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Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9082; (P) 0.9106; (R1) 0.9134; More…

USD/CHF is still bounded in range below 0.9136 and intraday bias stays neutral. More consolidations could be seen below 0.9136 resistance. But further rally is expected as long as 0.8956 resistance turned support holds. Above 0.9136 will resume the rally from 0.8374 to 0.9223 key resistance next. However, firm break of 0.8956 will turn bias back to the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.8888).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 (2023 low) are currently seen as a medium term corrective pattern, with rise from 0.8374 as the third leg. Overall outlook will continue to stay bearish as long as 0.9223 resistance holds. Break of 0.8332 low is in favor at a later stage when the consolidation completes. However, decisive break of 0.9223 will be an important sign of bullish trend reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.99; (P) 158.27; (R1) 158.64; More...

No change in USD/JPY's outlook and intraday bias stays mildly on the upside. Rise from 139.57 is still in progress for 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25. Firm break there will e target 161.94 high. However, break of 156.01 support will indicate short term topping, likely with bearish divergence condition. Intraday bias will then be back on the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 153.98) instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6189; (P) 0.6215; (R1) 0.6243; More...

AUD/USD breached 0.6178 but stays above 0.6169 key support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Further decline is expected as long as 0.6301 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.6169 key support will confirm larger down trend resumption. Nevertheless, break of 0.6301 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 55 D EMA (now at 0.6401).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.6169 (2022 low) are seen as a medium term consolidation to the down trend from 0.8006, and could have completed at 0.6941 already. Firm break of 0.6169 support will confirm down trend resumption for 61.8% projection of 0.8006 to 0.6169 from 0.6941 at 0.5806 next. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 W EMA (now at 0.6587) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4340; (P) 1.4375; (R1) 1.4411; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD Is turned neutral with current recovery. Consolidation from 1.4466 could still extend lower. But overall downside should be contained above 38.2% retracement of 1.3418 to 1.4466 at 1.4066 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.4466 will resume larger up trend to 1.4667/89 key resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.2005 (2021) is in progress for retesting 1.4667/89 key resistance zone (2020/2015 highs). Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.3976 resistance turned holds (2022 high), even in case of deep pullback.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9377; (P) 0.9399; (R1) 0.9425; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as range trading continues. Corrective rebound from 0.9204 could still extend higher through 0.9440. But upside should be limited by 0.9481 fibonacci resistance. On the downside, firm break of 0.9329 support will argue that the correction has completed, and bring retest of 0.9204 low.

In the bigger picture, while rebound from 0.9204 might extend higher, strong resistance could be seen from 38.2% retracement of 0.9928 to 0.9204 at 0.9481 to limit upside. Down trend from 0.9928 (2024 high) is still in favor to resume through 0.9204/9 support zone at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 194.76; (P) 196.15; (R1) 197.19; More...

Breach of 194.04 support argues that GBP/JPY's rise from 188.07 might have completed at 198.94 already. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 188.07 support. Firm break there will argue that corrective pattern from 180.00 has already completed. Nevertheless, above 198.94 will target 199.79 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 208.09 are seen as a correction to whole rally from 123.94 (2020 low). The range of consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 208.09 at 175.94 and 208.09. However, decisive break of 175.94 will argue that deeper correction is underway.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.89; (P) 163.35; (R1) 163.86; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Rise from 156.16, as a leg in the corrective pattern from 154.40, should continue as long as 160.89 support holds. On the upside, break of 164.89 will target 166.67, and above. However, firm break of 160.89 will turn bias back to the downside for 156.16 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). The range of consolidation should have been set between 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 and 175.41 high. However, decisive break of 152.11 would argue that deeper correction is underway.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6568; (P) 1.6612; (R1) 1.6646; More...

EUR/AUD is staying in sideway trading and intraday bias remains neutral. Corrective pattern from 1.6800 could extend further. But strong support could be seen from 38.2% retracement of 1.5963 to 1.6800 at 1.6480 to bring rebound. Near term risk will stay mildly on the downside as long as 1.6800 resistance holds, in case of extended recovery. Firm break of 1.6480 will bring deeper correction 61.8% retracement at 1.6283.

In the bigger picture, EUR/AUD is holding on to 1.5996 key support despite brief breach. Larger up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is still in favor to resume through 1.7180 at a later stage. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.5995 will indicate that such up trend has completed and deeper decline would be seen.

As shown by today’s USD/CNH chart:

→ the pair is trading around 7.35 yuan per US dollar;

→ historically, this level has acted as resistance, pushing the exchange rate lower in autumn 2022 and autumn 2023, as bulls briefly broke above but failed to sustain gains.

The current approach to this resistance level is partly driven by expectations of US President-elect Donald Trump’s policies, which in 2025 may include imposing trade tariffs and adopting measures likely to strengthen the USD further.

According to Reuters:

→ China holds approximately $3 trillion in foreign exchange reserves, giving it ample power to defend the yuan;

→ Wang Tao, Chief Economist at UBS for China, expects the USD/CNH rate to remain controlled near 7.4 yuan per dollar during the first half of 2025. However, if high tariffs are introduced by Trump’s administration, the yuan could weaken to 7.6 per dollar by the end of 2025.

Technical analysis of the USD/CNH chart reveals:

→ price fluctuations are forming a large contracting triangle, with higher lows in 2023 and 2024 indicating stronger demand;

→ an upward trend structure, highlighted in blue, emerged in late 2024;
→ a grey arrow points to the trend direction calculated using linear regression.

Thus, in early 2025, another attempt at a bullish breakout above 7.35 may occur, though resistance from bears could cause short-term pullbacks towards the lower blue trend line. Given Wang’s bullish outlook and supporting technical signals, it is reasonable to expect bulls to gain control of the 7.35 level during 2025.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8301; (P) 0.8326; (R1) 0.8373; More...

EUR/GBP's rally from 0.8221 accelerates higher today and intraday bias stays on the upside for 0.8446 key resistance. Strong resistance might be seen there to limit upside, at least on first attempt. But for now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 0.8327 resistance turned support holds, in case retreat. Decisive break of 0.8446 will carry larger bullish implications.

In the bigger picture, considering bullish convergence condition in D MACD, decisive break of 0.8446 resistance should confirm medium term bottoming at 0.8221, just ahead of 0.8201 key support (2022 low). Further rally should be seen towards 0.8624 key resistance, even as a correction to the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high). Overall, however, medium term outlook will be neutral at best until decisive break of 0.8624 cluster zone (38.2% retracement of 0.9267 to 0.8221 at 0.8621). Risk will stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.