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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 158.41; (P) 158.81; (R1) 159.24; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral for the moment. Outlook is unchanged that sideway pattern from 154.40 is still extending with another upleg. On the upside, above 161.17 will target 164.07 resistance and then 164.89.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). Strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 to contain downside. However, sustained break of 152.11 will bring deeper fall even still as a correction.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8271; (P) 0.8291; (R1) 0.8300; More...

EUR/GBP's fall from 0.8472 resumed by breaking through 0.8290 support. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 0.8221 low. For now, risk will remain on the downside as long as 0.8376 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.8221 medium term bottom could extend higher through 55 W EMA (now at 0.8435). However, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.8624 cluster resistance zone (38.2% retracement of 0.9267 to 0.8221 at 0.8621) holds. Another decline through 0.8221 would remain mildly in favor. Firm break of 0.8221 will resume whole down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) and carry larger bearish implications.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6416; (P) 1.6468; (R1) 1.6498; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 1.6631 resistance will reaffirm the case that consolidation from 1.6800 has completed at 1.6391. Retest of 1.6800 high should be seen next and firm break there will resume the rally from 1.5963. However, firm break of 1.6391 will invalidate this view and bring deeper fall.

In the bigger picture, with 1.5996 key support (2024 low) intact, larger up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is still in favor to resume through 1.7180 at a later stage. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.5996 will indicate that such up trend has completed and deeper decline would be seen.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9418; (P) 0.9434; (R1) 0.9453; More....

EUR/CHF is staying in range trading below 0.9516 and intraday bias stays neutral. On the downside, break of 0.9359 support will revive the case that choppy rise from 0.9204 is merely a correction and has completed. Deeper fall should then be seen back to retest 0.9204 low. However, firm break of 0.9516 and sustained trading above 0.9481 fibonacci level will carry larger bullish implication and extend the rise from 0.9204.

In the bigger picture, sustained trading above 38.2% retracement of 0.9928 to 0.9204 at 0.9481 should confirm that whole fall from 0.9928 has completed at 0.9204. Further rally should then be seen back to 61.8% retracement at 0.9651 and above. However, another rejection by 0.9481 will keep outlook bearish for extending larger down trend through 0.9204.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0425; (P) 1.0456; (R1) 1.0477; More...

EUR/USD is staying in consolidation from 1.0176 and intraday bias stays neutral. Stronger rebound might be seen but outlook will remain bearish as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1213 to 1.0176 at 1.0572 holds. On the downside, break of 1.0176 will resume whole fall from 1.1213. However, decisive break of 1.0572 will raise the chance of reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 1.0817.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is on 61.8 retracement of 0.9534 (2022 low) to 1.1274 (2024 high) at 1.0199. Sustained break there will solidify the case of medium term bearish trend reversal, and pave the way back to 0.9534. However, reversal from 1.0199 will argue that price actions from 1.1274 are merely a corrective pattern, and has already completed.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.47; (P) 151.84; (R1) 152.45; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral at this point. Attention remains on 38.2% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 151.4. Strong rebound from there will maintain near term bullishness. On the upside, break of 154.79 will revive the case that correction from 158.86 has completed at 150.29. Further rise should be seen to retest 158.86 high. However, break of 150.92 and sustained trading below 151.49 will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 148.64 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2587; (P) 1.2609; (R1) 1.2637; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral with focus on 38.2% retracement of 1.3433 to 1.2099 at 1.2609. Rejection by this level will keep near term outlook bearish. Break of 1.2331 support will suggest that the rebound from 1.2099 has completed as a correction, and bring retest of 1.2099 low. However, firm break of 1.2609 will raise the chance of near term reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 1.2923.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) should have already completed at 1.3433 (2024 high), and the trend has reversed. Further fall is now expected as long as 1.2810 resistance holds. Deeper decline should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3433 at 1.1528, even as a corrective move. However, firm break of 1.2810 will dampen this bearish view and bring retest of 1.3433 high instead.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9006; (P) 0.9024; (R1) 0.9051; More

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation from 0.9200 and intraday bias remains neutral. While deeper pull back might be seen, outlook will stay mildly bullish as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.8374 to 0.9200 at 0.8884 holds. On the upside, firm break of 0.9223 key resistance will carry larger bullish implication. However, sustained break of 0.8884 will indicate bearish reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 0.8690 instead.

In the bigger picture, decisive break of 0.9223 resistance will argue that whole down trend from 1.0342 (2017 high) has completed with three waves down to 0.8332 (2023 low). Outlook will be turned bullish for 1.0146 resistance next. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.9223 will retain medium term bearishness for another decline through 0.8332 at a later stage.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4177; (P) 1.4195; (R1) 1.4212; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as consolidations continue above 1.4150 temporary low. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.4378 resistance holds. Fall from 1.4791 is correcting whole rise from 1.3418. Break of 1.4150 will target 1.3946 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.3418 to 1.4791 at 1.3942).

In the bigger picture, long term up trend is tentatively seen as resuming with prior breach of 1.4667/89 key resistance zone (2020/2015 highs). Next target is 100% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3418 at 1.4993. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.3976 resistance turned holds (2022 high), even in case of deep pullback.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6335; (P) 0.6352; (R1) 0.6368; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD stays neutral for consolidations below 0.6373 temporary top. Rebound from 0.6087 is seen as a correction to the fall from 0.6941. In case of another rise, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 0.6941 to 0.6087 at 0.6413. On the downside, break of 0.6234 support will suggest that the rebound has completed as a correction, and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.6087 low. Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.6413, will pave the way back to 61.8% retracement at 0.6615.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.6941 (2024 high) is seen as part of the down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high). Next medium term target is 61.8% projection of 0.8006 to 0.6169 from 0.6941 at 0.5806. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 W EMA (now at 0.6504) holds.