Sample Category Title

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8347; (P) 0.8355; (R1) 0.8367; More...

EUR/GBP is staying in consolidation from 0.8322 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 0.8417 resistance to bring another decline. On the downside, break of 0.8322 will resume recent down trend to 0.8276 key long term support. On the upside, however, above 0.8417 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8598 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. We'd look for bottoming signal around there to bring reversal. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.8598 will now be an early sign of medium term bottoming and bring stronger rebound. However, sustained break of 0.8276 will argue that the long term trend has reversed.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5790; (P) 1.5823; (R1) 1.5851; More...

Outlook in EUR/AUD is unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.5559 will resume the fall from 1.6168 to retest 1.5250/5354 support zone. On the upside, however, break of 1.5898 will argue that pull back from 1.6168 has completed. Intraday bias will be back to the upside for 1.6168 resistance.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.5354 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.5250 low. Further rise cannot be ruled out, but even in that case, strong resistance should be seen at 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988. Larger down trend from 1.9799 is in favor to extend through 1.5250 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0416; (P) 1.0431; (R1) 1.0442; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral and outlook is unchanged. Rebound from 1.0324 could still extend higher. But upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.0936 to 1.0324 at 1.0558. On the downside, firm break of 1.0423 will bring retest of 1.0324 low. Break there will resume larger down trend from 1.1149.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is now extending. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, firm break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2493; (P) 1.2525; (R1) 1.2550; More...

USD/CAD is staying in consolidation from 1.2452 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further fall is expected as long as 1.2619 support turned resistance holds. Current development argues that whole pattern from 1.2005 has completed with three waves to 1.2963. Below 1.2452 will target 1.2286 support, and possibly further to retest 1.2005 low. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.2619 will bring stronger rebound back to 1.2812 resistance.

In the bigger picture, focus will be on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend form 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7194; (P) 0.7212; (R1) 0.7228; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral first. We're still slightly favoring the case that correction from 0.8006 is complete after defending 0.6991. Above 0.7313 will extend the rise from 0.6992 to 0.7555 resistance. However, break of 0.7128 support will dampen this bullish case and bring retest of 0.6991/2 instead.

In the bigger picture, strong rebound from 0.6991 key structural support will retain medium term bullishness. That is, whole up trend from 0.5506 is still in progress. Firm break of 0.7555 resistance will target 0.8006 high and above. However, sustained break of 0.6991 will argue that the whole up trend from 0.5506 might be finished at 0.8006, after rejection by 0.8135 long term resistance. Deeper decline would then be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.8006 at 0.6461.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1387; (P) 1.1410; (R1) 1.1429; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. Rebound from 1.1185 is seen as a corrective move. Above 1.1482 will extend the rebound but upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.2265 to 1.1185 at 1.1598. On the downside, below 1.1284 support will bring retest of 1.1185 low. However, sustained break of 1.1598 will argue that the trend is reversing already.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways of interpreting the fall from 1.2348 (2021 high). It could be a correction to rise from 1.0635 (2020 low), the fourth leg of a sideway pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low), or resuming long term down trend. In any case, outlook will now stay bearish as long as 1.1703 support turned resistance holds. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.2348 at 1.1289 would pave the way back to 1.0635.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3624; (P) 1.3657; (R1) 1.3676; More...

GBP/USD is staying in consolidation below 1.3748 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Downside of retreat should be contained by 1.3489 support to bring another rally. As noted before, corrective fall from 1.4282 should have completed with three waves down to 1.3158, after hitting 1.3164 medium term fibonacci level. Above 1.3748 will target 1.3833 first. Sustained break of 1.3833 will pave the way back to retest 1.4248 high.

In the bigger picture, strong support was seen from 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164. The development suggests that up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target will be 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.5134. Nevertheless sustained break of 1.3164 will argue that whole rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9124; (P) 0.9141; (R1) 0.9161; More....

Intraday bias in USD/CHF as consolidation from 0.9090 is still in progress. On the downside, firm break of 0.9084 support will argue that choppy rise from 0.8925 has completed. Fall from 0.9471 might be ready to resuming. Further decline would be seen back to 0.8925 support first. On the upside, above 0.9276 will target 0.9372 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We'd pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

DXY:

On the H4 timeframe, price is consolidating in a descending channel and is on bearish momentum. We expect a dip from our 1st resistance at 95.254 towards our 1st support at 94.620 in line with 100% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. RSI is at a level where dips previously occurred and prices are trading below ichimoku clouds, further supporting our bearish bias.

Areas of consideration:

• H4 time frame, 1st resistance at 95.254
• H4 time frame, 1st support at 94.620

XAU/USD (GOLD):

On the H4, prices are on bullish momentum and abiding to our ascending trendline. We see the potential for a bounce from our 1st support at 1815.570 in line with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement towards our 1st resistance at 1829.630 in line with 100% Fibonacci extension and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Prices are trading above ichimoku clouds and RSI are showing bullish momentum, further supporting our bullish bias.

