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Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8344; (P) 0.8379; (R1) 0.8398; More...

A temporary low is in place at EUR/GBP at 0.8312, ahead of 0.8303 low. Intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidation. But upside of recovery should be limited below 0.8511 resistance and bring another decline. Below 0.8303 will extend the whole corrective fall from 0.9304 towards 0.8116/20 key cluster support. We'd expect strong support there to completion the correction and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. Such decline is likely ready to resume and should make a new low below 0.8303. At this point, we'd expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside. Rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) will resume at a later stage to 0.9799 (2008 high). However, sustained break of 0.8116 could bring deeper decline to next key support level at 0.7564 before the correction completes.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4199; (P) 1.4267; (R1) 1.4305; More...

A temporary top is in place at 1.4334 and intraday bias in EUR/AUD is turned neutral first. We're holding on to the case off trend reversal after defending 1.3671 key support. Downside of current retreat should be contained well above 1.3980 support and bring another rally. Above 1.4334 will target 1.4721 key resistance. Decisive break there will confirm our bullish view.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction could be completed after testing 1.3671 key support. Break of 1.4721 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.4756) should confirm this case and target 61.8% retracement at 1.5455 and above. Overall, we'd expect the up trend from 1.1602 to resume later. However, sustained break of 1.3671 will invalidate our bullish view and would turn extend the fall from 1.6587 towards 1.1602 long term bottom.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0680; (P) 1.0700; (R1) 1.0720; More...

The break of 1.0699 minor resistance indicates short term bottoming at 1.0652. And the corrective fall from 1.0823 has completed. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 1.0823 resistance. At this point, there is no clear sign of trend reversal yet. Hence, we'd be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0823 to limit upside. Meanwhile, below 1.0652 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.0620/29 support zone.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Current development suggests that it's not completed yet. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. In any case, break of 1.0823 resistance is needed to be the first indication of reversal. Otherwise, deeper fall is still expected even in case of recovery.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7496; (P) 0.7522; (R1) 0.7551; More...

With 0.7562 minor resistance intact, deeper fall could be seen back to 0.7472 support. Firm break there will revive the case that whole rise from 0.7158 is completed at 0.7740. In that case, AUD/USD will target a test on 0.7158 key support level next. On the upside, above 0.7562 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.7609 resistance. Break will target a test on 0.7748 high.

In the bigger picture, we're still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8144) and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3450; (P) 1.3474; (R1) 1.3494; More....

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains mildly on the upside for 1.3399 minor support intact. Rallies from 1.2968 and 1.2460 are possibly resuming. Break of 1.3534 resistance will confirm this bullish case and target 1.3598 high first. Decisive break there will pave the way to next medium term fibonacci level at 1.3838. On the downside, below 1.3399 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We'd look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.2968 will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2772; (P) 1.2809; (R1) 1.2847; More...

With a temporary top in place at 1.2903, intraday bias in GBP/USD is neutral for consolidations. With 1.2614 resistance turned support holds, near term outlook remains bullish for further rise. Firm break of 100% projection of 1.2108 to 1.2614 from 1.2365 at 1.2871 will target 161.8% retracement at 1.3184. Still, price actions from 1.1946 are seen as a correction. Hence we'd expect strong resistance below 1.3444 to bring larger down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 1.2614 resistance turned support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2365 support first.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7190 is seen as part of the down trend from 2.1161. There is no sign of medium term reversal yet. Sustained trading below 61.8% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 1.2457 will target 100% projection at 0.9532. Overall, break of 1.3444 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.85; (P) 109.17; (R1) 109.63; More....

USD/JPY's consolidative trading from 108.12 is still in progress and intraday bias stays neutral. With 110.10 resistance intact, near term outlook remains bearish. Rise from 98.97 is finished at 118.65 and fall from there would extend. On the downside, break of 108.12 will target 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 98.97 low. Nonetheless, break of 110.10 will be the first sign of near term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 112.19 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. Current development suggests that it's not completed yet and is extending. In case of deeper decline, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9954; (P) 0.9971; (R1) 1.0001; More.....

A temporary low is in place at 0.9940 in USD/CHF and intraday bias is turned neutral. Another decline is in favor as long as 1.0008 minor resistance holds. Below 0.9940 will target 0.9812 and below. Fall from 1.0342 is seen as a correction. Hence, we'll look for bottoming signal below 0.9812. Meanwhile, on the upside, above 1.0008 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0107 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, we're still maintaining that firm break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the cross. However, the corrective nature of the fall from 1.0342 is starting to give the medium term outlook a bullish favor. Hence, in stead of looking for topping signal around 1.0342, we'd now pay closer attention to upside acceleration as USD/CHF approaches this level again.

