21 key support zone. However, decisive break of 0.8867 will suggest that EUR/GBP is already reversing whole decline from 0.9267 (2022 high). That should pave the way back to 0.9267.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6947; (P) 1.7016; (R1) 1.7091; More...

EUR/AUD's decline resumed by breaking through 1.6892 temporary low and intraday bias is back on the downside. Sustained trading below 100% projection of 1.8554 to 1.7245 from 1.8160 at 1.6851 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 1.6351 next. On the upside, break of 1.7145 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.8554 medium term top is still in progress. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.8554 at 1.6922 will argue that it's already reversing whole up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.5913. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.7418) holds even in case of strong rebound.