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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 198.60; (P) 198.90; (R1) 199.30; More...

No change in GBP/JPY's outlook as range trading continues. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. While another fall cannot be ruled out, near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 195.01 support holds. On the upside, firm break of 2002.6 will resume the whole rise from 184.35 to 100% projection of 180.00 to 199.79 from 184.35 at 204.14.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 208.09 (2024 high) are seen as a correction to rally from 123.94 (2020 low). The pattern might still extend with another falling leg. But in that case, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 208.09 at 175.94 to contain downside. Meanwhile, decisive break of 208.09 will confirm long term up trend resumption.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 171.24; (P) 171.58; (R1) 171.89; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 170.94 support will bring deeper fall to 169.69, or further to 38.2% retracement of 161.06 to 173.87 at 168.97. On the upside, above 172.99 will bring retest of 173.87 short term top.

In the bigger picture, considering current strong momentum as seen in the rally from 154.77, corrective pattern from 175.41 could have already completed. Decisive break of 154.77 will confirm long term up trend resumption. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 175.41 from 154.77 at 186.31. However, rejection by 175.41, followed by firm break of 55 D EMA (now at 170.34) will delay this bullish case.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8605; (P) 0.8627; (R1) 0.8645; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.8354 to 0.8752 at 0.8600 will indicate near term bearish reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 0.8506. On the upside, above 0.8670 will resume the rebound from 0.8595 to retest 0.8752 high.

In the bigger picture, the structure from 0.8221 medium term bottom are not impulsive enough to suggest that it's reversing the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high). But even if it's a correction, further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 0.9267 to 0.8221 at 0.8867. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 W EMA (now at 0.8508) holds.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.7850; (P) 1.7904; (R1) 1.7943; More...

EUR/AUD's fall from 1.8155 short term top is in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 1.7245 to 1.8155 at 1.7807. Sustained break there should confirm that whole rise from 1.7245 has completed. Corrective pattern from 1.8554 should then be in its third leg. Further decline should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.7593. On the upside, above 1.7979 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.8554 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern. Such pattern could extend further with another falling leg. But even in that case, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 (2022 low) to 1.8554 at 1.6922 to bring rebound. Uptrend from 1.4281 is expected to resume at a later stage.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9308; (P) 0.9347; (R1) 0.9376; More....

Fall from 0.9452 continues today and intraday bias stays on the downside. Corrective rebound from 0.9218 should have completed with three waves up to 0.9452. Break of 0.9265 support will confirm and bring retest of 0.9218 low. On the upside, above 0.9363 minor resistance will mix up the outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9204 (2018 high) might still be in progress considering that EUR/CHF is staying well inside the long term falling channel. However, with bullish convergence condition in W MACD, downside potential should be limited in case of another fall. Instead, firm break of 0.9660 resistance will be an important sign of medium term bullish trend reversal.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3765; (P) 1.3811; (R1) 1.3840; More...

USD/CAD's pullback from 1.3923 extended lower, but it stays well above 1.3720 support so far. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 1.3923 will extend the corrective rebound from 1.3538. But upside should be limited by 1.4014 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.4791 to 1.3538 at 1.4017). Meanwhile, firm break of 1.3720 will argue that the corrective bounce has already completed, and bring retest of 1.3538 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4791 medium term top could either be a correction to rise from 1.2005 (2021 low), or trend reversal. In either case, further decline is expected as long as 1.4014 resistance holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2005 (2021 low) to 1.4791 at 1.3069.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6475; (P) 0.6494; (R1) 0.6525; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral for the moment. Corrective pattern from 0.6624 could still extend further. On the upside, firm break of 0.6567 will argue that the correction has completed and bring retest of 0.6624 high. However, break of 0.6413 will extend the correction lower towards 38.2% retracement of 0.5913 to 0.6624 at 0.6352.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign that down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high) has completed. Rebound from 0.5913 is seen as a corrective move. While stronger rally cannot be ruled out, outlook will remain bearish as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.8006 to 0.5913 at 0.6713 holds. Nevertheless, considering bullish convergence condition in W MACD, even in case of another fall through 0.5913, downside should be contained above 0.5506 (2020 low).

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1591; (P) 1.1621; (R1) 1.1668; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral at this point. For now, further rise is in favor as long as 1.1573 support holds. Break of 1.1741 will resume the rally from 1.1390 to retest 1.1829 high. Firm break there will extend larger up trend. However, decisive break of 1.1573 will extend the corrective pattern from 1.1829 with another downleg, and target 1.1390.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9534 long term bottom could be correcting the multi-decade downtrend or the start of a long term up trend. In either case, further rise should be seen to 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1604 support holds.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3443; (P) 1.3473; (R1) 1.3528; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral and further rise is mildly in favor as long as 1.3389 support holds. Above 1.3594 will resume the rebound from 1.3140 to retest 1.3787 high. On the downside, however, break of 1.3389 support will extend the corrective pattern from 1.3787 with another fall, and target 1.3140 support.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.3051 (2022 low) is in progress. Next medium term target is 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.3433 from 1.2099 at 1.4004. Outlook will now stay bullish as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.3073) holds, even in case of deep pullback.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8001; (P) 0.8038; (R1) 0.8061; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral, and further decline is in favor with 0.8103 resistance intact. ON the downside, below 0.7999 will target a retest on 0.7871 low. However, break of 0.8103 will turn bias to the upside, and target 0.8170, to extend the corrective pattern from 0.7871.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.0342 (2017 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.0146 (2022 high) to 0.8332 from 0.9200 at 0.7382. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8475 resistance holds.