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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 193.63; (P) 194.47; (R1) 195.24; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 195.95 will resume whole rise from 180.00 to 61.8% retracement of 208.09 to 180.00 at 197.35 next. Sustained break there will target 208.09 high. On the downside, below 192.87 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 189.54 support. Further break there will target 183.70 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 208.09 are seen as a correction to whole rally from 123.94 (2020 low). The range of consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 208.09 at 175.94 and 208.09. However, decisive break of 175.94 will argue that deeper correction is underway.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.14; (P) 162.51; (R1) 162.91; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. On the upside, firm break of 163.86 resistance will resume the rebound from 154.40 to 61.8% retracement of 175.41 to 154.40 at 167.38. On the downside, break of 161.00 minor support will turn bias back to the downside. Further break of 158.09 will target 154.40/155.14 support zone.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). The range of consolidation should have been set between 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 and 175.41 high. However, decisive break of 152.11 would argue that deeper correction is underway.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8333; (P) 0.8356; (R1) 0.8386; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment as range trading continues. Further decline is still in favor. On the downside, firm break of 0.8309 will resume larger down trend to 0.8201 key support next. However, decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 0.8624 to 0.8309 at 0.8429 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.8504 and possibly above.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is in progress. Next target is 0.8201 (2022 low), but strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. However, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8624 resistance holds even in case of strong rebound.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6239; (P) 1.6284; (R1) 1.6338; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 1.6185 will bring deeper fall to retest 1.6002 low. On the upside, however, above 1.6351 will resume the rebound from 1.6002 to 38.2% of 1.7180 to 1.6002 at 1.6452.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5996 support holds, up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is still expected to resume at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.5996 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9382; (P) 0.9397; (R1) 0.9416; More....

No change in EUR/CHF's outlook as it's still bounded in converging range. On the upside, break of 0.9506 resistance should resume whole rebound from 0.9209 through 0.9579 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.9332 will resume the fall from 0.9579 towards 0.9209 low.

In the bigger picture, medium term corrective pattern from 0.9407 (2022 low) might have completed with three waves to 0.9928. Decisive break of 0.9252 (2023 low) will confirm long term down trend resumption. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 0.9928 at 0.8851. For now, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9928 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0843; (P) 1.0872; (R1) 1.0891; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays on the downside as fall from 1.1213 is in progress. This decline is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1274. Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.0447 to 1.1213 at 1.0740 next. On the upside, above 1.0915 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.1274 resistance suggests that corrective pattern from 1.1274 (2023 high) is not completed yet. Instead, decline from 1.1213 might be another falling leg. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0877) will validate this case, and bring deeper fall towards 1.0447 support again. But downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 0.9534 (2022 low) to 1.1274 at 1.0404.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2950; (P) 1.3018; (R1) 1.3060; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside at this point. Sustained trading below 1.3000 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2298 to 1.3433 at 1.2999) will argue that whole rise from 1.2298 has completed and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.2732. Nevertheless, strong bounce from current level, followed by break of 1.3102 minor resistance, will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound towards 1.3433.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3000 support holds, the up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) is still in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.3141 from 1.2298 at 1.4022. However, considering mild bearish divergence condition in D MACD, decisive break of 1.3000 will argue that a medium term top is already in place, and bring deeper fall back to 1.2664 support next.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8625; (P) 0.8641; (R1) 0.8672; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside as rise from 0.8374 is in progress. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9223 to 0.8374 at 0.8698 will argue that fall from 0.9223 has completed after defending 0.8332 low. Further rally should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.8899 next. On the downside, below 0.8605 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 (2023 low) are currently seen as a medium term corrective pattern, with fall from 0.9223 as the second leg. Strong support could be seen from 0.8332 to bring rebound. Yet, overall outlook will continue to stay bearish as long as 0.9243 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.8332, however, will resume larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high).

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.08; (P) 149.44; (R1) 150.02; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for consolidations below 149.97 temporary top. Further rally is expected with 146.48 resistance turned support intact. Above 149.97 will resume the rise from 139.57 to 61.8% retracement of 161.94 to 139.57 at 153.39 next. However, firm break of 146.48 will argue that such rebound has completed, and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 139.57 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should now be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3736; (P) 1.3764; (R1) 1.3779; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral for consolidation below 1.3837 temporary top. Downside of retreat should be contained above 1.3646 resistance turned support. On the upside, above 1.3837 will resume the rally from 1.3418 to 1.3946/76 key resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, sideway consolidation pattern from 1.3976 (2022 high) might still extend further. While another decline cannot be ruled out, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in favor to resume at a later stage.