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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1517; (P) 1.1566; (R1) 1.1608; More...

EUR/USD is staying in consolidations below 1.1630 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is expected as long as 1.1372 support holds. Break of 1.1572 will extend the rally from 1.0176. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.0176 to 1.1572 from 1.1064 at 1.1927. However, break of 1.1372 support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9534 long term bottom could be correcting the multi-decade downtrend or the start of a long term up trend. In either case, further rise should be seen to 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1604 support holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.00; (P) 144.44; (R1) 145.23; More...

No change in USD/JPY's outlook as sideway trading continues. Intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, break of 142.10 support will resume the fall from 148.64 to retest 139.87 low. On the upside, above 145.46 will turn bias to the upside for 146.27 first. Firm break there will target 148.64 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low), with fall from 158.86 as the third leg. Strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3534; (P) 1.3578; (R1) 1.3621; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral, and further rally is expected as long as 1.3455 support holds. Break of 1.3631 will resume the rise from 1.2099 and target 100% projection of 1.2099 to 1.3206 from 1.3138 at 1.3813. On the downside, break of 1.3455 support should confirm short term topping, and bring deeper correction to 55 D EMA (now at 1.3320) instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.3051 (2022 low) is in progress. Next medium term target is 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.3433 from 1.2099 at 1.4004. Outlook will now stay bullish as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.2937) holds, even in case of deep pullback.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8103; (P) 0.8125; (R1) 0.8161; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 0.8247 resistance will argue that corrective pattern from 0.8038 is starting the third leg. Bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.8475 resistance again. However, firm break of 0.8038 will resume larger down trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 0.9200 to 0.8038 from 0.8475 at 0.7757.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.0342 (2017 high) is still in progress and met 61.8% projection of 1.0146 (2022 high) to 0.8332 from 0.9200 at 0.8079 already. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 W EMA (now at 0.8656) holds. Sustained break of 0.8079 will target 100% projection at 0.7382.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6477; (P) 0.6514; (R1) 0.6562; More...

Breach of 0.6545 temporary top suggest that AUD/USD's rally from 0.5913 is resuming. Intraday bias is mildly on the upside for 0.6713 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.6455 support will turn bias back to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, AUD/USD is still struggling to sustain above 55 W EMA (now at 0.6443) cleanly, and outlook is mixed. Sustained trading above 55 W EMA will indicate that rise from 0.5913 is at least correcting the down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high), with risk of trend reversal. Further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.8006 to 0.5913 at 0.6713. However, rejection by 55 W EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another fall through 0.5913 at a later stage.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3538; (P) 1.3573; (R1) 1.3605; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside as fall from 1.4791 is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.4414 to 1.3749 from 1.4014 at 1.3349. On the upside, break of 1.3650 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4791 medium term top could either be a correction to rise from 1.2005 (2021 low), or trend reversal. In either case, further decline is expected as long as 1.4014 resistance holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2005 (2021 low) to 1.4791 at 1.3069.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9369; (P) 0.9395; (R1) 0.9436; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as sideway trading continues. On the upside, break of 0.9428 will resume the rebound from 0.9218 through 0.9445 resistance. However, break of 0.9291 will bring retest of 0.9218 instead.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by long-term falling channel resistance (now at 0.9527) retains medium term bearishness. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Firm break of 0.9204 (2024 low) will confirm resumption. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9660 resistance holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8497; (P) 0.8515; (R1) 0.8531; More...

EUR/GBP is staying in consolidations below 0.6545 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally is expected as long as 0.8416 support holds. Above 0.8545 will target for 61.8% retracement of 0.8737 to 0.8354 at 0.8591. Firm break there will pave the way to 0.8373 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8221 medium term bottom are merely forming a corrective pattern to the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high). Nevertheless, there is no clear momentum to break through 0.8201 key support (2022 low) yet. Hence, range trading is expected between 0.8221/8737 for now.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.7665; (P) 1.7744; (R1) 1.7800; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral as consolidations continue below 1.7880 temporary top. Overall development suggests that fall from 1.8554 has completed as a corrective move. Further rise is expected as long as 1.7459 support holds. Above 1.7880 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.8554 to 1.7245 at 1.8054. Firm break there will pave the way to 1.8554. However, break of 1.7459 will dampen this bullish view and bring deeper decline back to 1.7245 low.

In the bigger picture, with 55 W MACD staying well below signal line, 1.8554 is likely a medium term top already. Price actions from there are seen as a corrective pattern only. While deeper pullback might be seen, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 (2022 low) to 1.8554 at 1.6922 to bring rebound. Up trend from 1.4281 is still expected to resume at a later stage.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 166.42; (P) 166.95; (R1) 167.91; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Current rise from 154.77 is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 154.77 to 165.19 from 161.06 at 170.45. For now, further rally is expected as long as 164.91 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to up trend from 114.42 (2020 low). Strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 to contain downside. However, sustained break of 152.11 will bring deeper fall even still as a correction.