EURUSD

The EURUSD attempted to push higher yesterday topped at 1.0777 but closed lower at 1.0715, formed a pin bar formation just below the EMA 200 as you can see on my daily chart below. The bias is bearish in nearest term retesting the trend line support and 1.0650/25 area which also remains a key support and good place to buy with a tight stop loss. Immediate resistance is seen around 1.0750. A clear break above that area could lead price to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.0777 and the daily EMA 200 located around 1.0800. Overall I remain neutral.

GBPUSD

The GBPUSD had a moderate bullish momentum yesterday topped at 1.2847 but closed a little bit lower at 1.2810. The bias is neutral in nearest term. The double bottom bullish scenario should remain valid but we still need a consistent and convincing movement above the daily EMA 200 (1.2780). Immediate support remains around 1.2750. A clear break and daily/weekly close below that area would expose 1.2650 or lower next week. On the upside, a clear break and daily/weekly close above 1.2850 – 1.2900 would give us further confirmation of the double bottom bullish scenario with nearest target seen around 1.3000 – 1.3050.

USDJPY

The USDJPY continued its bullish momentum yesterday topped at 109.48. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 110.10 and the trend line resistance as you can see on my H1 chart below which is a good place to sell as we know that the current short-term bullish trend is just a corrective movement. Immediate support is seen around 109.20. A clear break below that area could lead price to neutral zone in nearest term testing 108.70 region but only a clear break back below 108.13 would end the current bullish correction phase.

USDCHF

The USDCHF attempted to push lower yesterday bottomed at 0.9940 but closed higher at 0.9986 and hit 0.9991 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is neutral in nearest term probably with a little bullish bias testing 1.0020 resistance area which remains a good place to sell with a tight stop loss targeting 0.9880. Immediate support is seen around 0.9940. A clear break and daily/weekly close below that area would expose 0.9880 – 0.9813 next week. Overall I remain neutral.

Oil continues it's bearish consolidation, while precious metals await this weekend's French election.

Gold has spent the overnight session consolidating to open quietly mid-range at 1281 this morning in Asia. The fact that gold is almost unchanged from its open of the previous day suggests that traders are now positioned and in a wait and see mode ahead of this weekend's French presidential voting.

From a chart perspective, however, gold appears to have run out of momentum, having made a series of lower highs over the past few days. Assuming the weekend passes without surprises election wise, there is potential for a correction on Monday as safe-haven hedges are lightened. However, a surprise win by both the extreme left and right candidates could make gold's price action when it opens early Monday emotional, to say the least.

Key levels for the Asian session and into the weekend are supports at 1270 and 1260 with resistance at 1296, 1300 and 1308.

Silver

Silver meanwhile, it looking even less constructive on the charts. Since peaking on Monday at 18.6550, Silver has made a series of lower daily highs and lows and is now perched precariously on its 200-day moving average at 18.0200. Clearly, this weekend's vote in France will set the price agenda into the next week, but like gold, its price action is not constructive from a technical perspective.

For today's session, Silver has support at 17.8650 initially and then 17.7400. Resistance lies at 18.2400 with a close above implying a move back to the 18.5000 area.

OIL

Crude has consolidated near the bottom of its recent ranges as Asian trading gets under way. After the midweek clean out of long positioning, traders appear averse to initiating fresh longs as the Street frets about record oil inventories globally and rising U.S. production.

From a technical perspective, neither Brent nor WTI's price action is constructive. Instead, both seem to be making bearish consolidation patterns before another move to the downside.

Brent spot has clearly defined support at 52.50 with resistance at 53.50 intraday.

WTI spot has support at 50.00 with resistance at 51.00 intraday.

The price action over the last 48 hours, suggests a break of the support levels in both, could trigger more stop-loss selling as optimism meets reality.

Summary

Were it not for the French election this weekend; commodities would not be looking constructive technically. However with “Le Crunch” this Sunday, surprises cannot be ruled out, and they have the potential to override the technical picture. Some more short-term consolidation cannot be ruled out over today's session, but traders should be watching their news feeds late Sunday, and the metals open at 6 am Singapore for further clues.