Areas of consideration:

• 4h 1st support at 1815.570
• 4h 1st resistance at 1829.63

GBP/USD

On the H4 chart price and near the first support level of 1.36414 which is also 50% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci projection . Price can potentially go to the 1st resistance level of 1.37427 which is the graphical swing high level. Our bullish bias is supported by the ichimoku cloud indicator as price is trading above it and stochastic indicator as it is at support level.

Areas of consideration:

• H4 1st resistance at 1.37427
• H4 1st support 1.36414

USD/CHF

On the H4 timeframe, price is abiding to a descending channel, signifying a bearish momentum. Price is approaching a support level, we can expect price to make a short-term bullish bounce in line with 78.6% Fibonacci Projection and 161.8% Fibonacci retracement towards 1st Resistance in line with 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Our short-term bullish bias is further supported by the stochastic indicator where the %K line is approaching the support level.

Areas of consideration:

• Watch 1st Support at 0.91113
• Watch 1st Resistance at 0.92698

EUR/USD :

On the H4 chart , price is abiding by an ascending trendline and is near 1st support level of 1.13879 which is also 78.6% Fibonacci projection and 50% Fibonacci retracement. Price can potentially go to the 1st resistance level of 1.14807 which is also 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our bullish bias is supported by the ichimoku cloud indicator as price is trading above it.

Areas of consideration:

• H4 1st resistance at 1.14807
• H4 1st support at 1.13879

USD/JPY

On the H4 timeframe, is abiding to the ascending channel on the daily, signifying an overall bullish momentum. We can now expect price to push higher from 1st Support in line with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and graphical overlap support towards 1st Resistance in line with 61.8% Fibonacci projection and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our bullish bias is further supported by the MACD indicator where the MACD line crossed above the signal line and both lines are in the oversold area.

Areas of consideration:

• H4 1st resistance level 115.508
• H4 1st support level 114.287

AUD/USD:

In reference to last week’s analysis, price indeed dropped to 1st Support @ 0.72023. On the H4, price is reacting within the ascending channel, signifying an overall bullish momentum. Price is approaching the 1st Support, we can expect to see price make a bullish bounce from 1st Support in line with 100% Fibonacci projection, 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and ascending channel support towards 1st Resistance in line with previous swing high and 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Our short-term bearish bias is further supported by the RSI indicator where it is approaching the support level.

Areas of consideration:

• H4 1st Support level 0.71724
• H4 1st resistance level 0.73091

NZD/USD:

On the H4, prices are consolidating in an ascending channel and on bullish momentum. We see the potential for a bounce from our 1st support at 0.6799 towards our 1st resistance at 0.68306 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement. Prices are trading above our MA 200 and MA 50, and also Ichimoku clouds, further supporting our bullish bias.

Areas of consideration:

• H4 time frame, 1st resistance at 0.68306
• H4 time frame, 1st support at 0.67990

USD/CAD:

On the H4, with price moving below the ichimoku cloud, we have a bearish bias that price will from from our 1st resistance at 1.25632 which is in line with horizontal overlap resistance and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement to 1st support at 1.24604, which is in line with horizontal overlap support and 100% Fibonacci projection level. Alternatively, price may break 1st resistance structure and head for 2nd resistance at 1.26185, which coincides with horizontal overlap resistance and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.

Areas of consideration:

• H4 time frame, 1st support at 1.24604
• H4 time frame, 1st resistance at 1.25479

OIL:

On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku cloud, we have a bullish bias that price will rise to our 1st resistance at 87.32 which is in line with horizontal swing high resistance and 78.6% Fibonacci projection level from 1st support at 85.5, which is in line with horizontal overlap support and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Alternatively, price may break 1st support structure and head for 2nd support at 83.86, which coincides with horizontal overlap support.

Areas of consideration:

• H4 time frame, 1st resistance of 87.32
• H4 time frame, 1st support of 85.5

Dow Jones Industrial Average:

On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku cloud, we have a bullish bias that price will rise to our 1st resistance at 36620 which is in line with horizontal swing high resistance and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level from 1st support at 35559, which is in line with horizontal swing low support and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Alternatively, price may break 1st support structure and head for 2nd support at 34734, which coincides with horizontal swing low support level.

Areas of consideration:

• H4 time frame, 1st resistance of 36620
• H4 time frame, 1st support of 35559

Daily Pivots: (S1) 114.29; (P) 114.47; (R1) 114.79; More...

USD/JPY's rebound from 113.47 accelerated higher today. While further rise cannot be ruled out, we're not expecting a break of 116.34 for now. Instead, the corrective pattern from there should extend with another falling leg. On the downside, break of 114.30 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 113.47. Break there will target 112.52 structural support.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that rise from 102.58 is the third leg of the up trend from 101.18 (2020 low). Such rally should target a test on 118.65 (2016 high). Sustained break there will pave the way to 120.85 (2015 high) and raise the chance of long term up trend resumption. However, firm break of 112.52 support will dampen this bullish case and we'll assess the outlook based on subsequent price actions later.