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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 193.48; (P) 194.56; (R1) 196.05; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for 196.38 resistance. Firm break there will resume whole rally from 184.35 and target 61.8% projection of 184.35 to 196.38 from 191.86 at 199.29 next. For now, near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 191.86 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 208.09 are seen as a correction to rally from 123.94 (2020 low). Strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 208.09 at 175.94 to contain downside. However, sustained break of 175.94 will bring deeper fall even still as a correction.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.42; (P) 163.19; (R1) 164.28; More...

EUR/JPY's break of 163.35 resistance suggests that fall from 165.19 has completed as a correction. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 165.19 first. Firm break there will resume while rise from 154.77 to 166.67 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). Strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 to contain downside. However, sustained break of 152.11 will bring deeper fall even still as a correction.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8373; (P) 0.8386; (R1) 0.8399; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays on the downside for the moment. Decline from 0.8737 is in progress and should should target 0.8314 support first, and then 0.8239 low. On the upside, above 0.8458 resistance should indicate short term bottoming, likely with bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that price actions from 0.8221 medium term bottom are merely forming a corrective pattern. However, there is no clear momentum to break through 0.8201 key support (2022 low) yet. Hence, range trading is expected between 0.8221/8737 for now.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.7529; (P) 1.7578; (R1) 1.7634; More...

No change in EUR/AUD's outlook and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, firm break of 1.7628 resistance will suggest that fall from 1.8554 as completed as a correction, and retain larger bullishness. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for stronger rebound. However, below 1.7245 will resume the fall to 61.8% retracement of 1.5963 to 1.8554 at 1.6953.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.7062 resistance turned support (2023 high) holds, up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) should still be in progress. Break of 1.8554 will target 100% projection of 1.4281 to 1.7062 from 1.5963 at 1.8744. However, sustained break of 1.7062 will confirm medium term topping and bring deeper fall back to 1.5963 support.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9344; (P) 0.9367; (R1) 0.9398; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral as sideway trading continues. Price actions from 0.9218 are seen as either a corrective move or the third leg of the pattern from 0.9204. On the upside, break of 0.9419 will resume the rise from 0.9218 through 0.9445 resistance. However, firm break of 0.9291 support will bring retest of 0.9218 low.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by long-term falling channel resistance (now at 0.9548) retains medium term bearishness. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Firm break of 0.9204 (2024 low) will confirm resumption. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9660 resistance holds.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3745; (P) 1.3791; (R1) 1.3859; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for consolidations above 1.3685 temporary low. Upside should be limited well below 1.4014 resistance to bring another fall. Break of 1.3685 will resume whole decline from 1.4791.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4791 medium term top could either be a correction to rise from 1.2005 (2021 low), or trend reversal. In either case, further decline is expected as long as 1.4014 resistance holds. Firm break of 38.2% retracement of 1.2005 (2021 low) to 1.4791 at 1.3727 will pave the way back to 61.8% retracement at 1.3069.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6417; (P) 0.6460; (R1) 0.6484; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral and further rally is expected as long as 0.6406 support holds. Break of 0.6536 will resume whole rally from 0.5913. However, firm break of 0.6406 will confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.6376).

In the bigger picture, 55 W EMA (now at 0.6439) is considered taken out. A medium term bottom should already be in place at 0.5913. Rise from there could either be a corrective move, or reversing whole down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high). In either case, further rise is now expected as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.6376) holds. Next target is 38.2% retracement of 0.8006 to 0.5913 at 0.6713.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1299; (P) 1.1353; (R1) 1.1382; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral and further rise is still in favor as long as 1.1255 support holds. Above 1.1417 will bring retest of 1.1572 high first. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend to 61.8% projection of 1.0176 to 1.1572 from 1.1064 at 1.1927. On the downside, however, break of 1.1255 will turn bias back to the downside to extend the corrective pattern from 1.1572 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9534 long term bottom could be correcting the multi-decade downtrend or the start of a long term up trend. In either case, further rise should be seen to 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. This will now remain the favored case as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.0858) holds.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3476; (P) 1.3531; (R1) 1.3563; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral and more consolidations could be seen. Further rise is expected as long as 1.3389 minor support holds. On the upside, firm break of 1.3592 will resume larger rally for 100% projection of 1.2706 to 1.3442 from 1.3138 at 1.3874. However, decisive break of 1.3389 will confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for 1.3138 support instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.3051 (2022 low) is in progress. Next medium term target is 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.3433 from 1.2099 at 1.4004. Outlook will now stay bullish as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.2870) holds, even in case of deep pullback.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8214; (P) 0.8247; (R1) 0.8306; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. Another fall is in favor as long as 0.8305 minor resistance holds. Below 0.8187 will target a retest on 0.8038 low first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend. Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.8305 will argue that pullback from 0.8475 has completed, and turn bias back to the upside to extend the pattern from 0.8038 with another rising leg.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.0342 (2017 high) is still in progress and met 61.8% projection of 1.0146 (2022 high) to 0.8332 from 0.9200 at 0.8079 already. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 W EMA (now at 0.8713) holds. Sustained break of 0.8079 will target 100% projection at 0.7382.