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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.91; (P) 152.57; (R1) 153.67; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Current fall from 158.04 should target 148.94 support next. On the upside, break of 155.20 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the decline. Otherwise, outlook will be mildly bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 158.19 are seen as developing into a consolidation pattern to up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10 to bring rebound. Firm break of 158.19 will resume the up trend to long term fibonacci level at 167.93. However, sustained break of 145.10 will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 137.02.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.48; (P) 126.15; (R1) 127.22; More....

EUR/JPY's drops to as low as 124.38 so far today. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 121.94 medium term fibonacci level. On the upside, above 126.91 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole rise from 114.42 (2020 low) has completed 134.11 already. Fall from there is developing into a medium term down trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94. On the upside, firm break of 127.36 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4715; (P) 1.4911; (R1) 1.5019; More...

EUR/AUD drops to as low as 1.4561 so far today and intraday bias stays on the downside. Next target is 161.8% projection of 1.6343 to 1.5354 from 1.6223 at 1.4476. Sustained break there will pave the way to 1.3624 long term target zone. On the upside, above 1.4987 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.9799 is seen as a long term impulsive move. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). Some support could be seen there to bring interim rebound. But overall, break of 1.5354 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8229; (P) 0.8262; (R1) 0.8294; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside at this point. Next near term target is 161.8% projection of 0.8476 to 0.8304 from 0.8405 at 0.8127. On the upside, break of 0.8304 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9499 is expected to continue as long as 0.8476 resistance holds. Sustained trading below 0.8276 support will argue that the whole up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) has reversed. Deeper fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 next.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9975; (P) 1.0067; (R1) 1.0114; More....

EUR/CHF drops to as low as 0.9970 so far, and met 100% projection of 1.0936 to 1.0298 from 1.0610 at 0.9972 already. There is no clear sign of bottoming yet. Firm break of 0.9772 will target 161.8% projection at 0.9578. On the upside, break of 1.0115 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But in any case, near term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0298 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. Firm break there will target 100% projection at 0.9650. In any case, break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2673; (P) 1.2733; (R1) 1.2795; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral with mixed near term outlook. On the upside, break of 1.2876 will resume the rally from 1.2448 to 1.2963 resistance. On the downside, break of 1.2586 will target 1.2448 support instead.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend from 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7324; (P) 0.7352; (R1) 0.7404; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the upside at his point. As noted before, fall from 0.8006 should have completed at 0.6966, after drawing support from 0.6991. Further rally should be seen to 0.7555 resistance first. Sustained break there will confirm this case and target 0.8006 high. On the downside, break of 0.7313 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further rally is still in favor as long as 0.7093 support holds.

In the bigger picture, focus remains on 0.6991 key structural support. Sustained break there will argue that the whole up trend from 0.5506 might be finished at 0.8006, after rejection by 0.8135 long term resistance. Deeper decline would then be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.8006 at 0.6461. Meanwhile, strong rebound from 0.6991 will retain medium term bullishness. That is, whole up trend from 0.5506 is still in progress for another rise through 0.8006 at a later stage.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 114.49; (P) 115.02; (R1) 115.40; More...

Range trading continues in USD/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 116.34 will resume larger up trend from 102.58 to 118.65 long term resistance next. On the downside, though, break of 114.40 will continue the corrective pattern from 116.34 with another fall to 113.46 support.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that rise from 102.58 is the third leg of the up trend from 101.18 (2020 low). Such rally should target a test on 118.65 (2016 high). Sustained break there will pave the way to 120.85 (2015 high) and raise the chance of long term up trend resumption. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 week EMA (now at 111.64) holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9152; (P) 0.9181; (R1) 0.9198; More....

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as sideway trading continues. Choppy rise from 0.8925 would still be in favor to extend higher as long as 0.9090 support holds. Break of 0.9341 will target 0.9372 resistance and then 0.9471. On the downside, however, break of 0.9090 will bring deeper fall back to 0.8925 support.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that the trend has already reversed and rebound the rally from 0.8756 with another impulsive move.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3173; (P) 1.3264; (R1) 1.3325; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remain son the downside downside for 1.3158 support first. Firm break there will carry larger bearish implications. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.4248 to 1.3158 from 1.3748 at 1.3074. For now, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3416 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164 holds, up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target will be 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.5134. Nevertheless sustained break of 1.3164 will argue that whole rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.