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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.68; (P) 163.50; (R1) 165.42; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays mildly on the downside for 159.97 support. Firm break there will raise the chance of rejection by 167.93 long term fibonacci resistance. Deeper fall would be seen to 155.57 support for confirmation. On the upside, above 164.13 minor resistance will bring retest of 168.67 high instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.75; (P) 141.09; (R1) 142.38; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays mildly on the downside for 137.83 support first. Sustained break there will raise the chance of rejection by 144.06 long term projection level and target 132.63 support. On the upside, above 142.42 minor resistance will bring retest of 144.26 high instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Sustained trading above 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06 will indicate upside acceleration and target 149.76 long term resistance (2014 high). In any case, outlook will remain bullish as long as 132.63 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5181; (P) 1.5290; (R1) 1.5406; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is turned neutral with current retreat. Further rise is expected with 1.5059 support intact. Sustained trading above 1.5343 resistance should indicate medium term bottoming at 1.4318. Stronger rally would be seen back to 100% projection of 1.4318 to 1.5277 from 1.4759 at 1.5718. However, firm break of 1.5059 support will indicate rejection of 1.5354, and revive medium term bearishness, and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, sustained break of 1.5354 support turned resistance will argue that a medium term bottom was formed at 1.4318 already. It would still be too early to call for long term trend reversal. But further rise would then be seen back towards 1.6434 resistance (2021 high). However, rejection by 1.5354 will retain bearishness for extending the down trend from 1.9799 (2020 high) through 1.4318 at a later stage.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8592; (P) 0.8635; (R1) 0.8665; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. As long as 0.8484 support holds, further rise is in favor. Break of 0.8720 and sustained trading above 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level will carry larger bullish implication. Next target is 0.9003 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.8484 will indicate rejection by 0.8697 and turn near term outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8201 medium term bottom could could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697 will affirm the latter case, and pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.9003. However, rejection by 0.8697 will maintain medium term bearishness.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9975; (P) 1.0009; (R1) 1.0039; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for consolidation above 0.9943 temporary low. On the downside, sustained trading below 0.9970 will resume larger down trend for 0.9650 long term projection level. For now, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0155 resistance holds, in case of stronger recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2845; (P) 1.2906; (R1) 1.2945; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 1.2818 minor support will resume the fall from 1.3077 towards 1.2516 support next. On the upside, break of 1.3077 and sustained trading above 1.3022 fibonacci level will carry larger bullish implications, and bring up trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6752; (P) 0.6829; (R1) 0.6894; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral a this point. Strong support could still be seen from 0.6756/60 cluster support to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.6918 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 0.7282 resistance. However, sustained break of 0.6756/60 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.6461 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8006 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.5506 (2020 low). Strong support is expected from 50% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.8006 at 0.6756 to complete the pattern. This coincides with 100% projection of 0.8006 to 0.7105 from 0.7660 at 0.6760. However firm break of 0.6756/60 will raise the chance of bearish reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 0.6461.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.66; (P) 135.33; (R1) 135.90; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 136.99 is extending. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour and daily MACD, a correction could be imminent. On the downside, break of 134.25 support will confirm short term topping at 136.99. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for 131.34 support resistance turned support. Nevertheless, firm break of 136.99 will resume larger up trend to 100% projection of 114.40 to 131.34 from 126.35 at 143.29.

In the bigger picture, current rally is seen as part of the long term up trend from 75.56 (2011 low). Next target is 100% projection of 75.56 (2011 low) to 125.85 (2015 high) from 98.97 at 149.26, which is close to 147.68 (1998 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 126.35 support holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9543; (P) 0.9593; (R1) 0.9644; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Price actions from 1.0063 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. On the upside, break of 0.9731 resistance will argue that such consolidation has completed and bring stronger rally back to retest 1.0063 high. However, another fall below 0.9493 will dampen this view and target 0.9459 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 1.0237/0342 resistance zone. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 0.9471 will extend long term range trading with another falling leg.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1990; (P) 1.2087; (R1) 1.2197; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point. Further fall is mildly in favor with 1.2187 minor resistance intact. Break of 1.1932 will resume larger down trend from 1.4248. However, on the upside, above 1.2187 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.2467) instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2666 resistance holds. Next target is 1.1409 low. However, firm break of 1.2666 will bring stronger rise back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.31403).